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		<title>Amazing &amp; Staggering &#8211; Foreclosure Maps</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2010/12/amazing-staggering-foreclosure-maps/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2010/12/amazing-staggering-foreclosure-maps/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Dec 2010 19:58:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[Housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgages]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2010/12/amazing-staggering-foreclosure-maps/</guid>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Barry Ritholz  of the Big Picture has published an article showing how to use Google Maps to get data on the location  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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		<title>Obama&#8217;s Major Economic Address and (Failing) Defense of Bank Bailouts</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/04/obamas-major-economic-address-and-failing-defense-of-bank-bailouts/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/04/obamas-major-economic-address-and-failing-defense-of-bank-bailouts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Apr 2009 18:29:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/04/obamas-major-economic-address-and-failing-defense-of-bank-bailouts/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[On April 14, 2009, President Obama made a major address on the economy and his policies buy xenical viagra propecia com at George Washington University. diet orlistat pill prescription It was a wide-ranging address that reiterated major themes that he has been making since taking office. Full Transcript. Video buy real viagra without prescription &#124; [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On April 14, 2009, President Obama made a major address on the economy and his  policies  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> It was a wide-ranging address that reiterated major themes that he has been making since taking office. <a href="http://www.demconwatchblog.com/diary/1334/full-text-of-president-obamas-economic-speech">Full Transcript</a>. <a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21134540/vp/30211298#30211298">Video</a></p>
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<p>&#160;</p>
<p>He offered a goal for his actions that I applaud:</p>
<blockquote><p>…I want every American to know that each action we take and each policy <a href="http://aviagraforsale.net/item.php?name=Cialis">Cialis</a>  we pursue is driven by a <a href="http://levitra-online-price.net">0nline pharmacy</a>  larger vision of America’s future – a future where sustained economic growth creates good jobs and rising incomes; a future where prosperity is fueled not by excessive debt, reckless speculation, and fleeing profit, but is instead built by skilled, productive workers; by sound investments that will spread opportunity at home and allow this nation to <a href="http://buylevaquincheap.com">levofloxacin</a> <a href="http://mlmsuccessformula.com/images/">Cialis online</a>   lead the world in the technologies, innovations, and discoveries that will shape the 21st century.&#160; That is the America I see.&#160; That is  the future I know we can have. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>He built on a parable in the Sermon on the Mount to lay out a five-point program for building an enduring prosperity:</p>
<blockquote><p>There is a parable at the end of the Sermon on the Mount that tells the story of two men.&#160; The first built his house on a pile of sand, and it was destroyed as soon as the storm hit.&#160; But the second is known as the wise man, for when <a href="http://bestaffiliatelandmines.com/images/">buy viagra online discount </a>  “…the rain descended, and the floods came, and the winds blew, and beat upon that house…it fell not:&#160; for it was founded upon a rock.”</p>
<p>We cannot rebuild this economy on the same pile of sand.&#160; We must build our house upon a rock.&#160; We must lay a <a href="http://levitra-online-price.com">online levitra</a>  new foundation <a href="http://buyLasixcheap.com">lasix <a href="http://accutanebuysale.com">Cheap Accutane </a>  to buy</a>  for growth and prosperity – a foundation that will move us from an era of borrow <a href="http://amoxil-pills.net">amoxil online</a>  and spend to one where we save and invest; where we consume less at home and send more exports abroad.&#160; </p>
<p>It’s a foundation built upon five pillars that will grow our economy and make this new century another American century:&#160; new rules for Wall Street that will reward drive and innovation; new investments in education that will make our workforce more skilled and competitive; new investments in renewable energy and technology that will create new jobs and industries; new investments in health care that will cut costs for families and businesses; and new savings in our federal budget that will bring down the debt for future generations.&#160; That is the new foundation we must build.&#160; That must be our future – and my Administration’s policies are designed to achieve that future.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Again, these are goals that are admirable and upon which most can agree.</p>
