<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>Roylat.com &#187; Global Economy</title>
	<atom:link href="http://roylat.com/category/global-economy/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://roylat.com</link>
	<description>Commentary on a Mixed Up and Sometimes Backward World</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Mon, 29 Aug 2011 12:37:19 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=</generator>
		<item>
		<title>All That Glitters Is Gold</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/11/all-that-glitters-is-gold/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/11/all-that-glitters-is-gold/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Nov 2009 13:56:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Interest rates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/11/all-that-glitters-is-gold/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I haven’t written about investments for some time, feeling that I have no better insights than anyone else about what is sensible to do in th 30mg cialis is environment. The equity markets seem overvalued, the bond markets face at some point a rise in interest rates that will be bad for bond prices, and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I haven’t written about investments for some time, feeling that I have no better insights than anyone else about what  is sensible to do in th <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cialisbuysale.com'>30mg cialis</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->is environment. The equity markets seem overvalued, the bond markets face at some point a rise in interest rates that will be bad for bond prices, and commodities seem to be predicting a resurgent world economy that is by no means <a href="http://www.score-louisville.org/component/option,com_jcalpro/Itemid,99999999/extmode,flyer/date,2060-08-01/">cialis <a href="http://levitra-brand.net">levitra brand price</a>  prescriptions</a>  certain.</p>
<p>What seems to be continuing its long-term strength is gold. Now, I for <a href="http://aviagraforsale.net/item.php?name=Cialis Jelly">Cialis Jelly</a>  one, have always felt that investing in gold is like shooting craps, because gold has  no intrinsic value. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://order-antibiotics.com'>drugs and antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> It is only worth what people <a href="http://bikerchickz.ws/images/">Viagra online</a>  are willing to pay at the moment, and <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.com">amoxicillin online</a>  this can change for many reasons. I’ve been reading those who are gold bulls for years,  and for the most part ignoring their counsel. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://accutanebuysale.com'>accutane education legal</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Now, I’m feeling that gold may be a reasonable place to put some of one’s money. The primary reason for this is that the US and other countries have “printed” so much money (in their efforts to prevent the financial collapse) that the future value of currency relative to gold seems likely to continue to fall (so the price of gold in currency terms will rise). </p>
<p>Aside from this argument, gold has quite steadily risen in the last year (as well as previous years) even when events would argue that it should be declining. <a href="http://beautifulsummermorning.com/images/">Buy Viagra, Buy Cialis, Buy Levitra Without Prescription</a>  <a href="http://pills-store-online.com/">prescription drugs online no prescription</a>  This suggests growing underlying demand.</p>
<p>David Rosenberg, who is a great skeptic about equities and the economy, puts the case for gold well:</p>
<blockquote><p><a href="http://links.ems.gluskinsheff.net/a/l.x?T=kfnbjlmpephielndjlnojidm&amp;M=4">GOLD GLITTERS</a></p>
<p>While the gold purchase by India’s central bank is widely viewed as the trigger point for the latest jump in the gold price, there are good reasons why bullion is in bull mode. It comes down to a fiscal policy in the U.S.A.  that will stop at nothing to ensure  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-orlistat.com'>diet orlistat pill prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> that the economy embarks on an uptrend. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antidepressants-online-shop.com/order-propecia-online-en.html'>avacor not propecia rogaine shen</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Even with a fiscal deficit north of 10% of GDP, the article from yesterday’s WSJ that was titled Job-Creation <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.net">Ampicillin cheap online</a>  Panel Leery of  Spending really resonated. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmacy-cipro.com'>action cipro</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> To wit:</p>
<p>“So far, the White House and Congress have been weighing <a href="http://e-viagraonline.net/item.php?name=Cialis Professional">Cialis Professional</a>  a range <a href="http://americanlandowner.com/images/">buy levitra drugs</a>  of short-term tax ideas to spur job growth, such as expanded refunds <a href="http://bestaffiliatelandmines.com/images/">buy viagra online discount | buy cialis cialis | buy levitra online cheap</a>  <a href="http://aviagraforsale.com/">Viagra for sale cheap</a>  for big companies that suffered losses; extension of a first-time homebuyer tax credit; and a new tax credit for hiring.”</p>
<p>So the strategy remains on “short-term” tactics as opposed to any long-run measures to improve the capital stock, enhance skills and training, <a href="http://cytotecbuyonline.com">buy generic cytotec</a>  bolster  education and enhance productivity growth. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://prescription-pharm.com/buy/bestsellers/cialis.html'>avodart cialis clomid diflucan dostinex gluco</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> If Milton Friedman taught us anything from the <a href="http://e-viagraonline.com/">Viagra online prescription</a>  permanent income hypothesis, it was that changes to income or   wealth that are perceived to be permanent have a much more beneficial and enduring effect than measures that are only transitory. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cheap-antibiotic.com/buy/cipro.html'>ciprofloxacin and tinidazole</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-doxycycline.com'>doxycycline antibiotic</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> But of course the other problem is who will pay for this fiscal largesse, and the answer is that nobody —the Fed will simply monetize the debt. More dollars will be printed and that is bullish for gold whose production is in secular decline.</p>
<p>Then  we saw this article on the WSJ yesterday too, titled Labor Gets Boost In Skies, on Rails. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pillprescription.com'>pharmaceutical pills</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Anyone involved in the markets, has to read this article and understand the differences between what is happening now and when the secular  bull market  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cipro.com/buy/isoniazid.html'>coumadin isoniazid interaction</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->began under Reagan administration in the early 1980s. To wit:</p>
<p>  <a href="http://dcialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Kamagra jelly">Kamagra jelly</a>     <br />“Organized labor appears to be gaining the upper hand in the skies and on the rails,  as labor and business battle for influence under the Obama administration. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://kaufen-pillen.com/online-valstar.php'>Online Valstar | Antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <a href="http://buydiflucancheap.com">order <a href="http://amoxilpills.net">buy Amoxil generic</a>  diflucan</a>  </p>
<p>Another reason for our bullish stance on gold is that we are not seeing the onset of a secular bull market in equities like the one we saw in the early 1980s.</p>
<p>The National Mediation Board wants to make it easier for thousands of airline and railway workers to unionize under the Railway Labor Act by seeking to junk a 75-year old election rule, according to a proposal published Monday in the Federal register. The move comes after a White House appointment shifted the balance of the government agency’s three-person   board. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-vpxl.com'>vpxl really</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cialis.com'>5mg cialis generic</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Linda Puchala, a former flight attendant union leader, was selected to replace Read Van de Water, a former Northwest Airlines lobbyist, earlier this year.”</p>
<p>To reiterate, this is not the onset of a sustainable secular bull market in equities as we had coming off the fundamental lows of prior bear phases, <a href="http://acialisforsale.com/item.php?name=Kamagra Gold">Kamagra Gold</a>  such as August <a href="http://buylevaquincheap.com">levaquin</a>  1982, when:</p>
