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		<title>The Fall of the United States</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2011/08/the-fall-of-the-united-states/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2011/08/the-fall-of-the-united-states/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Aug 2011 18:55:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Abuse of power]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Debt]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[The debt-ceiling debacle wa s chloromycetin for dogs the final nail in the coffin of hope for America’ add cialis drug link s near-term, and likely longer-term, future. drugs and antibiotics It confirmed the bankruptcy of our current social/political Buy Lasix Online Pharmacy No Prescription Needed structures and values. If the future looked bleak before [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The debt-ceiling debacle wa s  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Foreigners can often see into a country’s heart more clearly than its inhabitants. The following opinion piece in Der Spiegel, expresses eloquently the dire straits the US is in.</p>
<hr />
<h3>Opinion</h3>
<h4><a href="http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,778396,00.html#ref=nlint">Once Upon a Time in the West</a></h4>
<p>A Commentary by Jakob Augstein</p>
<p>Der Spiegel, August 4, 2011</p>
<p><a href="http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/bild-778396-243876.html"><img title="Hate has become a part  of the everyday culture  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Hate has become a part of the everyday culture of American politics. </p>
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->to economic disaster. Increasingly, the divided country has more in common with a failed state than a democracy. In the face of America&#8217;s apparent political insanity, Europe must learn to take care of itself. </strong></p>
<p>The word &quot;West&quot; used to have a meaning. It described common goals  and values, the dignity  of democracy  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->and justice over tyranny and despotism. Now it seems to be a thing of the past. There is no longer a West, and those who would like to use the word &#8212; along with Europe and the United States in the same sentence &#8212; should just hold their breath. By any definition, America is no longer a Western nation.<a href="http://adserv.quality-channel.de/RealMedia/ads/click_nx.ads/www.spiegel.de/international/artikel/1553740890@Sub1,Sub2,Top1,Top2,TopRight,Left,Right,Right1,Right2,Right3,Right4,Right5,Middle,Middle1,Middle2,Middle3,Bottom,Bottom1,Bottom2,Bottom3,Position1,Position2,x01,x02,x03,x04,x05,x06,x07,x08,x09,x10,x11,x12,x20,x21,x22,x23,x70,VMiddle2,VMiddle,VRight,Spezial%21Middle2"><img alt="" src="http://adserv.quality-channel.de/RealMedia/ads/adstream_nx.ads/www.spiegel.de/international/artikel/1553740890@Sub1,Sub2,Top1,Top2,TopRight,Left,Right,Right1,Right2,Right3,Right4,Right5,Middle,Middle1,Middle2,Middle3,Bottom,Bottom1,Bottom2,Bottom3,Position1,Position2,x01,x02,x03,x04,x05,x06,x07,x08,x09,x10,x11,x12,x20,x21,x22,x23,x70,VMiddle2,VMiddle,VRight,Spezial%21Middle2" border="0" /></a></p>
<p>The US is a country where the system of government has fallen firmly into the hands of the elite. An  unruly and aggressive militarism set in motion two costly wars in the past 10 years. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>America has changed. It has drifted away from the West. </p>
<p>The country&#8217;s social disintegration is breathtaking. Nobel economist Joseph Stiglitz recently <a href="http://www.vanityfair.com/society/features/2011/05/top-one-percent-201105">described the phenomenon</a>. The richest 1 percent of Americans claim one-quarter of the country&#8217;s total income for themselves &#8212; 25 years  ago  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> It also possesses 40 percent of total wealth, up from 33 percent 25 years ago. Stiglitz claims that in many countries in the so-called Third World, the income gap between the poor and rich has been reduced.  In the United States, it has grown. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Economist Paul Krugman, also a Nobel laureate, has <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/01/opinion/the-president-surrenders-on-debt-ceiling.html">written</a> that America&#8217;s path is leading it down the road to &quot;banana-republic status.&quot; The social cynicism and societal indifference once associated primarily with the Third World has now become an American hallmark. This accelerates social decay because the greater the disparity grows, the less likely the rich will be willing to contribute to the common good. When a company like Apple, which with €76 billion in the bank has greater reserves at its disposal than the government in Washington, a European can only shake his head over the Republican resistance to tax increases. We see it as self-destructive.</p>
<p>The same applies to America&#8217;s broken political culture. The name <a href="http://cialisbuysale.com">Cheap Cialis </a>  &quot;United States&quot; seems increasingly less  appropriate. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Something has become routine in American political culture that has been absent in Germany since Willy Brandt&#8217;s <i>Ostpolitik</i> policies of rapprochement with East Germany and the Soviet Bloc (in the 1960s and &#8217;70s): hate. At the same time, reason has been replaced by delusion. The notion of tax cuts has taken on a cult-like status, and the limited role of the state a leading ideology. In this new American civil war, respect for the country&#8217;s highest office was sacrificed long ago. The fact that Barack Obama is the country&#8217;s first African-American president may have played a role there, too. </p>
<p><b>The West, C&#8217;est nous</b></p>
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<p><a href="http://adserv.quality-channel.de/RealMedia/ads/click_nx.ads/www.spiegel.de/international/artikel/1553740890@Sub1,Sub2,Top1,Top2,TopRight,Left,Right,Right1,Right2,Right3,Right4,Right5,Middle,Middle1,Middle2,Middle3,Bottom,Bottom1,Bottom2,Bottom3,Position1,Position2,x01,x02,x03,x04,x05,x06,x07,x08,x09,x10,x11,x12,x20,x21,x22,x23,x70,VMiddle2,VMiddle,VRight,Spezial%21Middle3"><img alt="" src="http://adserv.quality-channel.de/RealMedia/ads/adstream_nx.ads/www.spiegel.de/international/artikel/1553740890@Sub1,Sub2,Top1,Top2,TopRight,Left,Right,Right1,Right2,Right3,Right4,Right5,Middle,Middle1,Middle2,Middle3,Bottom,Bottom1,Bottom2,Bottom3,Position1,Position2,x01,x02,x03,x04,x05,x06,x07,x08,x09,x10,x11,x12,x20,x21,x22,x23,x70,VMiddle2,VMiddle,VRight,Spezial%21Middle3" border="0" /></a>From a European perspective, it all looks very strange: it&#8217;s a different political culture. There are  other rules at play, different standards. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> More and more we view America with the clear notion that we are different…</p>
<p><strong><a href="http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,778396,00.html#ref=nlint">Full article and author biography</a></strong></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>George Carlin Tells It Like It Is &#8211; The American Dream</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2010/08/george-carlin-tells-it-like-it-is-the-american-dream/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2010/08/george-carlin-tells-it-like-it-is-the-american-dream/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Aug 2010 18:58:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2010/08/george-carlin-tells-it-like-it-is-the-american-dream/</guid>
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<p>A short excerpt from the video &quot;Life Is Worth Losing&quot; (2005).</p>
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		<title>All Is Not Rosy in Wine Country</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2010/03/all-rosy-in-wine-country/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2010/03/all-rosy-in-wine-country/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Mar 2010 00:45:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2010/03/all-rosy-in-wine-country/</guid>
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<p>March 8 (Bloomberg) &#8212; In California’s Napa Valley, producer of the most expensive U.S. wines, 2010 may be a vintage year for <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=USDEAGRI%3AIND">foreclosures</a> as the industry is squeezed by falling land values and a consumer shift to cheaper brands. </p>
<p>As many as 10 wineries and vineyards in Napa will change hands in distressed sales or foreclosures this year and next, up from none in 2008, according to Silicon Valley Bank. In a bank  survey  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->of vintners, 7 percent called their finances “very weak” or “on life support.” </p>