<p>Where I continue to part company with the Obama Administration is in its handling of the financial crisis. <a href="http://www.score-louisville.org/component/option,com_jcalpro/Itemid,28/extmode,day/date,2011-01-13/">cialis sales online</a>  Obama explained and defended the bailouts of the banking system, but I found the defense disingenuous and unconvincing [my comments interspersed]:</p>
<blockquote><p>The heart of this financial crisis is that too many banks and other financial institutions simply stopped lending money.&#160; In a climate of fear, banks were unable to replace their losses by raising new capital on their own, and they were unwilling to lend the money they did have because they were afraid that <a href="http://spropecia-online.com">generic propecia</a>  no one would pay it back.&#160; It is for this reason that the last administration used the Troubled Asset Relief Program, or TARP, <a href="http://levitra-brand.net">levitra <a href="http://amoxilcheap.net">buy amoxil</a>  brand vs generic</a>  to provide these banks with temporary financial assistance in order to get them lending again.&#160; </p>
<p>Now, I don’t agree with some of the ways the TARP program was managed, but I do agree with the broader rationale that we must provide banks with the capital and the confidence necessary to start lending <a href="http://online-prescriptionmed.com/buy/orlistat.html">Buy Orlistat Online Pharmacy No Prescription Needed</a>  again.&#160; That is the purpose of the stress tests that will soon tell us how much additional capital will be needed to support lending at our largest banks.&#160; Ideally, these needs will be met by private investors.&#160; But where this is not possible, and banks require substantial additional resources from the government, we will hold accountable those responsible, force the necessary adjustments, provide the support <a href="http://buydiflucancheap.com">generic diflucan</a>  to clean up their <a href="http://extremeaffiliatemarketing.com/images/">levitra vardenafil</a>  balance sheets, <a href="http://passionoflife.net/images/">sildenafil citrate</a>  and assure the continuity of a strong, viable institution that can serve our people and our economy.</p>
<p>Of course, there are some who argue that the government should stand back and simply let these banks fail – especially since in many cases it was their bad decisions that helped create the crisis in the first place.&#160; But whether we like it or not, history has repeatedly shown that when nations do not take early and aggressive action to get credit flowing again, they have crises that last years and years instead of months and months – years of low growth, low job creation, and low <a href="http://bikerchickz.ws/images/">Buy  Cialis online</a>  investment that cost those nations far more than a course of bold, upfront action.&#160; </p>
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<p>Again, while it is true that bank capital can support multiple dollars of lending, if there is sufficient demand for the loans, bailouts are not the only way to improve the balance sheets of banks so that they have the capital required <a href="http://cialis-online-price.net">buy cialis tablets</a>  to support <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.com">amoxicillin</a> <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.com">online Ampicillin</a>   loans. Obama continues:</p>
<blockquote><p>On the other hand, there have been some who don’t dispute that we need to shore up the banking system, but suggest that we have been too timid in how we <a href="http://aviagraforsale.com/item.php?name=Viagra Professional">Viagra Professional</a>  go about it.&#160; They say that <a href="http://acialisforsale.net/">Cialis <a href="http://e-viagraonline.com/item.php?name=Viagra Professional">Viagra Professional</a>  for sale</a>  the federal government should have already preemptively stepped in and taken <a href="http://americanlandowner.com/images/">buyviagra <a href="http://share-video.info/images/">purchase viagra online | where to buy cialis | order online levitra</a>  | buy cialis overseas | buy levitra drugs</a>  over major financial institutions the way that the FDIC currently intervenes in smaller banks, and that our failure to do so is yet another  example of Washington coddling Wall Street. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Rather, it is because we believe that preemptive government takeovers are likely to end up costing taxpayers even more in the end, and because it is more likely to undermine than to create confidence. Governments <a href="http://buynolvadexcheap.com ">nolvadex buy</a>  should practice the same principle <a href="http://amoxilpills.net">cheap Amoxil </a>  as doctors: first  do  no harm. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>I believe that Obama is sincere here, but I also believe that he has listened to and sided with advisors who have sold him one side of the argument, a failing in judgment that I attribute to his years at Harvard, where he gained an undeserved belief in the intellectual superiority of the the Eastern Scholarly Establishment, led by Harvard.