<p>• Dividend yields were 6%, not sub 2% currently       <br />• Price-to-earnings multiples were 8x, not 26x       <br />• The market traded at book value, not over two times book       <br />• Inflation and bond yields were in double digits and headed down in the future, not near-zero and only headed higher       <br />• The stock market competed with 18% cash rates, not zero, and as such had a much higher hurdle to clear    <a href="http://onlinepharmacy-drugs.net/buy/viagra.html">Buy Viagra Online Pharmacy No Prescription Needed</a>     <br />• Sentiment was universally bearish; hardly the case today       <br />• Global trade flows were in the process of accelerating as barriers were taken down; today, we are seeing trade flows recede as frictions, disputes and tariffs become the order of the day       <br />• Unionization rates were on a secular decline; today labor power is clearly on the rise       <br />• A Reagan-led movement was afoot to reduce the role of government with attendant productivity gains in the future; as opposed to the infiltration by the public sector into the capital markets, union sector, economy and <a href="http://over50losingweight.com/images/">424 buy viagra | where to buy cialis without prescription | order online levitra</a>  of course, <a <a href="http://softviagraonline.com">viagra soft</a>  href=&#8221;http://onlineacompliacheap.net&#8221;>buy cheap acomplia</a>  the realm of CEO compensation</p>
<p>FINAL WORD ON GOLD</p>
<p>Gold <a href="http://amoxil-pills.net">online amoxil</a>  broke <a href="http://americanlandowners.com/images/">low <a href="http://amoxilpharm.com">cheap amoxil</a>  price levitra</a>  out to a new high yesterday of $1,084/oz <a href="http://buyLasixcheap.com">online lasix</a>  (and <a href="http://levitra-online-price.net">buy generic levitra</a>  continues to rally today). It did this despite the S&amp;P 500 managing to tick up two points and despite the DXY index actually eking out an 8bps rise to 76.3. This is NOT just a U.S. dollar story — have a look at what bullion is doing in Euro terms. Very impressive. This is a broadly based breakout and that means a durable secular bull market.       <br />Looking at the growth <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.com">ampicillin online</a>  rates in fiat currency that central banks are creating to stimulate their economies and the amount of bullion that would be necessary to back up this massive global monetary infusion suggests that gold can at least double if not triple from here. If you missed the first 4x runup from the $250/oz lows a decade ago, don’t worry about <a href="http://viagra-online-price.net">generic female viagra</a>  it. It’s like worrying about how you would have missed the first half of the rally in the S&amp;P 500 from 1982 to 1992 when the index was at 400 and still had 300% to go before finally peaking out and sputtering at the 1500+ highs eight  years later. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href="http://randomron.com/rich/rtd/phone-number.php">phone number</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> In other words, the cup is still half <a href="http://spropecia-online.com">buying propecia</a>  full — and still can be filled with gold eagle coins.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Another investment source, Prieur du Plessis, who I respect, makes the case for gold from another perspective:</p>
<blockquote><h4><a href="http://www.investmentpostcards.com/2009/11/05/gold-bullion-surging-in-all-currencies/">Gold bullion surging in all currencies</a></h4>
<p>I argued the bull case for gold in <a href="http://cialis-online-price.net">buy cialis soft</a>  my posts over the past few months (see “<a href="http://www.investmentpostcards.com/2009/05/07/gold-bullion-regaining-its-shine/">Gold <a href="http://spropecia-online.net">buy merck propecia</a>  bullion  &#8211; regaining its shine <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-pharm.com'>how to buy drugs</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->?</a>“, <a href="http://www.investmentpostcards.com/2009/05/22/gold-bullion-glitters-bright/">“Gold bullion glitters bright”</a> and “<a href="http://www.investmentpostcards.com/2009/09/05/gold-bullion-%e2%80%93-challenging-1000/">Gold bullion &#8211; challenging $1,000</a>“. With the gold price scaling fresh peaks and closing in on $1,100, it would certainly seem as if renewed interest <a href="http://cialis-online-price.com">buy <a href="http://femaleviagrabuysale.com">Buy Female Viagra </a>  cialis tablets</a>  in the yellow metal is being stirred up, especially subsequent to the purchase by India’s central bank of 200 metric tons of gold from the International Monetary Fund.</p>
<p> <a href="http://levitra-online-price.com">levitra on line</a> <a href="http://extremeaffiliatemarketing.com/images/">buy viagra online pharmacy</a>
<p>As printing presses are running at full speed to produce ever-increasing quantities of fiat money as governments engineer the greatest <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.net">amoxicillin</a>  asset price reflation in human history &#8211; and the US greenback is heading South &#8211; the longer-term fundamental case for the yellow metal is arguably positive.</p>
<p>“The gold bug has caught several big hedge fund managers this year including John <a href="http://acialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Tadacip">Tadacip</a>  Paulson of Paulson &amp; Company, Kyle Bass of Hayman Advisors and David Einhorn of Greenlight Capital, who believe enormous monetary and fiscal stimulus that has been injected into the global economy will eventually result in hyperinflation,” said <a href="http://dealbook.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/10/28/seeing-next-boom-tudor-goes-for-the-gold/">The <a href="http://share-video.info/images/">order online levitra</a>  New York Times</a>.</p>
<p>The gold price is not only making headway in US dollar terms, but also in most major (and minor) currencies  as illustrated by the table and graph below. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmprescription.com'>buy doxycycline without prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> This is a manifestation <a href="http://seeavision.com/images/">where can buy viagra | buy cialis pills | levitra online</a>  of increased investment demand, whereas the initial rise in the gold price from its low in 2001 ($250) was mostly a reflection of US dollar weakness.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.investmentpostcards.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/gold5111.jpg"><img title="gold5111" <a href="http://mlmsuccessformula.com/images/">Buy  Cialis</a>  height=&#8221;364&#8243; alt=&#8221;gold5111&#8243; src=&#8221;http://www.investmentpostcards.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/gold5111.jpg&#8221; <a href="http://jtc-enterprises.com/images/">buy viagra online order</a>  width=&#8221;520&#8243; /></a></p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p>…</p>
<p>The shorter-term technical picture is also looking interesting. This is explained by Adam Hewison of <a href="http://www.ino.com/info/205/CD3194/&amp;dp=0&amp;l=0&amp;campaignid=9">INO.com</a> <a href="http://amoxilcheap.net">buy amoxicillin</a>  who prepared a short technical analysis of gold’s most likely direction and key chart levels. Click <a href="http://www.ino.com/info/474/CD3194/&amp;dp=0&amp;l=0&amp;campaignid=3">here</a> to access the video presentation.</p>
<p>Seasonally, the period from November to December has traditional been good for gold, with average gains ranging from more than 1% to almost 2.5% since 1970.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.investmentpostcards.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/gold511d.jpg"><img title="gold511d" height="364" alt="gold511d" src="http://www.investmentpostcards.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/gold511d.jpg" <a href="http://camagra-pharm.net">kamagra buy</a>  width=&#8221;520&#8243; /></a></p>
<p>Source: Plexus Asset Management</p>
<p>I remain bullish <a href="http://viagra-online-price.com">viagra online stores</a>  on gold in the medium term, especially as I believe the vast money printing by central banks could set off strong <a href="http://buynolvadexcheap.com ">nolvadex <a href="http://meetyourdate.info/images/index.php">buy viagra cheap online | buy cialis online 32 | generic levitra buy online</a>  generic</a>  inflation  pressures down the road. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cialis.com'>add cialis drug link</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> I will not be surprised to see bullion remaining in a secular uptrend in the medium term. <strong>Add bullion to your portfolios, but given  the notorious volatility of  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-order.com'>buy antibiotics without prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->the metal only do so on pullbacks. </strong>(Emphasis added.)</p>
<p><a href="http://www.investmentpostcards.com/2009/11/05/gold-bullion-surging-in-all-currencies/">Full Article</a></p>
</blockquote>