<p>“We have 250 vintner clients saying this downturn is the worst in 20 years,” <a href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Bill+Stevens&amp;site=wnews&amp;client=wnews&amp;proxystylesheet=wnews&amp;output=xml_no_dtd&amp;ie=UTF-8&amp;oe=UTF-8&amp;filter=p&amp;getfields=wnnis&amp;sort=date:D:S:d1">Bill <a href="http://viagra-online-price.com">viagra online price</a>  Stevens</a>, manager of the bank’s w ine division  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Land values in Napa, home to about 400 producers, have fallen 15 percent from the 2007 peak, driven in part by slumping demand for high-end wine, said <a <a href="http://online-pills-med.net/buy/brand_cialis.html">Buy Brand Cialis Online Pharmacy No Prescription Needed</a>  href=&#8221;http://www.intlwine.com/about.html&#8221;>Robert Nicholson</a>, principal at International Wine Associates, a consulting and financing firm in Healdsburg, California. The decline makes it harder for owners to <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=MBAVNSAR%3AIND">refinance <a href="http://cytotecbuyonline.com">cytotec buy</a>  mortgages</a>, especially if the property is worth less than the  loan. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>The recession has set in motion a “secular change,” with budget-conscious consumers trading down to less expensive wines, <a href="http://acialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Brand Viagra">Brand Viagra</a>  said <a href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Peter+Kaufman&amp;site=wnews&amp;client=wnews&amp;proxystylesheet=wnews&amp;output=xml_no_dtd&amp;ie=UTF-8&amp;oe=UTF-8&amp;filter=p&amp;getfields=wnnis&amp;sort=date:D:S:d1">Peter <a href="http://mm-project.com/images/">buy levitra cheap online</a>  <a href="http://buyLasixcheap.com">lasix buy</a>  Kaufman</a>, <a href="http://americanlandowners.com/images/">buy real viagra without prescription </a>  managing partner at Pleasanton, California- based <a href="http://www.bacchuswinefund.com/">Bacchus Capital Management LLC</a>, a private-equity  fund that provides mezzanine financing to wineries. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Sales Fall </p>
<p>The dollar value of U.S. retail wine sales dropped 3.3 percent to $29 billion in 2009 after rising every year and almost tripling from 1991 through 2008, according to <a href="http://www.gfawine.com/">Gomberg, Fredrikson &amp; Associates</a> in Woodside, California. Though consumption increased 1.9 percent to 323 million cases last year, people are buying less expensive labels, the industry consultant said in a March 5 report. </p>
<p>Sales of super-premium bottles priced more than $15 declined 10 percent last year, and those over $30, defined as ultra-premium, fell at least 15 percent, according to <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=RABO%3ANA">Rabobank <a href="http://amoxil-pills.net">buy cheap drugs</a>  Nederland NV</a>, the Utrecht, Netherlands-based bank <a href="http://buydiflucancheap.com">order diflucan</a>  that finances agriculture <a href="http://e-viagraonline.com/item.php?name=Brand Levitra">Brand Levitra</a>  businesses. Napa and neighboring Sonoma are the top U.S. producers of premium wine, the bank said. </p>
<p>Screaming Eagle </p>
<p>“No more is it about stocking wine cellars with 5,000 bottles of Screaming Eagle,” said Bacchus Capital’s Kaufman, referring to a Napa “cult cabernet” that can sell for $750 or more  a bottle. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Super-premium wineries are likely to bear the brunt of changing consumer habits, and lenders will pressure clients who can’t cover costs to “seek solutions before the loan goes into default,” Rabobank <a href="http://m.onlinemarketing4all.mm-project.com/images/">levitra vardenafil</a>  said  in a  January report. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Cheaper imports from countries such as Chile, Argentina and Australia are cutting U.S. winery margins, according to <a href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Stephen%0ARannekleiv&amp;site=wnews&amp;client=wnews&amp;proxystylesheet=wnews&amp;output=xml_no_dtd&amp;ie=UTF-8&amp;oe=UTF-8&amp;filter=p&amp;getfields=wnnis&amp;sort=date:D:S:d1">Stephen <a href="http://spropecia-online.net">cheapest propecia</a>  Rannekleiv</a>, lead analyst on the Rabobank report. </p>
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<p>Grapes of Recession </p>
<p>“Consumers are looking at price point and saying that Napa is not the price they want to be buying at,” New York-based Rannekleiv said in an interview. “Wine prices drive grape prices drive land prices.” </p>
<p>Bill Harlan, maker of Napa’s <a href="http://www.harlanestate.com/home.html">Harlan Estate Proprietary Red</a> that counts four <a href="http://www.erobertparker.com/">perfect ratings</a> from widely followed critic <a href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Robert+Parker&amp;site=wnews&amp;client=wnews&amp;proxystylesheet=wnews&amp;output=xml_no_dtd&amp;ie=UTF-8&amp;oe=UTF-8&amp;filter=p&amp;getfields=wnnis&amp;sort=date:D:S:d1">Robert <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.com">buy <a href="http://passionoflife.net/images/">buy cialis daily</a>  ampicillin online</a>  <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.com">online amoxil</a>  Parker</a>, said he expects  to see foreclosures mount. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>“No area is going to be unaffected by this financial meltdown,” he said in a telephone interview. </p>
<p>Harlan, whose Oakville, California, <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.net">buy cheap amoxicillin</a>  winery is 60 miles (97 kilometers) north of San Francisco,  has seen the distress up close. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>There have been few recent property deals because sellers are reluctant to accept the low bids they are seeing, said Tony Correia, an appraiser in Sonoma for <a href="http://www.c-x.com">Correia-Xavier Inc.</a></p>
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<p>Some Napa land deals that were never publicly disclosed <a href="http://acialisforsale.com/item.php?name=Cialis Jelly">Cialis Jelly</a>  or confidentially recorded at the county assessor will unravel this year and in 2011, according to <a href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Vic+Motto&amp;site=wnews&amp;client=wnews&amp;proxystylesheet=wnews&amp;output=xml_no_dtd&amp;ie=UTF-8&amp;oe=UTF-8&amp;filter=p&amp;getfields=wnnis&amp;sort=date:D:S:d1">Vic Motto</a>, chief executive officer of <a href="http://www.globalwinebank.com/">Global Wine Partners LLC</a>, an  investment bank and advisory firm in St. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Valuing Land </p>
<p>Napa land values, the highest among U.S. wine <a href="http://bestaffiliatelandmines.com/images/">buy cialis cialis </a>  regions, are based on wine appellation, or a property’ s geographical boundary, and  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Average prices are $150,000 to $200,000 an acre for a vineyard planted with red varietals such as cabernet sauvignon and $115,000 an acre for white grapes such as chardonnay, said Sean Maher, president of <a href="http://www.maherwine.com/">Maher Advisors Inc.</a>, a brokerage in St. Helena. The most desirable sites in Rutherford and Oakville can fetch $250,000 an acre, he said. <a href="http://levitra-online-price.com">order <a href="http://seeavision.com/images/">buy cialis pills</a>  <a href="http://amoxilcheap.net">buy phentermine</a>  levitra</a>  </p>
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<p>Napa wine grapes have been the most expensive in California since the 1970s, said Terry Hall, a spokesman for the <a href="http://www.napavintners.com/">Napa Valley Vintners Association</a> in St. Helena. Last year they cost an average $3,401 a ton, 56 percent more than second-place Sonoma grapes and more than double those from third-place Mendocino, a preliminary 2009 report from the state Department of Food and Agriculture shows. </p>
<p>California produces 90 percent of all U.S. wine, according to the U.S. Tax and Trade Bureau in Washington. </p>
<p>Mortgage defaults will also hit Napa residential parcels owned by <a href="http://softviagraonline.com">viagra prices</a>  hobbyists, or those who intend to produce 100 to 300 cases a year, said <a href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Deborah+Steinthal&amp;site=wnews&amp;client=wnews&amp;proxystylesheet=wnews&amp;output=xml_no_dtd&amp;ie=UTF-8&amp;oe=UTF-8&amp;filter=p&amp;getfields=wnnis&amp;sort=date:D:S:d1">Deborah Steinthal</a>, principal <a href="http://spropecia-online.com">propecia generic</a>  of Scion Advisors. In October, the Napa-based consultants forecast that “hundreds of properties will go into foreclosure.” </p>
<p>That’s the scenario facing Sandra Sutherland, who bought a four-bedroom house and more than seven acres of chardonnay, merlot and pinot noir grapes for $2 million in 2005. She and her business partner <a href="http://amoxilpills.net">buy online amoxil</a>  haven’t made loan payments to Charlotte, North Carolina-based Bank of America Corp. since January 2009. </p>
<p>‘Blind Fools’ </p>
<p>“We went in like blind fools,” Sutherland said. “We didn’t really expect to get the loan, but felt committed when we did.” </p>
<p>Owners who have invested for years and managed land <a href="http://levitra-brand.net">levitra brand generic</a>  prudently should survive the tumult, said  Harlan, who has produced 18 vintages since buying the property in 1984. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> The 2007 vintage of his flagship wine, the most recent, sells for $500 a bottle. </p>
<p>“In the long run, those that don’t <a href="http://viagra-online-price.net">viagra female</a>  compromise the quality, manage their wines better and manage their land better will be fine,” he said. “We just need to make sure we get through the short run.” </p>
<p>To contact the reporter on this story: <a href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Dan+Levy&amp;site=wnews&amp;client=wnews&amp;proxystylesheet=wnews&amp;output=xml_no_dtd&amp;ie=UTF-8&amp;oe=UTF-8&amp;filter=p&amp;getfields=wnnis&amp;sort=date:D:S:d1">Dan <a href="http://job-killer.com/images/">buy cheapest viagra online</a>  Levy</a> in San Francisco at <a href="mailto:dlevy13@bloomberg.net">dlevy13@bloomberg.net</a>. </p>
</blockquote>
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		<title>Paul Volcker&#8217;s Influence Rises</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2010/01/paul-volckers-influence-rises/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 22 Jan 2010 22:13:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2010/01/paul-volckers-influence-rises/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Obama had Paul Volcker at his side when he announced his new plan to regulate the big banks. This is a big deal. It may signal the beginning of the end for the of reign of Larry Summers and Treasury Secretary Geithner over Obama’s Levitra Professional economic and financial policies. By giving the big banks [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Obama had Paul Volcker at his side when he announced his new plan to regulate the big banks. This is a big deal. It may signal the beginning of the end for the of reign of Larry Summers and Treasury Secretary Geithner over Obama’s <a href="http://e-viagraonline.net/item.php?name=Levitra Professional">Levitra Professional</a>  economic and financial policies. </p>