&#160; Notice that he says, “<em>we believe </em>that preemptive government takeovers …” He does <a href="http://acialisforsale.com/item.php?name=Viagra Jelly">Viagra Jelly</a>  not provide reasons and evidence, only belief to support his policies. Further, <a href="http://loanscreditandinsurance.info/images/index.php">levitra drugs</a>  he mischaracterizes the situation when he says “preemptive government takeovers.” There would have been nothing “preemptive” in the takeover of Citigroup, Bank of America, and others that were realistically insolvent and only prevented from failure by the infusion of tens  of billions  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<blockquote><p> So rest assured – we will do whatever is necessary to get credit flowing again, but we will do so in ways that minimize risks to taxpayers and <a href="http://cytotecbuyonline.com">cytotec</a>  to the broader economy.&#160; To that end, in addition to the program to provide capital to the banks, we have launched a plan that will pair government resources with private investment in order to clear away the old loans and securities – the so-called toxic assets – that are also preventing our banks from lending money. </p>
</blockquote>
<p>Obama doesn’t even attempt to answer the critics of his Private Public Investment Partnership (PPIP, or more accurately termed GASP &#8211; “Geithner And Summers Plan”), a sweetheart deal for investment banks and hedge funds that acts as a fig leaf for another <strong>trillion dollars </strong> of taxpayer bailout money. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Although I give Obama A’s and A-pluses on most of his actions and programs to date (including the stimulus package and budget), I give <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.net">amoxicillin buy</a>  him between a C and D on his bank bailouts. My only hope is that Obama has said many times that he  expects to make mistakes, implying that he is open to  recognizing and learning from his mistakes. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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		<title>Wall Street Wins, We Lose, Obama Fails!</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/03/wall-street-wins-we-lose-obama-fails/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/03/wall-street-wins-we-lose-obama-fails/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Mar 2009 18:44:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/03/wall-street-wins-we-lose-obama-fails/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Plan By now, almost everyone must know that in the last week the Federal Reserve and the Obama Administration fired coordinated bombshells at the financial crisis. First, last Thursday the Federal Reserve announced major increases in asset purchase programs, adding buy cialis cialis buy cheapest viagra online $1.150 trillion to the 5mg cialis generic [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h3>The Plan</h3>
<p>By now, almost everyone must know that in the last week the Federal Reserve and the Obama Administration fired coordinated bombshells at the financial crisis.</p>
<p>First, last Thursday the Federal Reserve announced major increases in asset purchase programs, adding <a href="http://bestaffiliatelandmines.com/images/">buy cialis cialis <a href="http://job-killer.com/images/">buy cheapest viagra online</a>  </a>  $1.150 trillion  to the  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->total. The total included purchase of up to $300 billion of long-term Treasuries. The Fed also expanded the list of the type of assets it would purchase under its Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF).</p>
<p>Before the financial community and the public had a chance to catch its breath, on Monday, the Treasury unveiled the next blockbuster. Both the FDIC and Treasury would combine with private investors to purchase toxic assets from banks.</p>
<p>In the FDIC program, the government would put up 92.5% of the money and private investors would put up 7.5% &#8212; but, here&#8217;s the catch, private investors would get 1/2 of potential profits from their 7.5% investment and be liable for no more  than their investment. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>A key part of the plan is to amend the TALF, which was initially a Federal Reserve initiative aimed at purchasing <strong>new</strong> loans, with the objective of expanding new lending. The amended plan allows loans <a href="http://m.onlinemarketing4all.mm-project.com/images/">levitra vardenafil</a>  against existing securities that were &#8220;originally AAA rated.&#8221; Of course, many of those <a href="http://acomplia-online-price.net">online acomplia</a>  AAA mortgage <a href="http://amoxil-pills.net">buy cheap drugs</a>  backed  securities are, as we are well aware, now junk. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<h3>Wall Street  Wins! <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>The <a href="http://ampicillinpills.net">cheap ampicilllin</a>  response of Wall Street, with a one-day rise on the Monday of the plan&#8217;s announcement of 7% in the S&amp;P 500 and 18% in the S&amp;P Financials indices, was ecstatic. The big bond investment firms fell over themselves with praise. This was what the financial community <a href="http://softviagraonline.com">viagra soft</a>  has <a href="http://bikerchickz.ws/images/">Viagra online</a>  been looking for, but almost giving up hope of getting: for the government to step in and buy all of the crappy loans on their books. The common estimate is that their are two trillion dollars of such junk held <a href="http://getrxpills.com/">cheap prescription drugs without prescription</a>  by banks. The government programs, not coincidently, have potential purchasing <a href="http://buynolvadexcheap.com ">cheapest nolvadex</a>  power of about $2 trillion.</p>