<p>I stress the last sentence in  Mr. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-pharm.com'>1 3 array buy drug market</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Plessis’s article, because even thought the trend is strongly upward, there is a lot of volatility in price. Buying now, after such a sharp rise entails the risk of a fall. On the other hand, gold fever seems to be spreading quite broadly, which could lead to near-term sharp rises.</p>
<p> <a href="http://ampicillinpills.net">ampicillin online</a>
<p>The simplest way to  invest in gold is the buy GLD through a stock broker. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-cheap.com'>buy generic antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> This is an exchange traded fund that holds physical gold equal to the value of the outstanding shares; so it is relatively secure, and <a href="http://viagrabrand.net/buy-erectile-dysfunction-pills.html">Buy Erectile Dysfunction medications</a>  it is  very actively traded. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://viagrabuysale.com'>buy xenical viagra propecia com</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
<p>A final warning: my timing has been less than sterling in the last year; <a href="http://onliendrugs.com/buy/revia.html">Buy Revia Online</a>  so my coming to feel gold is a reasonable investment (among a set of relatively bleak choices) could be a good contrary sign.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://roylat.com/2009/11/all-that-glitters-is-gold/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The &#8220;Correction&#8221; Has Arrived</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/07/the-correction-has-arrived/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/07/the-correction-has-arrived/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Jul 2009 22:54:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bonds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Technical Analysis]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/07/the-correction-has-arrived/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It is buy cheapest viagra online &#124; buy cialis with no prescription &#124; cheap levitra generic no news that the market has ceased to follow its apparently unrelenting advance. 5mg cialis generic For the last month, it couldn’t get above 950 on the S&#38;P. It bounced around between 950 and 930. Commentators that I follow [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It is <a href="http://job-killer.com/images/">buy cheapest viagra online | buy cialis with no prescription | cheap levitra generic</a>  no news that  the market has ceased to follow its apparently unrelenting advance. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cialis.com'>5mg cialis generic</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> For the last month, it couldn’t get above 950 on the S&amp;P. It bounced around between 950 and 930. Commentators that I follow became increasingly cautious about the market, warning that a downturn seemed likely. When the <a href="http://spropecia-online.net">buy proscar</a>  S&amp;P broke below 930, <a href="http://share-video.info/images/">order online levitra</a>  it gave a <a href="http://amoxilcheap.net">amoxil buy</a>   technical signal that the rally was in trouble. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cheap-antibiotic.com/buy/cipro.html'>ciprofloxacin and tinidazole</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> It is now obvious that the trouble is more than a minor blip in the upward rise.</p>
<p>Of  course, there may be rallies, but the near-term trajectory of the market now seems downward. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://prescription-pharm.com/buy/bestsellers/cialis.html'>avodart cialis clomid diflucan dostinex gluco</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <a href="http://acomplia-online-price.net">acomplia buy online</a>  What we are experiencing is a reversal of the “flight to risk” that underlay the  rally since March. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-vpxl.com'>vpxl really</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> As I mentioned in earlier posts, <a href="http://spropecia-online.com">cheap propecia</a>  every risky asset class shared in the inflation in value, from commodities, to high risk bonds, to speculative currencies, to the most volatile stocks. In the last few days, all of this has come <a href="http://amoxilpharm.com">cheap amoxil</a>  to a sudden and <a href="http://bestaffiliatelandmines.com/images/">buy viagra online discount | buy cialis cialis | buy levitra online cheap</a>  sharp end. Every asset class that was rising has dropped sharply in the last four trading days.</p>
<p> <a href="http://aviagraforsale.net/item.php?name=Cialis Jelly">Cialis Jelly</a>
<p>I am not much <a href="http://buylevaquincheap.com">levaquin antibiotic</a>  of a technician <a href="http://buydiflucancheap.com">order diflucan</a>  (one who reads the tea <a href="http://buynolvadexcheap.com <a href="http://cialis-online-price.net">buy cialis professional</a>  &#8220;>buy nolvadex</a>  leaves <a href="http://pills-store-online.com/">drugs online</a>  of past  market action  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pillprescription.com'>pharmaceutical pills</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->to predict the future), but  even skeptic that I am, the technical signals seem convincing that a significant downturn is at hand. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://basicpills.com/buy/anti_depressant_anti_anxiety/zyprexa.html'>2006 medicaid medicare sept settlement zyprexa</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> The analysts and commentators that I <a href="http://mlmsuccessformula.com/images/">Buy  Cialis</a>  have been following most of late are unanimous in their opinion that the market is more likely than not to head downward.</p>
<p>Marc Faber, who continues to amaze me with the correctness of <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.com">buy cheap amoxicillin</a>  his outlooks, had this to say in his “Boom, Gloom, and Doom” letter of July 1:</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>Personally, <a href="http://levitra-brand.net">levitra brand 20 mg</a>  I would not be surprised to see for a while renewed deflationary fears       <br />developing with bonds <a href="http://viagra-online-price.net">cheapest viagra</a>  rallying (as mentioned in last <a href="http://meetyourdate.info/images/index.php">buy cialis online 32</a>  month’s report), the  US dollar rebounding and commodities and equities coming under renewed pressure. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-doxycycline.com'>doxycycline antibiotic</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> </strong>[emphasis in original]</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Mr. Faber is referring to Treasuries <a href="http://acialisforsale.com/item.php?name=Kamagra Gold">Kamagra Gold</a>  when he says “bonds,” and these have rallied sharply over the last <a href="http://softviagraonline.com">brand viagra</a>  month and  continue to rise. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-pharm.com'>how to buy drugs</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> The dollar <a href="http://viagrabrand.net/buy-erectile-dysfunction-pills.html">Buy Erectile Dysfunction medications</a>  is rebounding, and commodities across the board (and notably, oil) have  declined sharply, along with equities. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cialis.com'>add cialis drug link</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Once again, Mr. Faber, you get a 5-star  rating. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-orlistat.com'>diet orlistat pill prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
<p>Dave Rosenberg, of Gluskin Sheff, minced no words after last Thursday’s market drop:</p>
<p> <a href="http://aviagraforsale.com/">Viagra for sale cheap</a><br />
<blockquote>
<p>The S&amp;P 500 is clearly struggling and on Thursday closed below its 50-day moving average and is barely <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.net">amoxil online</a>  hanging on to its 200-day m.a. As we have said before, the bounce in the market <a href="http://e-viagraonline.net/item.php?name=Cialis Professional">Cialis Professional</a>  was a two-month wonder that looks to <a href="http://levitra-online-price.com">buy generic levitra</a>  have been completed in early May and what is ironic is that most of the street strategists turned outright <a href="http://onlinepharmacy-drugs.net/buy/viagra_professional.html">Buy Viagra Professional Online Pharmacy No Prescription Needed</a>  bullish after the   complete move had already been made. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cheap-antibiotic.com/buy/ceftin.html'>buy ceftin generic online</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cialisbuysale.com'>30mg cialis</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> But the volume has not been there, <a href="http://americanlandowner.com/images/">buy levitra drugs</a>  the green shoots are fading (with both auto sales and employment disappointing in June) and it may be important from an “all the good news is priced in” standpoint that since the  stress test results were announced the broad market has done little more than move  sidew <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://viagrabuysale.com'>buy xenical viagra propecia com</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->ays. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmacy-cipro.com'>action cipro</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