<p>By giving the big banks every possible bailout <a href="http://share-video.info/images/">purchase viagra online | where to buy cialis | order online levitra</a>  with no concern for cost to taxpayers, Geithner, Summers, and Fed Chairman Bernanke, ignited a firestorm of popular anger – much of which got <a href="http://viagra-online-price.net">viagera</a> <a href="http://amoxilpills.net">buy amoxil</a>   directed toward Obama – and rightfully so. </p>
<p>Volcker, who <a href="http://dcialisforsale.net/">Cialis for sale</a>  was initially appointed as Fed Chairman by President Carter but whose real influence came under Reagan, broke the back of the growing inflation of the 1960’s (that doubled prices in that decade) by  raising short-term interest rates to unprecedented levels. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Volcker has been a strong critic of letting banks get too big to fail and using that status to take risks that imperial financial <a href="http://www.score-louisville.org/component/option,com_jcalpro/Itemid,99999999/extmode,flyer/date,2060-09-01/">cialis normal dose</a>  stability of the world – with  the banks reaping  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<blockquote><h5>Financial Regulation</h5>
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<h3><strong><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN2215505420100122">Bank plan highlight&#8217;s Volcker&#8217;s <a href="http://amoxil-pills.net">amoxicillin amoxil</a>  new clout</a></strong></h3>
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<p>* Volcker had been outspoken on &quot;too big to fail&quot; concern</p>
<p>* Ex-Fed chief consulting about bank plan with lawmakers</p>
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<p>WASHINGTON, Jan 22 (Reuters) &#8211; When President Barack Obama launched a fight with Wall Street by announcing a new U.S. plan to limit banks&#8217; size, the man standing <a href="http://buylevaquincheap.com">generic levaquin</a>  at his side was former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker.</p>
<p>Volcker&#8217;s new clout on the White House economic team was on full display as the 6-foot-7-inch longtime adviser took the choice spot next to Obama, who named his proposal to restrict bank trading activities &quot;the Volcker Rule.&quot;</p>
<p>The 6-foot-1 Obama referred to Volcker as &quot;this tall guy behind me.&quot;</p>
<p>U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and senior economic adviser Lawrence Summers &#8212; who attended the announcement but at a greater distance from the president &#8212; still wield a tremendous amount <a href="http://aviagraforsale.com/item.php?name=Kamagra jelly">Kamagra jelly</a>  of power.</p>
<p>Volcker, who commands respect on  Wall Street and among both Democrats and Republicans, is seeing a resurgence of his influence after venting frustrations to friends that he had been left out in the cold when it came to economic decision-making at the White House. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>The 82-year-old Volcker was one of Obama&#8217;s most influential advisers during his 2008 <a href="http://spropecia-online.net">buy merck propecia</a>  presidential campaign and now chairs a panel of outside economic advisers to the White House.</p>
<p>He had rarely been seen in Washington since the start of the Obama administration and made no secret of a difference in opinion with the White House <a href="http://bestaffiliatelandmines.com/images/">buy viagra online discount </a>  over how to deal with the problem of &quot;too big to fail&quot; financial firms.</p>
<p>Volcker&#8217;s <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.com">ampicillin buy</a>  fear, shared by some other economists, is that newly consolidated U.S. banks might engage in reckless behavior on the belief that the government would never allow them to fail because of their sheer size. Such risky activity could put the financial  system at risk of another crisis, these economists say. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Asked by the New York Times <a href="http://amoxilpharm.com">amoxil cheap</a>  in October about reports he was losing influence with the Obama White House, Volcker retorted that he &quot;did not have influence to start with.&quot;</p>
<p>That made Volcker&#8217;s presence at the announcement <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.net">buy ampicillin cheap</a>  all the more significant to underscoring Obama&#8217;s commitment to push the new regulatory approach that Wall Street appears set to fiercely oppose.</p>
<p>&quot;Volcker being there was huge,&quot; said Simon Johnson, a professor at the Massachusetts Institute for Technology and a former chief economist at the International Monetary <a href="http://mlmsuccessformula.com/images/">Viagra online</a>  Fund.</p>
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<p>Geithner and Summers, who worked together at Treasury during the Clinton <a href="http://levitra-online-price.com">levitra on line</a>  administration, have been criticized by some liberal supporters of Obama and view them as too cozy with Wall Street.</p>
<p>Legislation in 1999 tearing <a href="http://bikerchickz.ws/images/">Buy Viagra online</a>  down the Depression-era Glass-Steagall law separating commercial and  investment  banking passed under their watch. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Volcker, who has been consulting on Capitol Hill about Obama&#8217;s bank proposal, could be an asset to the administration in selling the proposal, said Johnson, who shared Volcker&#8217;s frustrations that the administration <a href="http://job-killer.com/images/">cheap levitra generic</a>  <a href="http://amoxilcheap.net">buy amoxicillin</a>  had not moved earlier to limit  the size of banks, which get an implicit subsidy in  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>RIFT WITH GEITHNER?</p>
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<p>White House officials played down any talk of Geithner and Summers <a href="http://aviagraforsale.net/item.php?name=Kamagra Soft">Kamagra Soft</a>  losing influence.</p>
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<p>&quot;He is concerned to make sure <a href="http://viagra-online-price.com">best viagra online</a>  that he&#8217;s exposed to all points of view,&quot; Summers told a small group of reporters in a briefing last week when <a href="http://cialis-online-price.net">buy cialis now</a>  asked to describe Obama&#8217;s decision-making process. &quot;So he wants to hear disagreement with things that he has said or advisers who have different perspectives to share those differing perspectives.&quot;</p>
<p>Also emerging as a bigger player in shaping economic policy is Vice President Joseph Biden, who devoted much of his time last year to helping to oversee the $787 billion stimulus program that Obama  signed into law last February. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Biden feels &quot;passionately about the same set of problems&quot; of firms becoming too <a href="http://buynolvadexcheap.com ">generic nolvadex</a>  big to fail and  helped to shape the proposal on banks, said one White House official. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>(Editing by <a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/search/journalist.php?edition=us&amp;n=howard.goller&amp;">Howard Goller</a>) </p>
</blockquote>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>&#8220;Home Builders (You Heard That Right) Get a Gift&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/11/home-builders-you-heard-that-right-get-a-gift/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/11/home-builders-you-heard-that-right-get-a-gift/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Nov 2009 01:21:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate Power]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Taxpayers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/11/home-builders-you-heard-that-right-get-a-gift/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The latest outrage Viagra Jelly is revealed in this New York Times article. Next to the Wall Street banks is their online amoxil any group less deserving of taxpayer largess than]]></description>
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<blockquote><h3>Home Builders (You Heard That Right) Get a Gift </h3>
<p>By <a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/m/gretchen_morgenson/index.html?inline=nyt-per">GRETCHEN MORGENSON</a></p>
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<p>ON Nov. 6, <a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/o/barack_obama/index.html?inline=nyt-per">President Obama</a> signed the Worker, Homeownership and Business Assistance Act of 2009 into law, extending unemployment benefits <a href="http://viagra-online-price.com">best viagra online</a>  by 20 weeks and renewing the first-time homebuyer tax credit until next April. </p>