<p>If it works, and the street is currently betting it will, the plans will get the toxic debt out of the zombie banks, making them live once again, to the great benefit of the stockholders and option holders <a href="http://e-viagraonline.com/item.php?name=Brand Levitra">Brand Levitra</a>  of the banks. Of course, the debt will go into the hands, primarily of the government; so if the plan doesn&#8217;t work, the economy doesn&#8217;t recover, and all of those bad mortgages, auto loans, and credit-card securities decline further in value, you and I will be left holding the bag.</p>
<p>And, of course, the big investment firms love the plan because they are going to be allowed to participate in buying up the bad debt with only small risk and big profit potential &#8212; to say nothing of getting to transfer their lousiest assets to the government. Bill Gross of PIMCO, the worlds largest bond company, has called it a &#8220;win-win&#8221; plan. <a href="http://aviagraforsale.net/item.php?name=Kamagra Gold">Kamagra Gold</a>  It is a win-win plan for the <a href="http://spropecia-online.net">propecia price</a>  investment community.</p>
<h3>You Lose!</h3>
<p>The Obama-Geithner plan is a lose-lose plan for you and me. We lose, first, because we as taxpayers are having to pony up almost all of the money to buy up the crappy assets that the financial community sold at very great profit to itself. The shareholders and bondholders of the financial <a href="http://onlineacompliacheap.net">buy cheap <a href="http://passionoflife.net/images/">buy cialis daily</a>  acomplia</a>  community are getting  the BIG bailout at our expense. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> If the plan fails, we are left holding the bag. Of course, the big financial firms will probably be forced into failure, too, but only after having transferred most of the bad privately-held securities <a href="http://noprescriptionmed.net/buy/amoxil.html">Buy Amoxil Online Pharmacy No Prescription Needed</a>  into the hands of the willing government. This is bad public policy on multiple counts, not the least of which is the blatant inequity of it all.</p>
<p>But, what <a href="http://buylevaquincheap.com">levaquin</a> <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.net">ampicillin buy</a>   if the plan succeeds, as Geithner has clearly succeeded in convincing Obama that it will? You lose. The government <a href="http://americanlandowners.com/images/">buy real viagra without prescription </a>  will have succeeded in revitalizing the financial sector with the same players in charge. It will have turned the economy around by once again expanding leverage <a href="http://www.score-louisville.org/component/option,com_jcalpro/Itemid,99999999/extmode,cal/date,2060-02-01/">cialis <a href="http://beautifulsummermorning.com/images/">Buy Viagra, Buy Cialis, Buy Levitra Without Prescription</a>  5mg tablets</a>  and debt, raising the burden of debt that for years has been depressing our real economic performance and individual well being. The chance will have been lost for transforming our economy away from pursuit of capital gains <a href="http://viagrabrand.net">Online <a href="http://seeavision.com/images/">buy cialis pills</a>  Viagra Shops</a>  and financial aggrandizement toward focusing on meeting the real needs of our population and of the planet.</p>
<h3>Obama Fails!</h3>
<p>The current crisis, caused by financial excesses, offered the opportunity for us as a country to take away the dominant power of go-go finance and corporate <a href="http://cytotecbuyonline.com">cytotec generic</a>  exploiters. Instead of fundamentally rethinking and restructuring the political-economic management of our  country, Obama has chosen to side with the entrenched power  interests. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>I am disheartened by this latest episode in the unfolding crisis not so much because of the unfairness of the latest plan but because <a href="http://buyLasixcheap.com">buy lasix</a>  of what it reveals about Obama&#8217;s core beliefs. The pressure  that has been building around the financial meltdown has certainly  required Obama to search within himself for the right answer. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>There was no shortage of voices recommending that the failing banks be allowed to fail, to be restructured <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.com">cheap buy ampicillin</a>  with government <a href="http://meetyourdate.info/images/index.php">generic levitra buy online</a>  assistance, and  the shareholders and bondholders be required to bear  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> It seems highly likely that Axelrod, Plouffe, <a href="http://levitra-online-price.com">levitra cost</a>  and Emanuel would have seriously <a href="http://dcialisforsale.net/">Cialis generic</a> <a href="http://viagra-online-price.com">viagra online price</a>   challenged Geithner&#8217;s <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.com">online amoxil</a>  plan. Yet, in the end, when Obama had to decide, he supported a plan that is designed to make the financial sector as whole as possible, at huge cost to the government and, ultimately, us taxpayers.</p>