<p>The CRB is also struggling now at both the 50-day and 200-day m.a.’s. The U.S. dollar <a href="http://e-viagraonline.com/">Viagra online prescription</a>  has bounced back despite the weak economic data and the reason for that is because heightened <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.net">online ampicillin</a>  risk aversion, which is what we are seeing now, tends to occur alongside a shift towards liquidity preference, and many investors may not like the greenback <a href="http://bikerchickz.ws/images/">Viagra online</a>  for a whole host of reasons, but  liquid it is. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://order-antibiotics.com'>drugs and antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> [July 3, <a href="http://links.ems.gluskinsheff.net/a/l.x?T=kfnbjloocoiflehedmllccfl&amp;M=4" <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.com">buy ampicillin online</a>  target="_blank">Brunch <a href="http://viagra-online-price.com">buy viagra</a>  with Dave</a>]</p>
</blockquote>
<p> <a href="http://acialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Tadacip">Tadacip</a> <a href="http://loanscreditandinsurance.info/images/index.php">buy cialis brand</a>
<p>Mr. Rosenberg has been pointing his finger at all of the negatives for quite some time, and just before the latest drop in the market, he expressed his concerns succinctly:</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>“When <a href="http://seeavision.com/images/">where can buy viagra | buy cialis pills | levitra online</a>  all the experts and forecasts agree, something else is going to happen.”       <br /></strong>      <br <a href="http://amoxil-pills.net">amoxicillin</a>  />During my 22 years in the business, I have rarely seen such a lopsided recommended asset mix from  street strategists as is the case today. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmprescription.com'>buy doxycycline without prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> So, we have a lot of groupthink on our hands. From my lens, we had Armageddon priced out <a href="http://onlineacompliacheap.net">buy cheap acomplia</a>  in March, the recession priced <a href="http://buyLasixcheap.com">lasix price</a>  out in April, and since early May, the S&amp;P 500 has been <a href="http://amoxilbuysale.com">Order Generic Amoxil Online without Prescription</a>  flat. At this stage, no recovery may bring on a 2002 type of relapse, which nobody believes will happen, or a full-fledged <a href="http://cialis-online-price.com">cialis online</a>  recovery may bring on a 2003 type of rebound. We <a href="http://cytotecbuyonline.com">buy cytotec generic</a>  are at a critical juncture right now but <strong>I still think at this stage the market is fully priced and the history of post-bubble credit collapses is that recoveries prove elusive and fragile and deflation risks can linger for years. </strong>[Emphasis added. <a href="http://links.ems.gluskinsheff.net/a/l.x?T=kfnbjlojlhololkbfnkldpma&amp;M=4" target="_blank"><em>Breakfast with Dave</em></a><em>,</em> 6/30/2009]</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Finally, I cite Dennis Gartman, <a href="http://onliendrugs.com/buy/cialis_professional.html">Cialis Professional Online</a>  whose very expensive daily market letter I’ve been reading on a trial basis for a bit less than a month. <a href="http://www.score-louisville.org/component/page,shop.product_details/category_id,6/flypage,flypage.tpl/product_id,57/option,com_virtuemart/Itemid,37/vmcchk,1">low price cialis</a>  I’ve learned in this time that Mr. Gartman is a quintessential chart trader. He has his views of the underlying economy and finance, but he never lets his personal views override the message <a href="http://levitra-online-price.net">generic levitra price</a>  of market action. When I started reading his newsletter, he was continuing to add to his speculative currency positions (ones that benefit from the carry trade, such as Australian and Canadian dollars), and taking more risk in <a href="http://dcialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Kamagra jelly">Kamagra jelly</a>  stocks (though hedged). On t his Monday, he completely reversed  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-cheap.com'>buy generic antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> his investment stance. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href="http://randomron.com/rich/rtd/phone-directory.php">phone directory</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> </p>
<blockquote><p>… the inflation trade seems to be ending; the deflation trade seems to be rising and in that light being long of the “commodity” currencies is wrong… in so many ways. We want out… immediately.</p>
<p> <a href="http://beautifulsummermorning.com/images/">Buy Viagra, Buy Cialis, Buy Levitra Without Prescription</a>
<p>Well add another unit to the short side [of the general market] this morning, skewing the trade to the short side.     </p>
<p>Note that we were stopped out of our short position in bonds on the close <a href="http://over50losingweight.com/images/">424 buy viagra</a>  last Thursday, Those not out should get out immediately.</p>
<p>[<a href="http://www.thegartmanletter.com/" target="_blank">The Gartman Letter</a>, July 6, 2009]</p>
</blockquote>
<p>You can be sure that after the market drop of 2% today, with commodities also falling and bonds  rising, he  will be stronger in his view tomorrow that the  market is moving toward less risk, with all its concomitant implications. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://accutanebuysale.com'>accutane education legal</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-pharm.com'>1 3 array buy drug market</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-order.com'>buy antibiotics without prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
<p>For those who have remained fully  invested throughout the collapse and rally, this would be a good time to reconsider whether they want to reduce their market exposure. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://comprarepillole.com/ordine-avar-cleanser.php'>Ordine Avar Cleanser | Ordine Antibiotici</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <a href="http://ampicillinpills.net">online cheap <a href="http://americanlandowners.com/images/">low price levitra</a>  ampicillin</a>  Mr. Rosenberg thinks that ten-year Treasuries are good investments <a href="http://amoxilpills.net">generic amoxil</a>  for the next year. This might be an alternative to consider.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://roylat.com/2009/07/the-correction-has-arrived/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Why I&#8217;m Discouraged</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/07/why-im-discouraged/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/07/why-im-discouraged/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2009 00:49:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Banks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate Power]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Treasury]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/07/why-im-discouraged/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I’ve been discouraged for some time by Obama’ add cialis drug link s apparent reliance for advice on two of the architects of the transfer of wealth and power to the mega investment banks. Larry Summers, who is the economic adviser on whom Obama relies most heavily, led the push for repeal of the Glass-Steagall [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I’ve been discouraged for some time by  Obama’ <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cialis.com'>add cialis drug link</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->s apparent reliance for advice on two of the architects of the transfer of wealth and power to the mega investment banks. Larry Summers, who is the economic adviser on whom Obama relies most heavily, led the push for repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act in the Clinton Administration. The repeal of this act allowed the big investment banks to swallow up commercial <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.net">buy <a href="http://cialis-online-price.com">buy cialis pill</a>  cheap amoxicillin</a>  banks and was  instrumental in their growth in the ensuing decade. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-pharm.com'>how to buy drugs</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Tim Geithner was the NY banks representative on the Federal Reserve Bank before becoming Treasury Secretary. The Federal Reserve is run by the banking system for the benefit, first, for the biggest banks and only second, for the benefit of corporations. </p>
