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Entries Tagged as 'Analysis'

The Amazing World of High Frequency Trading – You Lose!

July 12th, 2009 · No Comments · Analysis, Banks, Corporate Power, Federal Reserve, Stock Market, Wall Street

I wrote last week about the high level of program trading, notably by Goldman Sachs. The details on this trading are emerging fast in the blogosphere, and it won’t be long until it hits the mainstream. There is a war going on among competing firms, using computers and inside order information, to capture the immense [...]

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A Tale of Two Depressions

June 8th, 2009 · No Comments · Analysis, Bonds, Debt, Economics, Economy, Federal Reserve, Global Economy, Interest rates, Stimulus, Stock Market, Treasury

The “Tale of Two Depressions” updates an earlier column (“up to April 2009) that graphically compared many aspects of global economic activity in the Great Depression and the recent past. The key findings of this comparison are: 1) many aspects of real economic activity are closely following the downward path of the Great Depression;  2) [...]

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Nate Silver – Too Optimistic about Americans Turning Away from Cars

May 7th, 2009 · No Comments · Analysis, Economics, Economy, Statistics

Recently, Nate Silver, who was the preeminent predictor of the 2008 Presidential election outcome, recently published an article in Esquire. In it, he analyzes the historical factors that have reasonably successfully predicted gasoline consumption in the past. When he applies these historic prediction equations to January 2009, they predict that gasoline consumption should have increased [...]

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