<p>From this episode, I infer that in matters of economics, Obama operates within the <a href="http://buydiflucancheap.com">order <a href="http://amoxilpills.net">buy Amoxil generic</a>  diflucan</a> <a href="http://spropecia-online.com">buy propecia cheap</a>   mindset of the prevailing <a href="http://viagra-online-price.net">viagra female</a>  economic paradigm of prosperity through continued growth in output, with little concern about what makes up that output.</p>
<p>For me personally, this is very sad. I had hoped, I realize now with little evidence, that Obama would bring a fresh perspective to managing our economy, one that would provide for rebalancing the economy as well as the distribution of income. It is not just who get the money (although this needs <a href="http://acialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Brand Viagra">Brand Viagra</a>  to change), but what as a nation we choose to produce and consume. To make changes in the latter, we need to redistribute political and economic power. In Obama&#8217;s actions on  the financial crisis,  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->there is no evidence that he saw it as an opportunity to accomplish some of this redistribution. This is not encouraging for the future.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Galbraith: Another Call To Let Big Banks Fail</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/03/galbraith-another-call-to-let-big-banks-fail/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/03/galbraith-another-call-to-let-big-banks-fail/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Mar 2009 18:32:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/03/galbraith-another-call-to-let-big-banks-fail/</guid>
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<p><strong>While the world talks about new ways to save struggling banks, there are a handful of economists <a href="http://buynolvadexcheap.com <a href="http://buylevaquincheap.com">levaquin prescription</a>  &#8220;>nolvadex generic</a>  who think some banks shouldn&#8217;t <a href="http://buydiflucancheap.com">buy online diflucan</a>   be saved  at all. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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			<wfw:commentRss>http://roylat.com/2009/03/galbraith-another-call-to-let-big-banks-fail/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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		<title>How BIG is a Trillion Dollars?</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/03/how-big-is-a-trillion-dollars/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/03/how-big-is-a-trillion-dollars/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Mar 2009 20:25:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Banks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Credit Default Swaps]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Default]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nationalization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Restructuring]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/03/how-big-is-a-trillion-dollars/</guid>
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			<wfw:commentRss>http://roylat.com/2009/03/how-big-is-a-trillion-dollars/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
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		<title>Hedge Funds Betting on Housing Collapse May Get AIG Cash</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/03/hedge-funds-betting-on-housing-collapse-may-get-aig-cash/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/03/hedge-funds-betting-on-housing-collapse-may-get-aig-cash/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Mar 2009 15:29:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Banks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bonds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Credit Default Swaps]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Default]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Interest rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgages]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Regulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/03/hedge-funds-betting-on-housing-collapse-may-get-aig-cash/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Wall Street Journal 30mg cialis has an article that describes in some detail how hedge funds and Goldman Sachs bet on the collapse how to buy drugs in the US housing market using hundreds of billions of dollars of credit default swaps, swaps that eventually were bought by AIG for pennies per year. In [...]]]></description>
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<p>The Wall Street Journal story goes into depth. For those that can follow it, it provides a fascinating education on how these supposedly sophisticated organizations badly mispriced risk, and how other predatory financial concerns took advantage to reap billions in profits (which would not be realized if the government had not stepped in with taxpayer money to make the bets good). </p>
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<p>Here is the article in full. It is worth trying to work your way through it.</p>