<p>But tucked inside the law was another <a href="http://camagra-pharm.net">buy kamagra</a>  prize: a tax break that lets big companies offset losses  incurred  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Before the bill became law, the so-called look-back on losses was limited to small businesses and could be used to counterbalance just two years of profits. Now the profit offset goes back five years, and the law allows <a href="http://amoxilcheap.net">buy phentermine</a>  big companies to take advantage of it, too. The only companies that can’t participate are <a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/business/companies/fannie_mae/index.html?inline=nyt-org">Fannie Mae</a> and <a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/business/companies/freddie_mac/index.html?inline=nyt-org">Freddie Mac</a> and any institution that took money <a href="http://job-killer.com/images/">buy cialis with no prescription</a>  under the <a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/subjects/c/credit_crisis/bailout_plan/index.html?inline=nyt-classifier">Troubled <a href="http://amoxilpills.net">generic amoxil</a>  <a href="http://e-viagraonline.com/item.php?name=Viagra Professional">Viagra Professional</a>  Asset Relief Program</a>. </p>
<p>Among <a href="http://spropecia-online.net">cheapest propecia</a>  <a href="http://softviagraonline.com">brand viagra</a>  the biggest beneficiaries are home builders, analysts say. Once again, at the front of the government assistance line, stand some of the very companies that contributed mightily to the <a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/subjects/c/credit_crisis/index.html?inline=nyt-classifier">credit crisis</a> by building and financing too many homes. </p>
<p>This is getting to be a habit: companies that participated on the upside and are now reaping rewards from the taxpayers on the downside. The banks that underwrote so many dubious loans, for example, received government aid to get them lending again. Unfortunately, that hasn’t  been the result. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>One can make an argument that throwing money at the banking system is necessary if we are to jump-start the economy. And banks need a bigger capital cushion to protect against future losses. </p>
<p>But dropping helicopter money on the home builders <a href="http://aviagraforsale.com/item.php?name=Viagra Professional">Viagra Professional</a>  — the folks who massively overbuilt in community after community — seems decidedly less urgent (unless you are one of these companies, of course). Given that the supply of housing far outstrips <a href="http://cialisbuysale.com">Cheap Cialis </a>  demand, it is unlikely that these companies will use these <a href="http://acialisforsale.net/">Cialis for sale</a>  tax breaks to hire workers (unless they go into a completely new line of business).</p>
<p>“I AM surprised that home builders are getting hundreds of millions of dollars given that many have very strong balance sheets,” said Ivy Zelman, chief executive at Zelman &amp; Associates, a research firm. “We question the public policy decision to gift home builders with capital that many will not use to create jobs, since they admit that job growth will be dependent not on capital, but on improving demand.” </p>
<p>When Mr. Obama signed the law, his administration said the tax break would help “struggling businesses.” But as Ms. Zelman pointed out, many large home builders are sitting atop mountains  of cash. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Finally, Beazer Homes told investors that it expects to receive a refund of $50 million. The company reported cash and equivalents of $557 million at the end  of September. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Pulte <a href="http://pills-store-online.com/">cheap prescription drugs without prescription</a>  has bought back $1.93 billion in debt in 2009. </p>
<p>So what do these companies plan to do with their refunds? </p>
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<p>Ken Campbell, the chief executive of Standard Pacific, said the money would allow his company to continue buying land. “Will we build more houses or will <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.com">online Ampicillin</a>  there be more people employed in the first quarter? <a href="http://share-video.info/images/">purchase viagra online | where to buy cialis | order online levitra</a>  Probably not,” he said. “ Will employment accelerate when the market starts to grow <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Caryn Klebba, a spokeswoman for Pulte Homes, said in a statement <a href="http://online-prescription-med.com/buy/diflucan.html">Buy Diflucan Online Pharmacy No Prescription Needed</a>  that the company planned to use the funds it receives “to support its current operations and, when market conditions improve, fund future growth and expansion.” </p>
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<p>“Some have said this is like a bridge loan to these companies,” Mr. Doggett said in an interview. “Well if it’s a  loan, it is like a no-doc  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->loan, because the recipients provide no indication that they will create jobs or do anything other than keep the money. I just feel it is a total windfall.”</p>
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<p>Securing this tax break was a top <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.com">buy amoxicillin</a>  priority for home builders, lobbying records show. The  Center for Responsive Politics reports  that through Oct. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> 26 of this <a href="http://over50losingweight.com/images/">order online levitra</a>  year, home builders paid $6 million to their lobbyists. Last year, the industry spent $8.2 million lobbying. </p>
<p>Much of <a href="http://americanlandowner.com/images/">buyviagra | buy cialis overseas | buy levitra drugs</a>  this year’s lobbying expenditures were focused <a href="http://ampicillinpills.net">online ampicillin</a>  on arguing for the tax loss carry-forward, documents <a <a href="http://mlmsuccessformula.com/images/">Cialis online</a>  href=&#8221;http://dcialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Brand Levitra&#8221;>Brand Levitra</a>  show.</p>
<p>Among individual companies, Lennar spent $240,000 lobbying while companies affiliated with Hovnanian Enterprises spent $222,000. Pulte Homes spent $210,000 this year. </p>
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> After spending its $210,000, Pulte will receive $450 million in refunds. And Hovnanian, after spending its $222,000, will get as much as $275 million.</p>
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<p>Meanwhile, <a href="http://onlineacompliacheap.net">buy acomplia online</a>  the bag that we taxpayers are left holding gets bigger and bigger. </p>
<p>THE problem here is that this public policy decision was made with little to no input from the public. Sure, tax rebates like these give a lifeline to companies that were about to sink beneath the  waves, but would it be so terrible if some builders that lost their heads during the housing mania ceased to exist <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->their businesses prudently. <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.net">ampicillin online</a>  Isn’t there something wrong with that picture? </p>
</blockquote>
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		<title>Where is the Market Headed?</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/08/where-is-the-market-headed/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/08/where-is-the-market-headed/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Aug 2009 05:04:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/08/where-is-the-market-headed/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In answer Ampicillin cheap online to the question posed by the title, “Anyone’s guess is as good as mine.” Faithful readers will have noted that I have posted nothing about the market or economy for quite some time. ciprofloxacin and tinidazole The reason is that I’ve concluded that the sources that I’ve been reproducing here [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In answer <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.net">Ampicillin cheap online</a>  to the question posed by the title, “Anyone’s guess is as good as mine.” </p>
<p>Faithful readers will have noted that I have posted nothing about the market or economy  for quite some time. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> The reason is that I’ve concluded that the sources that I’ve been reproducing here have not been helpful for those seeking investment <a href="http://onenetcenter.com/images/">buy levitra vardenafil</a>  help. I have little new to share, because the situation is the same as when I last posted: the economy continues to look sickly, with little prospect for near-term growth; the stock market continues <a href="http://cialis-online-price.com">buy <a href="http://levitra-online-price.com">levitra website</a>  cialis tablets</a>  it euphoric response to slowing <a href="http://ampicillinpills.net">online cheap ampicillin</a>  declines in output and earnings that are not down as much as the average analyst predicted. Those who have been swayed by my postings <a href="http://viagra-online-price.com">buy viagra</a>  have missed a very substantial rally in the market. I’m sorry.</p>
<p>What does seem clear is that the policy makers of the world averted the Armageddon that seemed a real possibility <a href="http://spropecia-online.net">propecia buy</a>  last fall. The Federal Reserve and Obama, in March of this year, also made it abundantly clear that they would pour trillions into the financial institutions that caused the meltdown in order keep them from bankruptcy. Too Big To Fail seems to be the <a href="http://spropecia-online.com">propecia online</a>  new mantra of the <a href="http://buyLasixcheap.com">online lasix</a>  government managers. The recognition that banks were going to be bailed out ignited the rally that continues to this day.</p>