<p>There is absolutely no one in the inner circle of Obama’s economic advisors who doesn’t believe fully in that the <a href="http://beautifulsummermorning.com/images/">Online Cialis buy</a>  current financial/corporate, free market <a href="http://amoxil-pills.net">amoxicillin amoxil</a>  <a href="http://levitra-brand.net">levitra brand</a>  economy. There is no one within  the administration to tell Obama of  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://orden-pastillas.com/comprar-ovace-plus.php'>Comprar Ovace Plus | Comprar Antibioticos</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->the pressing need for fundamental changes in the management and operation of our economy and in the political economy of power. Even Paul Volcker, who is no radical thinker, has apparently been pushed <a href="http://seeavision.com/images/">where can buy viagra</a>  to the sidelines.</p>
<p>When you add to Bernanke to Summers and Geithner, you have a trio seemingly hell-bent on transferring whatever  the required amount of wealth from savers and taxpayers to  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmacy-cytotec.com/buy/reglan.html'>gastroparesis reglan</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->the financial institutions to reinflate them to the bloated size they were before the meltdown. The biggest banks are being made whole while the rest of us are living with our wealth reduced by one-third to one-half, or more for many unlucky enough to buy and mortgage houses at the top of the bubble.</p>
<p>When I re ad  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-order.com'>buy antibiotics without prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->a number of news items last week, my sense of discouragement grew. The biggest investment banks, led by Goldman Sachs, the biggest, baddest, <a href="http://amoxilpills.net">Amoxil buy cheap</a>  and most successful, are upping bonuses, ramping up speculation, and using all of their political clout (which is massive) to water down the gentle regulatory reforms proposed by Obama. </p>
<p>As a hopeful investor, I was particularly struck by news that Goldman Sachs and <a href="http://acialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Levitra <a href="http://amoxilcheap.net">buy amoxil</a>  Professional&#8221;>Levitra Professional</a>  Credit Suisse had both mightily expanded their “program trading” activities. Program trading is minute by minute trading in massive quantities, using computers and sophisticated programs to profit from discrepancies in the pricing of securities – and also to profit from inside information and from their abilities to move <a href="http://levitra-online-price.net">buy levitra</a>  the market. The  numbers  are staggering. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmprescription.com'>buy doxycycline without prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://order-antibiotics.com'>drugs and antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> In the week ended June 19, 2009, <a href="http://bestaffiliatelandmines.com/images/">buy viagra online discount </a>  <strong>40 percent</strong> of all trades on the NY Stock Exchange were program trades. This was an increase  from 30 percent the prior week. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pillprescription.com'>pharmaceutical pills</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> As <a href="http://zerohedge.blogspot.com/2009/06/goldman-sachs-principal-transactions_26.html">Zero Hedge</a> said in reporting these numbers:</p>
<blockquote><p>Virtually every broker saw their Principal PT operations double week over week: seems like everyone is brokering <a href="http://loanscreditandinsurance.info/images/index.php">can you buy viagra in stores</a>  those ETF trades now. Poor SPY and IWM [popular ETFs] are being mangled  10 ways from Sunday nowadays. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cialisbuysale.com'>30mg cialis</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
</blockquote>
<p>The absolute <a href="http://onlinepharmacy-drugs.net/buy/vpxl.html">Buy VPXL Online Pharmacy No Prescription Needed</a>  numbers are  equally staggering. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://prescription-pharm.com/buy/bestsellers/cialis.html'>avodart cialis clomid diflucan dostinex gluco</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Goldman Sachs’ program trades were almost <a href="http://onliendrugs.com/buy/zoloft.html">Zoloft Online</a>  a billion shares in the week, and Credit Suisse’s were half a billion.</p>
<p>With this amount of domination in the market by the investment banks, it makes me wonder what are the odds <a href="http://viagra-online-price.com">best viagra online</a>  against  me in the market <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://accutanebuysale.com'>accutane education legal</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->?</p>
<p>The resurgence of the investment banks is not just in the US, but in Europe, too – where governments are equally dedicated to bailing them out. Reuter columnist <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/reutersComService4/idUSTRE55N54D20090624">Paul Taylor wrote on June 24, 2009</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>No sooner <a href="http://spropecia-online.net">buying generic propecia</a>  has the financial system begun to stabilize than Big Finance is reverting to its old ways &#8212; aggressive hiring, <a href="http://camagracheap.net">kamagra generic</a>  remuneration on steroids, wriggling out of regulation or threatening to decamp <a href="http://aviagraforsale.com/item.php?name=Tadacip">Tadacip</a>   to evade  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-pharm.com'>1 3 array buy drug market</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->tougher supervision.</p>
<p>These are is not the rantings of some crypto-Marxist City-basher, but the considered <a href="http://cytotecbuyonline.com">cytotec</a>  view of one of Europe&#8217;s most thoughtful financial regulators.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Today’s Der Spiegel has a lengthy article, <a href="http://www.spiegel.de/international/business/0,1518,633690-3,00.html">“A <a href="http://e-viagraonline.net/item.php?name=Cialis Jelly">Cialis Jelly</a>  <a href="http://softviagraonline.com">viagra generic online</a>  Real Free Lunch”</a> detailing the extent of the transfer of wealth to investment banks in Germany, and their use of the low-interest loans from the central bank to make safe, profitable investments and speculations, rather than to loan to businesses – the ostensible, public justification <a href="http://share-video.info/images/">purchase viagra online | where to buy cialis | order online levitra</a>  for the bank  bailouts. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href="http://randomron.com/rich/rtd/phone-directory.php">phone directory</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
<p>The extent to which speculation appears to be driving the markets is indicated by how closely all asset classes &#8211;stocks, currencies, and commodities – have  been moving together. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmacy-cipro.com'>action cipro</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> I’ve noted that there is an almost perfect correlation between the price of the Australian dollar and the S&amp;P 500! This seem  completely bizarre. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-orlistat.com'>diet orlistat pill prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> </p>
<p>In the <a href="http://americanlandowners.com/images/">buy real viagra without prescription | buy cialis fast shipping <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.com">online Ampicillin</a>  | low price levitra</a>  chart below, the blue line is the S&amp; P 500 index. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharm-pill.com/order-cialis-online-en.html'>buy generic viagra generic cialis meltabs caverta silagra</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> The weekly ups and downs tracked very closely, though the change in the Australian dollar was generally more muted. </p>
<p><a href="http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/image1.png"><img <a href="http://bikerchickz.ws/images/">Cialis online</a>  <a href="http://aviagraforsale.net/">Viagra online delivery</a>  title=&#8221;image&#8221; style=&#8221;border-right: 0px; border-top: 0px; display: inline; border-left: 0px; border-bottom: 0px&#8221; <a href="http://buynolvadexcheap.com ">generic nolvadex</a>  height=&#8221;365&#8243; alt=&#8221;image&#8221; src=&#8221;http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/image-thumb1.png&#8221; <a href="http://femaleviagrabuysale.com">Buy Female Viagra </a>  width=&#8221;644&#8243; <a href="http://ampicillinpills.net">online ampicillin</a>  border=&#8221;0&#8243; /></a> </p>
<p>The close correlation in prices has been widely noted, and taken by  some as a warning sign. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://viagrabuysale.com'>buy xenical viagra propecia com</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> A recent article in Bloomberg spelled out:</p>