<blockquote><h3><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123734123180365061.html?mod=djemalertNEWS#articleTabs%3Darticle">Hedge Funds May Get AIG Cash</a> </h3>
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<p>Some of the billions of dollars that the U.S. government paid to bail out <a href="http://online.wsj.com/public/quotes/main.html?type=djn&amp;symbol=aig">American International Group</a> Inc. stand to benefit hedge funds that bet on a falling housing market, according to people  familiar with the matter  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>In essence, while the U.S. government is busy trying to prop up the housing market &#8212; by trying to limit foreclosures, among other things &#8212; it is simultaneously putting up cash that could be used to pay off investors who bet housing prices would tumble and many mortgage holders would default.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s unclear how much government money might eventually flow to hedge-fund investors. Overall, the government has committed up to $173.3 billion to bail out AIG. Of that amount, AIG&#8217;s housing-related bets have cost U.S. taxpayers some $52 billion. </p>
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->policies to businesses and individuals to protect against everything from fires to lawsuits. &quot;AIG&#8217;s financial-products division went heavily into the business of speculation, and its gambling debts are what taxpayers are paying off right now,&quot; said Martin Weiss of Weiss Research, <a href="http://exotic-gift.info/images/index.php">buy viagra in las vegas | buy cialis we | buy levitra cheap online</a>  an investment consultant in Jupiter, Fla.</p>
<p>&#160;<cite>European Pressphoto Agency</cite></p>
<p>An AIG spokeswoman declined to comment, as did a spokesman for the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.</p>
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<p>The transactions meant that AIG was wagering that the U.S. housing <a href="http://amoxilpharm.com">amoxil online</a>  market would remain robust. With housing markets now in free fall, the hedge  funds stand to collect money from their bank counterparties. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>In 2005, Deutsche found a willing taker for a chunk of the mortgage risks held by START: AIG Financial Products. The derivatives arm of AIG agreed to pay out up to $1 billion under two of the START <a href="http://seeavision.com/images/">where can buy viagra | buy cialis pills | levitra online</a>  vehicles, if underlying assets deteriorated or the insurer&#8217;s own credit rating fell below a certain threshold. AIG stood to earn a fraction of a penny each year for every dollar of protection it sold, according to securities filings, meaning it made less than $10 million annually on the $1 billion in insurance.</p>
<p>Up until AIG exited the market in 2006, &quot;AIG was by far the single largest ultimate taker of risk in the [subprime mortgage] CDO space,&quot; says <a href="http://mm-project.com/images/">buy levitra cheap online</a>  a  senior investment banker whose firm bought credit protection from the insurer. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Last fall, after AIG&#8217;s credit rating was cut, the insurer paid roughly $800 million to START, according to two people familiar <a href="http://m.onlinemarketing4all.mm-project.com/images/">viagra sale</a>  with the <a href="http://cialis-online-price.com">buy cialis online</a>  matter. <a href="http://bestaffiliatelandmines.com/images/">buy viagra online discount | buy cialis cialis | buy levitra online cheap</a>  Much of the money is being held in escrow and will be used to pay off Deutsche&#8217;s swap contracts if mortgage defaults <a href="http://share-video.info/images/">order online levitra</a>  <a href="http://e-viagraonline.net/item.php?name=Kamagra jelly">Kamagra jelly</a>  in the portfolio rise above a certain level. Some of that money could go through Deutsche to its hedge-fund clients.</p>
<h5>&#160;</h5>
<p><a href="http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-enlargePic07.html?project=imageShell07&amp;bigImage=WSJ_AIG_090317.gif&amp;h=446&amp;w=780&amp;title=WSJ.COM&amp;thePubDate=20080826"><img <a href="http://americanlandowners.com/images/">low price levitra</a>  <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.com">buy cheap amoxicillin</a>  style=&#8221;border-right: 0px; border-top: 0px; border-left: 0px; border-bottom: 0px&#8221; height=&#8221;238&#8243; alt=&#8221;image&#8221; src=&#8221;http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/image17.png&#8221; width=&#8221;330&#8243; <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.com">cheap buy ampicillin</a>  border=&#8221;0&#8243; /></a> </p>
<p>Click to See Full Chart</p>
<p>If the housing market improves, AIG could recover some or much of the cash it transferred to START. But that outcome won&#8217;t be known for years. The portions of START to which AIG is exposed were originally rated triple-A by Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s. They&#8217;ve since been downgraded to &quot;junk&quot; status by the ratings firm.</p>
<p>The START CDOs share <a href="http://getrxpills.com/">cheap pills</a>  some similarities with mortgage pools created by Goldman named &quot;Abacus&quot; and also insured by AIG Financial Products, <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.net">ampicillin buy</a>  according to people familiar <a href="http://aviagraforsale.com/item.php?name=Levitra">Levitra</a>  with the matter.</p>