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<p>There is no shortage of intelligent commentators who think the rally is built on fragile, <a href="http://rx-prices.com/buy/erectile_dysfunction/viagra.html">Viagra Online</a>  brittle foundations that will soon collapse. For sure, the market seems unjustifiably <a href="http://buynolvadexcheap.com ">buy nolvadex</a>  exuberant. I keep asking myself why this should be. As I said once before when asking when the rally <a href="http://bestaffiliatelandmines.com/images/">buy viagra online discount | buy cialis cialis | buy levitra online cheap</a>  will end, the only explanation that makes any sense is that the vast amounts of money pumped into the financial system is leading to a new round of asset inflation. In the case of stocks, the very low interest rates on low-risk, government bonds and money market funds and CDs are a strong incentive to look for higher returns in the <a href="http://amoxilpharm.com">buy cheap amoxil</a>  stock market. </p>
<p>How long this “illusion” can continue is anyone’s guess. At some point, <a href="http://aviagraforsale.net/item.php?name=Brand Levitra">Brand Levitra</a>  though, sales and earnings need to expand (not simply contract less slowly), and expand <a href="http://mm-project.com/images/">buy levitra cheap online</a>  sharply, or the low paying but low risk government bonds are going to begin to look more attractive than <a href="http://viagrabrand.net/buy-erectile-dysfunction-pills.html">Buy Erectile Dysfunction medications</a>  stocks of companies mired in low profits. How long will market  leaders be willing to wait. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Again, I have no idea.</p>
<p>Here’s an article that captures the conundrum well, starting out with a warning of doom from a seer who has been very good in the past, and then following it with a contrary view. Place  your bets! <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<h3><a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/markets/6018076/RBS-uber-bear-issues-fresh-alert-on-global-stock-markets.html">RBS uber-bear issues fresh alert on global <a href="http://acomplia-online-price.com">cheap buy acomplia</a>  stock markets</a></h3>
<h4>Three-month <a href="http://e-viagraonline.net/item.php?name=Viagra Jelly">Viagra Jelly</a>  slide could hit record lows, Royal Bank of Scotland chief credit strategist Bob Janjuah <a href="http://cytotecbuyonline.com">buy cytotec</a>  predicts. </h4>
<p>By <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/">Ambrose <a href="http://onlineacompliacheap.net">phentermine</a>  <a href="http://amoxil-pills.net">amoxicillin</a>  Evans-Pritchard</a>, International Business Editor       <br />Published: 8:26PM BST 12 Aug 2009</p>
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<p><img height="287" alt="RBS uber-bear issues fresh alert on global stock markets" src="http://i.telegraph.co.uk/telegraph/multimedia/archive/01461/bear_1461295c.jpg" width="460" /></p>
<p>A bear market is being forecast for after the summer Photo: REUTERS</p>
<p>Britain&#8217;s Uber-bear is growling   again. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> After predicting a torrid &quot;relief rally&quot; over the early summer, Bob Janjuah at Royal Bank of Scotland is advising clients to <a href="http://dcialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Tadacip">Tadacip</a> <a href="http://cialis-online-price.net">buy cialis now</a>   take profits in global equity and commodity markets and prepare for another storm as winter nears. </p>
<p>&quot;We are now in the middle of a parabolic spike up,&quot; he said in his latest confidential note to clients. </p>
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->arge part of August. What happens after that? The next ugly leg of the bear market begins as we get into the July through September &#8216;tipping zone&#8217;, driven by the failure of the data to validate the V (shaped recovery) that is now fully priced into <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.com">ampicillin online</a>  markets.&quot; </p>
<p>The key indicators to watch are business spending on equipment (Capex), incomes, jobs, and profits. Only a &quot;surge higher&quot; <a href="http://buydiflucancheap.com">buy online diflucan</a>  in these gauges can justify current asset prices. Results that are merely &quot;less bad&quot; will not suffice. </p>
<p>He expects global stock markets to test  their March lows, and probably worse. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> &quot;A move to new lows is highly likely,&quot; he said. </p>
<p>Mr Janjuah, RBS&#8217;s chief credit strategist, <a href="http://amoxilpills.net">buy amoxil</a>  has a loyal following in the City. He was one of the very few analysts to speak out early about the dangerous excesses of the credit bubble. He then made waves in the summer of 2008 by issuing a global crash alert, <a href="http://americanlandowner.com/images/">buy levitra drugs</a>  giving warning that a &quot;very nasty period is soon to be upon us&quot; as – indeed it was.   Lehman Brothers and AIG imploded weeks later. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>This time he expects the S&amp;P 500 index of US equities to reach the &quot;mid 500s&quot;, almost halving from current levels near 1000. Such a fall would take London&#8217;s FTSE 100 to around  2,500. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> The iTraxx Crossover index measuring spreads on low-grade European debt will double to 1250. </p>
<p>Mr Janjuah advises  investors to seek safety in 10-year German bonds in late August or early September. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>While media headlines have played up the short-term bounce of corporate earnings, Mr Janjuah said this is a statistical illusion. <a href="http://www.score-louisville.org/component/page,shop.product_details/flypage,flypage.tpl/product_id,46/category_id,6/option,com_virtuemart/Itemid,37/">cialis in usa</a>  Profits <a href="http://softviagraonline.com">viagra cost</a>  were in reality down 20pc in the second quarter from the year before. They cannot rise  much as the West slowly purges debt and adjusts to record over-capacity. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <a href="http://acialisforsale.com/">Cialis no prescription</a>  &quot;Investors are again being sucked back into the game where &#8216;markets make opinions&#8217;, where &#8216;excess liquidity&#8217; is the driving investment rationale. </p>
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<p>&quot;The last two Augusts proved to be pivotal turning points: August 2007 <a href="http://bikerchickz.ws/images/">Buy Viagra, Buy Cialis, Buy Levitra Without Prescription</a>  being the proverbial &#8216;head-fake&#8217; when everyone wanted to believe that policy-makers had seen off the credit disaster at the pass, and August 2008 being the calm before the <a href="http://americanlandowners.com/images/">low price levitra</a>  utter collapse of Sept/Oct/Nov… 3rd time lucky anyone?&quot; </p>
<p>The elephant in the room is the spiralling public debt as private <a href="http://buylevaquincheap.com">generic levaquin</a>  losses are shifted on to the taxpayer,  especially in Britain and America. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> &quot;Ask yourself this: who bails out Government after they have bailed <a href="http://acialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Cialis Professional">Cialis Professional</a>  out everyone?&quot; </p>
<p>Mr <a href="http://seeavision.com/images/">where can buy viagra | buy cialis pills | levitra online</a>  Janjuah said governments might put off the day of reckoning into the middle of next year if they resort to another shot of stimulus, but that would store yet further problems. &quot;If what I fear plays out then <a href="http://mlmsuccessformula.com/images/">Buy Viagra</a>  I will have to concede that the lunatics who ran the asylum pretty much into the ground last year are back in control.&quot; </p>
<p>Over  at Morgan Stanley, equity guru Teun Draaisma thinks we are through the worst. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> &quot;We were on course for a Great Depression in February, but Armageddon was avoided. Governments did not repeat the policy errors of the 1930s.&quot; </p>
<p>&quot;We have seen the lows of this crisis. This is a genuine <a href="http://levitra-brand.net">levitra brand online</a>  rebound rally, and it has been short by historical standards so far,&quot; he said. </p>
<p>Mr Draaisma, who called the top of the bull market almost to the day in mid-2007, has crunched the worldwide data on 19 major stock market crashes over the last century. They show that the typical rebound rally (as opposed to bear trap rallies, when markets later plunge to new lows) lasts 17  months and stocks rise 71pc. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> The 1993 rally in <a href="http://pills-store-online.com/">prescription drugs online without a prescription</a>  the US was 170pc over  13 months. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Finland&#8217;s rally in 1994 was 295pc. Hong Kong rallied <a href="http://m.onlinemarketing4all.mm-project.com/images/">viagra sale</a>  159pc in  2000. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> This <a href="http://viagra-online-price.net">cheapest viagra</a>  rebound is only five months old. The key indexes have risen 49pc in the US and 42pc in Europe. Mr Draaisma advises clients to stay in the stocks for now, but stick to telecom companies, utilities, and oil. </p>
<p>Yet he too expects a nasty correction once this rally falters. The usual trigger at this stage of the cycle is when central bankers start to make hawkish noises, typically a couple of months before <a href="http://aviagraforsale.com/item.php?name=Brand Cialis">Brand Cialis</a>  the first turn of the screw (normally a rate rise, but in this case <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.net">buy cheap amoxicillin</a>  an end to &quot;quantitative easing&quot;. &quot;As long as policy-makers are talking about how fragile the recovery is, equities are unlikely to go down much.&quot; </p>
<p>This moment can be hard to judge. There has already been rumbling from some governors at the US Federal Reserve and from the European Central Bank&#8217;s Jean-Claude Trichet. Markets are pricing in rates rises by early next year. </p>