<blockquote><p><a <a href="http://e-viagraonline.com/item.php?name=Tadacip">Tadacip</a>  href=&#8221;http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=aaeSiksLwotY&#8221;>Cash Best as Record Correlation <a href="http://viagra-online-price.net">viagera</a>  Hints Herd Collapse (Update3)</a> </p>
<p>By Eric Martin and Michael Tsang</p>
<p><img style="display: inline; margin: 0px 10px 5px 0px" height="165" alt="" src="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/data?pid=avimage&amp;iid=ieQnPPQv4XbA" width="220" align="left" border="0" /></p>
<p>June 29 (Bloomberg) &#8212; Investors are moving in <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=SPX%3AIND">lockstep</a> <a href="http://levitra-online-price.com">online levitra</a>  like never before, driving <a href="http://mlmsuccessformula.com/images/">Buy Viagra, Buy Cialis, Buy Levitra Without Prescription</a>  up stocks, commodities and <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=MXEF%3AIND">emerging markets</a> and risking a replay of last year, when they all plunged the most since World War II. </p>
<p>The Standard &amp; Poor’s 500 Index, whose <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=SPX%3AIND">increase</a> in the past three months was the steepest in seven decades, is rallying in tandem with benchmark measures for <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=CRY%3AIND">raw materials</a>, developing- country equities and <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=HFRIFOF%3AIND">hedge funds</a>. The so-called correlation <a href="http://buyLasixcheap.com">lasix to buy</a>  coefficient that measures how closely markets rise and fall together has reached the highest levels <a href="http://pills-store-online.com/">prescription drugs online without prescription</a>  ever, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. </p>
<p>…</p>
<p>The gains [in all markets&#8217; pushed correlations between the <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=SPX%3AIND">indexes</a> to 0.74 this month, based on percentage changes  over the past 60 days. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-vpxl.com'>vpxl really</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <strong>That’s the highest in at least five  decades, data compiled by Bloomberg show. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-cheap.com'>buy generic antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></strong> A reading of 1 means two assets move in tandem, while zero means no relationship. </p>
<p>The correlation never rose above 0.66 before this month. </p>
<p>Gains in U.S. stocks have mirrored those in <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=SPX%3AIND">crude <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.com">buy amoxicillin</a>  oil</a> as never before, with correlations above 0.7 this month, according <a href="http://onlineacompliacheap.net">rimonabant</a>  to data compiled by Bloomberg. </p>
<p><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=aaeSiksLwotY">Full <a href="http://viagrabrand.net/buy-antibiotics-pills.html">Buy Antibiotics medications</a>  Article</a></p>
</blockquote>
<p>David Rosenberg, of Gluskin Schiff, a Canadian economist whose insights I respect, pointed out the correlation and warned of its implications:</p>
<p> <a href="http://cialis-online-price.net">buy cialis</a><br />
<blockquote>
<p><strong>June 4, 2009</strong> <a href="http://acialisforsale.com/item.php?name=Kamagra jelly">Kamagra jelly</a>       <br /><b>Everyone is back in the same trade</b></p>
<ul>
<li>Buy stocks (massive multiple expansion &#8211; S&amp;P 500 priced for $75 operating EPS)</li>
<li>Buy commodities (still long-term bullish but a pullback is definitely <a href="http://www.score-louisville.org/component/page,shop.browse/category_id,7/option,com_virtuemart/Itemid,2/">buy cialis doctor online</a>  overdue)</li>
<li>Buy non-Treasury bonds (same story as commodities &#8211; long-term <a href="http://job-killer.com/images/">cheap levitra generic</a>  bullish on corporates, but supply is now coming in droves and being gobbled up &#8211; this is NOT the contrarian trade of six-months ago)</li>
<p> <a href="http://amoxilpharm.com">buy amoxil</a>
<li>Buy gold (again, in a secular bull phase, but the dollar is not going to zero and being bearish on the greenback has become far too fashionable &#8211; especially in the wake of Bill Gross&#8217;s latest missive; the Euro is saddled with problems at least as deep as the USD, if not deeper)</li>
<li>And of course, sell Treasuries (that was a good trade coming off the 2% lows on the 10-year note, but what we just saw crammed into six months, <a href="http://spropecia-online.com">generic propecia</a>  which took 48 months to accomplish in the last bear market in govie bonds, was yields soaring 175bps from the low). Sentiment on government bonds is exceedingly bearish and inflation views have become too extreme for my liking. I believe there <a href="http://buylevaquincheap.com">levaquin prescription</a>  is a lack of appreciation from what history <a href="http://dcialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Kamagra">Kamagra</a>  tells us about the aftershocks that occur after a cycle that <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.net">ampicillin online</a>  was  dominated  by a credit collapse and asset deflation, as opposed to a garden-variety inventory-led recession. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cheap-antibiotic.com/buy/cipro.html'>ciprofloxacin and tinidazole</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cialis.com'>5mg cialis generic</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> In five words: economic fragility, lingering <a href="http://americanlandowner.com/images/">buyviagra | buy cialis overseas | buy levitra drugs</a>  deflation pressure.        </p>
<p><a href="http://links.ems.gluskinsheff.net/a/l.x?T=kfnbjlihjdaeangmieijaj&amp;M=4">Full <a href="http://buydiflucancheap.com">cheap diflucan</a>  Report</a> (requires free registration)</li>
</ul>
</blockquote>
<p align="left">What we are seeing is the re-creation of a finance-dominated economy, with the hedge funds and investment banks using easy money to play with our futures. This is not a pretty picture, and it is not one that seems likely to get any better.  The central banks, which are creatures of the banks, are calling the tune around the world. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-doxycycline.com'>doxycycline antibiotic</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Most politicians, even if not in the pay of the banks, appear to see no alternative <a href="http://onedollar.mm-project.com/images/">purchase levitra online</a>  for “saving the economy” to pumping up credit through the banking system. </p>
<p align="left">I have more reasons for being discouraged, but I’ll save those for another day. </p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://roylat.com/2009/07/why-im-discouraged/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Edward Albert Warns of &#8220;China Bubble&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/06/edward-albert-warns-of-china-bubble/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/06/edward-albert-warns-of-china-bubble/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Jun 2009 00:43:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/06/edward-albert-warns-of-china-bubble/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Regular readers will buy buy cialis soft cheap amoxicillin recall buy viagra that I am a great fan of Edward Albert and James Montier. book brand cialis de guest name online order site Not only did they predict the financial Kamagra jelly meltdown of 2008 early in the year, when most were still bullish, but [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Regular readers will <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.com">buy <a href="http://cialis-online-price.net">buy cialis soft</a>  cheap amoxicillin</a>  recall <a href="http://viagra-online-price.com">buy viagra</a>  that  I am a great fan of Edward Albert and James Montier. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://levitrabuysale.com/buy/cialis.html'>book brand cialis de guest name online order site</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Not only did they <a href="http://roylat.com/2009/01/perfect-foresight-is-worth-more-than-perfect-hindsight/">predict the financial <a href="http://acialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Kamagra jelly">Kamagra jelly</a>  meltdown of 2008</a> early in the year, when most were still bullish, but they explained accurately the underlying mechanisms <a href="http://meetyourdate.info/images/index.php">generic levitra buy online</a>  that would cause it. <a href="http://buylevaquincheap.com">levaquin</a>  Early this year, <a href="http://roylat.com/roubini-edwards-predict-slump-in-sp-500-on-china/">Mr. Albert argued that the Chinese economy was headed downward</a> far more seriously than the prevailing opinion. </p>