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> AIG had to post collateral to Goldman when the assets dropped in value. Some of this money, too, could go to hedge-fund clients of Goldman.</p>
<p>From mid-September to the end of last year, AIG and the government paid $5.4 billion to Deutsche and <a href="http://camagracheap.net">online kamagra</a>  $8.1 billion <a href="http://buylevaquincheap.com">levaquin antibiotic</a>  to Goldman under credit default swap contracts the insurer had written.</p>
<p>A <a href="http://ampicillinpills.net">online cheap ampicillin</a>  spokesman for the German bank said, &quot;Our exposure to AIG was well-collateralized and hedged.&quot; A Goldman spokesman also said his firm&#8217;s exposure was collateralized and hedged.</p>
<p><strong>Write to </strong>Serena Ng at <a href="mailto:serena.ng@wsj.com">serena.ng@wsj.com</a></p>
<p><cite>Printed <a href="http://buydiflucancheap.com">diflucan buy online</a>  in The Wall Street Journal, page A1</cite></p>
<p>Copyright 2008 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved</p>
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<h5>More</h5>
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<li><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123730459869257121.html"><strong>Congress Looks to Tax to Recoup <a href="http://levitra-online-price.com">generic levitra</a>  AIG Bonuses</strong></a> </li>
<li><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123732993601162741.html"><strong>AIG Bonuses Spur <a href="http://buyLasixcheap.com">lasix cheap</a>  Taxpayer Outrage</strong></a> </li>
<li><a <a href="http://softviagraonline.com">brand <a href="http://bikerchickz.ws/images/">Buy Viagra online</a>  viagra</a>  href=&#8221;http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123732539585361743.html&#8221;><strong>Q&amp;A:</strong> The AIG Bonus Controversy</a></li>
</ul>
</blockquote>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Is the Financial-Bond Time Bomb about To Explode?</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/03/is-the-financial-bond-time-bomb-about-to-explode/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/03/is-the-financial-bond-time-bomb-about-to-explode/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Mar 2009 22:42:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Banks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bonds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Default]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Restructuring]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/03/is-the-financial-bond-time-bomb-about-to-explode/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m not alone in thinking that bonds of the big financial institutions buy doxycycline without prescription are at a high and growing risk rimonabant amoxil online of forced markdowns in value (see my post, &#34;The Financial Time Bomb ..&#34;). Analysts at BNP Paribas SA, as reported by Bloomberg, Viagra online delivery published the striking cheap [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m not alone in thinking that bonds of the big financial  institutions  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>The chart compares European indices of credit default swaps (those notorious credit instruments that provide insurance against a bond losing value) for general  corporate bonds  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->(red line) with those for bonds of financial <a href="http://share-video.info/images/">purchase viagra online | where to buy cialis | order online levitra</a>  corporations (blue lines). These indices indicated the cost of purchasing such insurance.&#160; Both have risen sharply <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.net">ampicillin online</a>  <a href="http://igot-rippedoff.com/images/">buy generic viagra professional | buy cialis pharmacy | cheap levitra generic</a>  in the last month, indicating the market perception of increased risk of default; but note <a href="http://viagrabrand.net/buy-antibiotics-pills.html">Buy Antibiotics medications</a>  how much gre ater h <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->as been the rise in the financial bond index, to a level above the index for general corporate bonds. The analysts point out that this crossing has occurred only twice before &#8212;  when Bear Stearns was absorbed and Lehman Brothers  went bankrupt. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>According to the <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&amp;sid=aumXaf7Eh7Ec&amp;refer=exclusive" target="_blank">Bloomberg article</a>, my perception of the risk of bank bond defaults is becoming widely shared:</p>
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<p>When I went shopping for non-financial bonds last week, I found that 90 percent of all the bonds offered for <a href="http://provigilbuysale.com">Buy cheap online Provigil</a>  sale on two different &quot;offer books&quot; were <a href="http://levitra-online-price.com">buy generic levitra</a>  bonds  of major financial institutions. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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