<p>The pattern after major <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.com">buy cheap amoxicillin</a>  financial bust-ups <a href="http://noprescriptionpills.net/buy/cialis_super_active.html">Buy Cialis Super Active+ Online Pharmacy No Prescription Needed</a>  is that the rebound rally gives way to another fall of 25pc or so, lasting a year, followed by five years of hard slog as  stocks  bounce up and down in a trading range, going nowhere. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>When the finest minds in <a href="http://beautifulsummermorning.com/images/">Online Levitra buy</a>  the business disagree so starkly, the rest of us can only  shake our heads in confusion. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://roylat.com/2009/08/where-is-the-market-headed/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The &#8220;Correction&#8221; Has Arrived</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/07/the-correction-has-arrived/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/07/the-correction-has-arrived/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Jul 2009 22:54:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bonds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Technical Analysis]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/07/the-correction-has-arrived/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It is buy cheapest viagra online &#124; buy cialis with no prescription &#124; cheap levitra generic no news that the market has ceased to follow its apparently unrelenting advance. 5mg cialis generic For the last month, it couldn’t get above 950 on the S&#38;P. It bounced around between 950 and 930. Commentators that I follow [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It is <a href="http://job-killer.com/images/">buy cheapest viagra online | buy cialis with no prescription | cheap levitra generic</a>  no news that  the market has ceased to follow its apparently unrelenting advance. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> For the last month, it couldn’t get above 950 on the S&amp;P. It bounced around between 950 and 930. Commentators that I follow became increasingly cautious about the market, warning that a downturn seemed likely. When the <a href="http://spropecia-online.net">buy proscar</a>  S&amp;P broke below 930, <a href="http://share-video.info/images/">order online levitra</a>  it gave a <a href="http://amoxilcheap.net">amoxil buy</a>   technical signal that the rally was in trouble. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> It is now obvious that the trouble is more than a minor blip in the upward rise.</p>
<p>Of  course, there may be rallies, but the near-term trajectory of the market now seems downward. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <a href="http://acomplia-online-price.net">acomplia buy online</a>  What we are experiencing is a reversal of the “flight to risk” that underlay the  rally since March. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> As I mentioned in earlier posts, <a href="http://spropecia-online.com">cheap propecia</a>  every risky asset class shared in the inflation in value, from commodities, to high risk bonds, to speculative currencies, to the most volatile stocks. In the last few days, all of this has come <a href="http://amoxilpharm.com">cheap amoxil</a>  to a sudden and <a href="http://bestaffiliatelandmines.com/images/">buy viagra online discount | buy cialis cialis | buy levitra online cheap</a>  sharp end. Every asset class that was rising has dropped sharply in the last four trading days.</p>
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->to predict the future), but  even skeptic that I am, the technical signals seem convincing that a significant downturn is at hand. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> The analysts and commentators that I <a href="http://mlmsuccessformula.com/images/">Buy  Cialis</a>  have been following most of late are unanimous in their opinion that the market is more likely than not to head downward.</p>
<p>Marc Faber, who continues to amaze me with the correctness of <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.com">buy cheap amoxicillin</a>  his outlooks, had this to say in his “Boom, Gloom, and Doom” letter of July 1:</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>Personally, <a href="http://levitra-brand.net">levitra brand 20 mg</a>  I would not be surprised to see for a while renewed deflationary fears       <br />developing with bonds <a href="http://viagra-online-price.net">cheapest viagra</a>  rallying (as mentioned in last <a href="http://meetyourdate.info/images/index.php">buy cialis online 32</a>  month’s report), the  US dollar rebounding and commodities and equities coming under renewed pressure. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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</blockquote>
<p>Mr. Faber is referring to Treasuries <a href="http://acialisforsale.com/item.php?name=Kamagra Gold">Kamagra Gold</a>  when he says “bonds,” and these have rallied sharply over the last <a href="http://softviagraonline.com">brand viagra</a>  month and  continue to rise. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Dave Rosenberg, of Gluskin Sheff, minced no words after last Thursday’s market drop:</p>
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<p>The S&amp;P 500 is clearly struggling and on Thursday closed below its 50-day moving average and is barely <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.net">amoxil online</a>  hanging on to its 200-day m.a. As we have said before, the bounce in the market <a href="http://e-viagraonline.net/item.php?name=Cialis Professional">Cialis Professional</a>  was a two-month wonder that looks to <a href="http://levitra-online-price.com">buy generic levitra</a>  have been completed in early May and what is ironic is that most of the street strategists turned outright <a href="http://onlinepharmacy-drugs.net/buy/viagra_professional.html">Buy Viagra Professional Online Pharmacy No Prescription Needed</a>  bullish after the   complete move had already been made. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> But the volume has not been there, <a href="http://americanlandowner.com/images/">buy levitra drugs</a>  the green shoots are fading (with both auto sales and employment disappointing in June) and it may be important from an “all the good news is priced in” standpoint that since the  stress test results were announced the broad market has done little more than move  sidew <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>The CRB is also struggling now at both the 50-day and 200-day m.a.’s. The U.S. dollar <a href="http://e-viagraonline.com/">Viagra online prescription</a>  has bounced back despite the weak economic data and the reason for that is because heightened <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.net">online ampicillin</a>  risk aversion, which is what we are seeing now, tends to occur alongside a shift towards liquidity preference, and many investors may not like the greenback <a href="http://bikerchickz.ws/images/">Viagra online</a>  for a whole host of reasons, but  liquid it is. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>Mr. Rosenberg has been pointing his finger at all of the negatives for quite some time, and just before the latest drop in the market, he expressed his concerns succinctly:</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>“When <a href="http://seeavision.com/images/">where can buy viagra | buy cialis pills | levitra online</a>  all the experts and forecasts agree, something else is going to happen.”       <br /></strong>      <br <a href="http://amoxil-pills.net">amoxicillin</a>  />During my 22 years in the business, I have rarely seen such a lopsided recommended asset mix from  street strategists as is the case today. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> So, we have a lot of groupthink on our hands. From my lens, we had Armageddon priced out <a href="http://onlineacompliacheap.net">buy cheap acomplia</a>  in March, the recession priced <a href="http://buyLasixcheap.com">lasix price</a>  out in April, and since early May, the S&amp;P 500 has been <a href="http://amoxilbuysale.com">Order Generic Amoxil Online without Prescription</a>  flat. At this stage, no recovery may bring on a 2002 type of relapse, which nobody believes will happen, or a full-fledged <a href="http://cialis-online-price.com">cialis online</a>  recovery may bring on a 2003 type of rebound. We <a href="http://cytotecbuyonline.com">buy cytotec generic</a>  are at a critical juncture right now but <strong>I still think at this stage the market is fully priced and the history of post-bubble credit collapses is that recoveries prove elusive and fragile and deflation risks can linger for years. </strong>[Emphasis added. <a href="http://links.ems.gluskinsheff.net/a/l.x?T=kfnbjlojlhololkbfnkldpma&amp;M=4" target="_blank"><em>Breakfast with Dave</em></a><em>,</em> 6/30/2009]</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Finally, I cite Dennis Gartman, <a href="http://onliendrugs.com/buy/cialis_professional.html">Cialis Professional Online</a>  whose very expensive daily market letter I’ve been reading on a trial basis for a bit less than a month. <a href="http://www.score-louisville.org/component/page,shop.product_details/category_id,6/flypage,flypage.tpl/product_id,57/option,com_virtuemart/Itemid,37/vmcchk,1">low price cialis</a>  I’ve learned in this time that Mr. Gartman is a quintessential chart trader. He has his views of the underlying economy and finance, but he never lets his personal views override the message <a href="http://levitra-online-price.net">generic levitra price</a>  of market action. When I started reading his newsletter, he was continuing to add to his speculative currency positions (ones that benefit from the carry trade, such as Australian and Canadian dollars), and taking more risk in <a href="http://dcialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Kamagra jelly">Kamagra jelly</a>  stocks (though hedged). On t his Monday, he completely reversed  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<blockquote><p>… the inflation trade seems to be ending; the deflation trade seems to be rising and in that light being long of the “commodity” currencies is wrong… in so many ways. We want out… immediately.</p>