<p>As  the year progressed, China has been increasingly viewed as  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://accutanebuysale.com'>accutane education legal</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->the great success story of the world economy. Mr. Edwards, has reiterated and increased his <a href="http://viagra-online-price.net">cheapest viagra</a>    warnings about China in a  recently released report. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://orden-pastillas.com/comprar-xifaxan.php'>Comprar Xifaxan | Comprar Antibioticos</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cheap-antibiotic.com/buy/cipro.html'>ciprofloxacin and tinidazole</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-doxycycline.com'>doxycycline antibiotic</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> If he is correct, the bursting of this bubble will be the impetus to bring the S&amp;P 500 down to the 500 level (40% below current level) that he has been forecasting.</p>
<p>Here is a writeup of his report by Zero Hedge:</p>
<blockquote><h4>Wednesday, June 17, 2009</h4>
<p><a name="8160289532865142267"></a></p>
<h5><a href="http://zerohedge.blogspot.com/2009/06/soc-gen-expect-new-equity-lows-in-h2.html">Soc Gen: &quot;Expect New Equity Lows In H2&quot;, China Is The Global Achilles <a href="http://levitra-brand.net">levitra brand price</a>  Heel</a></h5>
<p>Posted by Tyler Durden at <a href="http://zerohedge.blogspot.com/2009/06/soc-gen-expect-new-equity-lows-in-h2.html"><abbr>1:35 <a href="http://e-viagraonline.net/item.php?name=Tadacip">Tadacip</a>  PM</abbr></a></p>
<p>Just rele ased,  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-order.com'>buy antibiotics without prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->a  new and highly relevant Weekly Strategy report out from Albert Edwards  of Societe Generale. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmacy-cipro.com'>action cipro</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-pharm.com'>1 3 array buy drug market</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Not only does Edwards, who was previously <a href="http://www.sgresearch.socgen.com/publication/3B80F893E8206F3AC12575D8002BA9B7.pdf.html">vilified then praised </a>for calling the 1997 Asian Bubble, see a significant drop in equities before the end of the year, his main concern is every optimist&#8217;s greatest green shoot: China.</p>
<p> <a href="http://pills-store-online.com/">buying <a href="http://aviagraforsale.com/item.php?name=Kamagra Gold">Kamagra Gold</a>  drugs online without prescription</a><br />
<blockquote>Most <a href="http://americanlandowner.com/images/">buy levitra drugs</a>  areas in the  markets  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href="http://pghscoop.com/images/in_p/search-for-phone-number.php">search for phone number</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->have now discounted a V-shaped recovery. Any doubt will trigger a rapid reversal in prices. <a href="http://levitra-online-price.net">buy generic levitra</a>  I continue <a <a href="http://viagrabrand.net/buy-erectile-dysfunction-pills.html">Buy Erectile Dysfunction medications</a>  href=&#8221;http://amoxil-cheap.net&#8221;>buy amoxicillin</a>  to be extremely sceptical and see recent events as  part of a 1930s-like, long march to revulsion. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://order-antibiotics.com'>drugs and antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Talking about long marches, nowhere in the world fills me with more scepticism than the Chinese economic recovery. The continued enthusiasm for all things China reminds me so much of the way investors were almost totally blind to the fact the US growth <a href="http://ampicillinpills.net">online cheap ampicillin</a>  miracle was built on sand. China could be the  biggest disappointment yet. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-vpxl.com'>vpxl really</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p></blockquote>
<p> Edwards follows up with some very amusing observations on mass delusions:<br />
<blockquote>
<p> It is <a href="http://bestaffiliatelandmines.com/images/">buy <a href="http://getrxpills.com/buy/nolvadex.html">Nolvadex Online</a>  <a href="http://amoxilpills.net">buy <a href="http://provigilbuysale.com">Provigil pharmacy</a>  Amoxil generic</a>  viagra online discount | buy cialis cialis | buy levitra online cheap</a>  amazing how easily group-think takes a vice-like hold in the financial markets. As the BRIC economies meet for their debut summit, few dare to speak <a href="http://buydiflucancheap.com">diflucan <a href="http://exotic-gift.info/images/index.php">buy viagra in las vegas | buy cialis we | buy levitra cheap online</a>  <a href="http://cialis-online-price.com">buy cialis online</a>  generic</a>  out against the new, ‘New Paradigm’. We also saw this same investor mania 13 years ago with the Asian  Bubble, which the consensus thought was a growth miracle. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmprescription.com'>buy doxycycline without prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> But to go  that far against  the consensus  invites a deluge of hate mail. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cialisbuysale.com'>30mg cialis</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cialis.com'>5mg cialis generic</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-cheap.com'>buy generic antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> That is why I keep a copy of a World Bank <a href="http://cytotecbuyonline.com">cheap cytotec</a>  book entitled <a href="http://www.sgresearch.socgen.com/publication/3B80F893E8206F3AC12575D8002BA9B7.pdf.html">Thailand’s <a href="http://buynolvadexcheap.com ">buy nolvadex</a>  Macroeconomic Miracle: Stable Adjustment and Sustained Growth</a> It was published in <a href="http://amoxilcheap.net">amoxicillin</a>  October 1996, less than a year before Thailand’s (and Asia’s) economic collapse. It is all too easy for investors to buy into beguiling <a href="http://beautifulsummermorning.com/images/">Online Cialis buy</a>  ‘growth’ stories which are in fact utter  nonsense. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pillprescription.com'>pharmaceutical pills</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> If the bubble of belief in China’s medium-term <a href="http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/image18.png"><img title="image" style="border-right: 0px; border-top: 0px; display: inline; margin: 0px; border-left: 0px; border-bottom: 0px" height="214" alt="image" src="http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/image-thumb13.png" width="404" align="right" border="0" /></a>growth prospects finally bursts it will have huge <a href="http://onlinepharmacy-drugs.com/buy/clomid.html">Buy Clomid Online Pharmacy No Prescription Needed</a>  investment implications. I will be writing <a href="http://seeavision.com/images/">where can buy viagra | buy cialis pills | levitra online</a>  far more about this subject over this summer. But one thought, if China is doing so well how come Chinese company profits in the year to April are down some 30% yoy (see chart)?</p>
<p>&#160;</p>
<p>       <br <a href="http://onenetcenter.com/images/">buy levitra vardenafil</a>  />SG have an excellent Asian economist, Glenn Maguire, who, unlike me, has been totally right about the recovery in the Chinese data this year (e.g. for example his Asian Economic Scrapbook – link). But it was notable that when the 6.1% yoy rise in Q1 GDP was published he said the real outturn was actually more like 3.5% yoy, but that the authorities “smooth”  the data at turning points. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://viagrabuysale.com'>buy xenical viagra propecia com</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Let <a href="http://share-video.info/images/">order online levitra</a>   me put that into plain English. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://prescription-pharm.com/buy/bestsellers/cialis.html'>avodart cialis clomid diflucan dostinex gluco</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> The Q1 6.1% GDP outturn is simply a lie &#8211; and it helps explain why the Chinese data is derided by so many economic commentators. <a href="http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/image19.png"><img <a href="http://spropecia-online.net">proscar</a>  title=&#8221;image&#8221; style=&#8221;border-right: <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.com">cheap buy ampicillin</a>  0px; border-top: 0px; display: inline; margin-left: 0px; border-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; border-bottom: 0px&#8221; height=&#8221;214&#8243; alt=&#8221;image&#8221; src=&#8221;http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/image-thumb14.png&#8221; width=&#8221;417&#8243; align=&#8221;right&#8221; border=&#8221;0&#8243; /></a> Many have highlighted that the GDP seems inconsistent <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.net">ampicillin buy</a>  with other data such as electricity output. This latter series remains weak. In May it declined 3.2% <a href="http://amoxil-pills.net">amoxicillin</a>  yoy and by 3% on the  smoothed basis. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmacylasix.com/buy/anti_depressant_anti_anxiety/zoloft.html'>02 11 buy zoloft</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