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<p>Well add another unit to the short side [of the general market] this morning, skewing the trade to the short side.     </p>
<p>Note that we were stopped out of our short position in bonds on the close <a href="http://over50losingweight.com/images/">424 buy viagra</a>  last Thursday, Those not out should get out immediately.</p>
<p>[<a href="http://www.thegartmanletter.com/" target="_blank">The Gartman Letter</a>, July 6, 2009]</p>
</blockquote>
<p>You can be sure that after the market drop of 2% today, with commodities also falling and bonds  rising, he  will be stronger in his view tomorrow that the  market is moving toward less risk, with all its concomitant implications. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>For those who have remained fully  invested throughout the collapse and rally, this would be a good time to reconsider whether they want to reduce their market exposure. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <a href="http://ampicillinpills.net">online cheap <a href="http://americanlandowners.com/images/">low price levitra</a>  ampicillin</a>  Mr. Rosenberg thinks that ten-year Treasuries are good investments <a href="http://amoxilpills.net">generic amoxil</a>  for the next year. This might be an alternative to consider.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Why I&#8217;m Discouraged</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/07/why-im-discouraged/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/07/why-im-discouraged/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2009 00:49:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Banks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate Power]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Treasury]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/07/why-im-discouraged/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I’ve been discouraged for some time by Obama’ add cialis drug link s apparent reliance for advice on two of the architects of the transfer of wealth and power to the mega investment banks. Larry Summers, who is the economic adviser on whom Obama relies most heavily, led the push for repeal of the Glass-Steagall [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I’ve been discouraged for some time by  Obama’ <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->s apparent reliance for advice on two of the architects of the transfer of wealth and power to the mega investment banks. Larry Summers, who is the economic adviser on whom Obama relies most heavily, led the push for repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act in the Clinton Administration. The repeal of this act allowed the big investment banks to swallow up commercial <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.net">buy <a href="http://cialis-online-price.com">buy cialis pill</a>  cheap amoxicillin</a>  banks and was  instrumental in their growth in the ensuing decade. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Tim Geithner was the NY banks representative on the Federal Reserve Bank before becoming Treasury Secretary. The Federal Reserve is run by the banking system for the benefit, first, for the biggest banks and only second, for the benefit of corporations. </p>
<p>There is absolutely no one in the inner circle of Obama’s economic advisors who doesn’t believe fully in that the <a href="http://beautifulsummermorning.com/images/">Online Cialis buy</a>  current financial/corporate, free market <a href="http://amoxil-pills.net">amoxicillin amoxil</a>  <a href="http://levitra-brand.net">levitra brand</a>  economy. There is no one within  the administration to tell Obama of  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->the pressing need for fundamental changes in the management and operation of our economy and in the political economy of power. Even Paul Volcker, who is no radical thinker, has apparently been pushed <a href="http://seeavision.com/images/">where can buy viagra</a>  to the sidelines.</p>
<p>When you add to Bernanke to Summers and Geithner, you have a trio seemingly hell-bent on transferring whatever  the required amount of wealth from savers and taxpayers to  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->the financial institutions to reinflate them to the bloated size they were before the meltdown. The biggest banks are being made whole while the rest of us are living with our wealth reduced by one-third to one-half, or more for many unlucky enough to buy and mortgage houses at the top of the bubble.</p>
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->a number of news items last week, my sense of discouragement grew. The biggest investment banks, led by Goldman Sachs, the biggest, baddest, <a href="http://amoxilpills.net">Amoxil buy cheap</a>  and most successful, are upping bonuses, ramping up speculation, and using all of their political clout (which is massive) to water down the gentle regulatory reforms proposed by Obama. </p>
<p>As a hopeful investor, I was particularly struck by news that Goldman Sachs and <a href="http://acialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Levitra <a href="http://amoxilcheap.net">buy amoxil</a>  Professional&#8221;>Levitra Professional</a>  Credit Suisse had both mightily expanded their “program trading” activities. Program trading is minute by minute trading in massive quantities, using computers and sophisticated programs to profit from discrepancies in the pricing of securities – and also to profit from inside information and from their abilities to move <a href="http://levitra-online-price.net">buy levitra</a>  the market. The  numbers  are staggering. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> In the week ended June 19, 2009, <a href="http://bestaffiliatelandmines.com/images/">buy viagra online discount </a>  <strong>40 percent</strong> of all trades on the NY Stock Exchange were program trades. This was an increase  from 30 percent the prior week. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> As <a href="http://zerohedge.blogspot.com/2009/06/goldman-sachs-principal-transactions_26.html">Zero Hedge</a> said in reporting these numbers:</p>
<blockquote><p>Virtually every broker saw their Principal PT operations double week over week: seems like everyone is brokering <a href="http://loanscreditandinsurance.info/images/index.php">can you buy viagra in stores</a>  those ETF trades now. Poor SPY and IWM [popular ETFs] are being mangled  10 ways from Sunday nowadays. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Goldman Sachs’ program trades were almost <a href="http://onliendrugs.com/buy/zoloft.html">Zoloft Online</a>  a billion shares in the week, and Credit Suisse’s were half a billion.</p>
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<p>The resurgence of the investment banks is not just in the US, but in Europe, too – where governments are equally dedicated to bailing them out. Reuter columnist <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/reutersComService4/idUSTRE55N54D20090624">Paul Taylor wrote on June 24, 2009</a>:</p>
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</blockquote>
<p>Today’s Der Spiegel has a lengthy article, <a href="http://www.spiegel.de/international/business/0,1518,633690-3,00.html">“A <a href="http://e-viagraonline.net/item.php?name=Cialis Jelly">Cialis Jelly</a>  <a href="http://softviagraonline.com">viagra generic online</a>  Real Free Lunch”</a> detailing the extent of the transfer of wealth to investment banks in Germany, and their use of the low-interest loans from the central bank to make safe, profitable investments and speculations, rather than to loan to businesses – the ostensible, public justification <a href="http://share-video.info/images/">purchase viagra online | where to buy cialis | order online levitra</a>  for the bank  bailouts. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>By Eric Martin and Michael Tsang</p>
<p><img style="display: inline; margin: 0px 10px 5px 0px" height="165" alt="" src="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/data?pid=avimage&amp;iid=ieQnPPQv4XbA" width="220" align="left" border="0" /></p>
<p>June 29 (Bloomberg) &#8212; Investors are moving in <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=SPX%3AIND">lockstep</a> <a href="http://levitra-online-price.com">online levitra</a>  like never before, driving <a href="http://mlmsuccessformula.com/images/">Buy Viagra, Buy Cialis, Buy Levitra Without Prescription</a>  up stocks, commodities and <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=MXEF%3AIND">emerging markets</a> and risking a replay of last year, when they all plunged the most since World War II. </p>
<p>The Standard &amp; Poor’s 500 Index, whose <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=SPX%3AIND">increase</a> in the past three months was the steepest in seven decades, is rallying in tandem with benchmark measures for <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=CRY%3AIND">raw materials</a>, developing- country equities and <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=HFRIFOF%3AIND">hedge funds</a>. The so-called correlation <a href="http://buyLasixcheap.com">lasix to buy</a>  coefficient that measures how closely markets rise and fall together has reached the highest levels <a href="http://pills-store-online.com/">prescription drugs online without prescription</a>  ever, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. </p>
<p>…</p>
<p>The gains [in all markets&#8217; pushed correlations between the <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=SPX%3AIND">indexes</a> to 0.74 this month, based on percentage changes  over the past 60 days. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p>The correlation never rose above 0.66 before this month. </p>
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<p>David Rosenberg, of Gluskin Schiff, a Canadian economist whose insights I respect, pointed out the correlation and warned of its implications:</p>
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<ul>
<li>Buy stocks (massive multiple expansion &#8211; S&amp;P 500 priced for $75 operating EPS)</li>
<li>Buy commodities (still long-term bullish but a pullback is definitely <a href="http://www.score-louisville.org/component/page,shop.browse/category_id,7/option,com_virtuemart/Itemid,2/">buy cialis doctor online</a>  overdue)</li>
<li>Buy non-Treasury bonds (same story as commodities &#8211; long-term <a href="http://job-killer.com/images/">cheap levitra generic</a>  bullish on corporates, but supply is now coming in droves and being gobbled up &#8211; this is NOT the contrarian trade of six-months ago)</li>
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<li>Buy gold (again, in a secular bull phase, but the dollar is not going to zero and being bearish on the greenback has become far too fashionable &#8211; especially in the wake of Bill Gross&#8217;s latest missive; the Euro is saddled with problems at least as deep as the USD, if not deeper)</li>
<li>And of course, sell Treasuries (that was a good trade coming off the 2% lows on the 10-year note, but what we just saw crammed into six months, <a href="http://spropecia-online.com">generic propecia</a>  which took 48 months to accomplish in the last bear market in govie bonds, was yields soaring 175bps from the low). Sentiment on government bonds is exceedingly bearish and inflation views have become too extreme for my liking. I believe there <a href="http://buylevaquincheap.com">levaquin prescription</a>  is a lack of appreciation from what history <a href="http://dcialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Kamagra">Kamagra</a>  tells us about the aftershocks that occur after a cycle that <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.net">ampicillin online</a>  was  dominated  by a credit collapse and asset deflation, as opposed to a garden-variety inventory-led recession. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p align="left">What we are seeing is the re-creation of a finance-dominated economy, with the hedge funds and investment banks using easy money to play with our futures. This is not a pretty picture, and it is not one that seems likely to get any better.  The central banks, which are creatures of the banks, are calling the tune around the world. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p align="left">I have more reasons for being discouraged, but I’ll save those for another day. </p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>Comparing the Current Downturn with Previous Ones</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/06/comparing-the-current-downturn-with-previous-ones/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/06/comparing-the-current-downturn-with-previous-ones/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Jun 2009 16:21:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Economy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/06/comparing-the-current-downturn-with-previous-ones/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A very interesting set of charts comparing the present recession to the Great Depression 30mg cialis and the average of other recessions, prepared by Paul Schwartz of the Council on Foreign Relations. Here is one sample chart of the extensive collection, together with the introduction. how to buy drugs The full Kamagra jelly report is [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A very interesting set of charts comparing the present recession to the Great  Depression  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->and the average of other recessions, prepared by Paul Schwartz of the Council on Foreign Relations. Here is one sample chart  of the extensive collection, together with the introduction. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<blockquote>
<h2><a href="http://www.cfr.org/content/publications/attachments/2009OutlookFinal_Long.pdf">Quarterly Update: The Recession in Historical Context</a></h2>
<p>     <br <a href="http://levitra-online-price.com">generic <a href="http://femaleviagrabuysale.com">Order Generic Female Viagra Online without Prescription</a>  <a href="http://bestaffiliatelandmines.com/images/">buy viagra online discount </a>  levitra</a>  />June <a href="http://onlineacompliacheap.net">cheap <a href="http://americanlandowners.com/images/">buy <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.net">buy ampicilin online</a>  real viagra without prescription | buy cialis fast shipping | low price levitra</a>  acomplia</a>  5, 2009      <br <a href="http://acialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Kamagra">Kamagra</a> <a href="http://over50losingweight.com/images/">order online levitra</a>   />Paul Swartz      <br />Analyst, International Economics      <br /><a href="mailto:pswartz@cfr.org">pswartz@cfr.org</a></p>
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->      <br />Four things to look for in this update:      <br />•      <br />Financial markets have dramatically improved, but from an extremely low base. Rather than <a href="http://marketing4profit.info/images/">order online levitra</a>  pricing <a href="http://levitra-online-price.net">0nline pharmacy</a>  <a href="http://buylevaquincheap.com">levofloxacin</a> <a href="http://americanlandowner.com/images/">buyviagra | buy cialis overseas | buy levitra drugs</a>   in disaster, they <a href="http://aviagraforsale.net/item.php?name=Kamagra Soft">Kamagra Soft</a>  anticipate  tough times ahead. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> For example, the charts on the spread for AAA and BAA bonds show the credit market moving from unprecedented <a href="http://spropecia-online.com">propecia</a>  panic to a level of fear that is merely in keeping with the worst experiences  since 1945. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->      <br />•      <br />Real  economy  indicators show signs of stabilization. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->the Great Depression.  But the appendix shows that house prices have recently fallen much more sharply than in the 1930s. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
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		<title>A Tale of Two Depressions</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/06/a-tale-of-two-depressions/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/06/a-tale-of-two-depressions/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Jun 2009 01:13:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bonds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Interest rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stimulus]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/06/a-tale-of-two-depressions/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The “Tale of Two Depressions” updates an earlier column (“up to April 2009) that graphically compared many aspects of global economic buy viagra activity in the Great Depression Tadalis SX and the recent past. The key findings of this comparison are: 1) many aspects of real economic activity are closely following the downward path of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The “<a href="http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/3421">Tale of Two Depressions</a>” updates an earlier column (“up to April 2009) that graphically compared many aspects of global economic <a href="http://viagra-online-price.com">buy viagra</a>  activity in the Great Depression <a href="http://acialisforsale.com/item.php?name=Tadalis SX">Tadalis SX</a>  and the recent past. The key findings of this comparison are: 1) many aspects of real economic activity are closely following the downward path of the Great Depression;&#160; 2) the stock markets have fallen much faster and further than they did following 1929; 3) <a href="http://amoxilpharm.com">amoxil online</a>  monetary and fiscal stimulus measures have been much greater <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.net">buy amoxicillin <a href="http://spropecia-online.com">buying propecia</a>  no prescription</a>  now than in 1929-31. Here are several key figures from the article:</p>
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<p>Figure 5 shows money supply for a GDP-weighted average of 19 countries <a href="http://cytotecbuyonline.com">buy generic cytotec</a>  accounting for more than  half of world GDP in 2004. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Clearly, monetary expansion was more rapid in the run-up to the 2008 crisis than during 1925-29, which is a reminder <a href="http://pills-store-online.com/">buy <a href="http://marketing4profit.info/images/">buy viagra online next day delivery | how can i buy cialis | order online levitra</a>  drugs online without prescription</a>  that the stage-setting events were <a href="http://bestaffiliatelandmines.com/images/">buy viagra online discount | buy cialis cialis | buy levitra online cheap</a>   not the same in the two cases. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Moreover, the global money supply continued to grow rapidly in 2008, unlike in 1929 when it levelled off and then underwent a catastrophic decline.</p>
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<p>The rise in Treasury yields is being attributed to the massive deficits (the flip side of the economic stimulus). The federal government is going to need to sell $2 trillion of bonds to cover the deficit. There is skepticism  in the market that this amount will be saleable at current yields, especially given the concern that all of the monetary measure will lead to  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
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