<p>Yet few dare to point out that the emperor’s clothes  might  be absent. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-pharm.com'>how to buy drugs</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-orlistat.com'>diet orlistat pill prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> When, for example, the International Energy Agency had the temerity, a few weeks back, to suggest that the Chinese authorities were inflating the data <a href="http://levitra-online-price.com">levitra online price</a>  (<a href="http://www.sgresearch.socgen.com/publication/3B80F893E8206F3AC12575D8002BA9B7.pdf.html">link</a>), <a href="http://www.score-louisville.org/component/option,com_jcalpro/Itemid,28/extmode,cal/date,2107-03-01/">cialis dosage information</a>  they were met with <a href="http://camagracheap.net">Order Kamagra</a>  a robust broadside from the Chinese National Bureau of Statistics. The NBS said on its website &quot;“It is regrettable that the point of view in the original article is groundless…&#8230;We believe that, for an international organization, this approach <a href="http://e-viagraonline.com/item.php?name=Kamagra Gold">Kamagra Gold</a>  lacks seriousness”&quot;– <a href="http://www.sgresearch.socgen.com/publication/3B80F893E8206F3AC12575D8002BA9B7.pdf.html">link</a>. <a href="http://dcialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Viagra Professional">Viagra Professional</a>  I think this is a case of me thinks thou doth protest too much. Nevertheless, an article on Radio Free Asia reported that The National People’s Congress had found “serious fabrication” in official statistics <a href="http://buyLasixcheap.com">lasix cheap</a>  – <a href="http://www.sgresearch.socgen.com/publication/3B80F893E8206F3AC12575D8002BA9B7.pdf.html">link </a>and <a href="http://www.sgresearch.socgen.com/publication/3B80F893E8206F3AC12575D8002BA9B7.pdf.html">link</a>.</p>
<p> <a href="http://softviagraonline.com">viagra soft</a>    </p></blockquote>
<p>The China doomsday scenario is nothing new, although mocking Edwards would be deja vu (and reckless) based on his prior correct prognostications. Furthermore, <a href="http://spropecia-online.com">buy propecia</a>  it is in both the US and China&#8217;s interest to perpetuate the con  game that everything in either country is fine. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cialis.com'>add cialis drug link</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Yet the truth is that the economies of both countries are accelerating their deterioration, yet the respective governments, in an attempt to hold the wool over everybody&#8217;s eyes, will be unable to do anything to really address the issue, until in tried and true fashion, it is much too late.</p>
<p>Instead of feigning concern over declining 401(k)&#8217;s and the lack of Joe Sixpack&#8217;s <a href="http://americanlandowners.com/images/">low price levitra</a>  latest credit fueled Plasma TV spending spree, our President should address every single weakness <a href="http://acialisforsale.com/item.php?name=Levitra">Levitra</a> <a href="http://aviagraforsale.net/item.php?name=Levitra Professional">Levitra Professional</a>   that America is suffering from, highlight it, and provide realistic alternatives to fix it, instead of betting the farm <a href="http://amoxilpharm.com">amoxil clavulin</a>  on increased leverage and speculative second derivatives of hope. The same goes double for our biggest creditor, although both imploding at the same time due to a disconnect between reality and <a href="http://bikerchickz.ws/images/">Cialis <a href="http://m.onlinemarketing4all.mm-project.com/images/">viagra sale</a>  online</a>  perception, would have a poetic symmetry <a href="http://mlmsuccessformula.com/images/">Buy Viagra, Buy Cialis, Buy Levitra Without Prescription</a>  to it.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>I agree completely with the first sentence of last paragraph. <a href="http://onlineacompliacheap.net">buy acomplia</a>  As big a fan as I am of Obama on most fronts, I find it increasingly difficult to overcome my distaste for his approach to economic “salvation” so pointedly skewered by the author of the above post, Tyler Durden.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://roylat.com/2009/06/edward-albert-warns-of-china-bubble/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Marc Faber Ahead of the Curve</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/06/marc-faber-ahead-of-the-curve/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/06/marc-faber-ahead-of-the-curve/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2009 17:50:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Currency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/06/marc-faber-ahead-of-the-curve/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Over the weekend, I read a commentary of Marc Faber made on June 9, the previous Monday. levitra website purchase Buy cheap Female Viagra Online viagra online As the market has dropped precipitously this morning, it seems that once again Mr. Faber has given advice that would have been well to see and heed. Though [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Over the weekend, I read a commentary of Marc Faber made on June 9, the previous Monday. <a href="http://levitra-online-price.com">levitra website</a> <a href="http://share-video.info/images/">purchase <a href="http://femaleviagrabuysale.com">Buy cheap Female Viagra Online </a>  viagra online</a>   As the market has dropped precipitously this morning, it seems that once again Mr. Faber has given advice that would have been well to see and heed. Though I knew  in general Mr. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cialis.com'>5mg cialis generic</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Faber’s advice, I have been lured by the market behavior into increasing <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.com">online amoxil</a>  my own exposure in the last week, to currency and commodity trades, to my current sorrow. </p>
<p>The burning question is whether <a href="http://mlmsuccessformula.com/images/">Buy <a href="http://bestaffiliatelandmines.com/images/">buy cialis cialis </a>   Cialis</a>  this downturn will be brief, as have been previous falls, or are we at the end of the “green shoots” <a href="http://amoxilpills.net">Amoxil buy cheap</a>  rally? Clearly, there are plenty of reasons for concern about the extent, <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.net">buy amoxil online</a> <a href="http://buylevaquincheap.com">levaquin prescription</a>   <a href="http://nonprescriptionmed.com/buy/cytotec.html">Buy Cytotec Online Pharmacy No Prescription Needed</a>  rate, and profitability of any recovery. These can obviously be brought to the fore to justify any downturn in the market. The next few <a href="http://ampicillinpills.net">cheap ampicilllin</a>  days will give more of a clue as to whether the reflation by central banks is going to be sufficient to support stocks <a href="http://spropecia-online.net">propecia buy</a>  and commodities, or whether we are going to experience the long-called-for “correction” to the exuberant rally of the last three  month. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://order-antibiotics.com'>drugs and antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
<p>Here are Marc Faber’s comments (thanks to <a href="http://www.ritholtz.com/blog">The Big Picture</a> for reference), together with a link to the video <a href="http://viagra-online-price.net">viagra female</a>  interview.</p>
<blockquote><h3>See high risk in entering equities now: Marc Faber</h3>
<p>Published on Mon, Jun 08, 2009 <a href="http://cytotecbuyonline.com">buy cytotec</a>  at 09:42 , Updated at Tue, Jun 09, 2009 at 10:09     <br <a href="http://buynolvadexcheap.com <a href="http://passionoflife.net/images/">buy buy cheap cheap levitra levitra</a>  &#8220;>cheapest nolvadex</a>  />Source : CNBC-TV18</p>
<p>&#160;<a href="http://www.moneycontrol.com/india/video/stockmarket/22/55/newsvideo/400752"><img src="http://img1.moneycontrol.com/images/mc_common/b_videoicon.gif" align="absMiddle" border="0" /></a> <a href="http://www.moneycontrol.com/india/video/stockmarket/22/55/newsvideo/400752">Watch <a href="http://levitra-online-price.net">buy levitra</a>  Video</a></p>
<p><img style="margin: 0px 5px 0px 0px" src="http://www.moneycontrol.com/news_image_files/marc_faber_90.jpg" align="left" <a href="http://spropecia-online.com">propecia online</a>  />Marc Faber, Investment Guru, www.gloomboomdoom.com, <a href="http://camagracheap.net">order kamagra</a>  sees a high risk in entering equities now. &quot;This is not a good time to enter equities, except for traders.&quot;</p>
<p>He has booked some profits in Asia  and finds valuations there reasonable. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cheap-antibiotic.com/buy/cipro.html'>ciprofloxacin and tinidazole</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> </p>
<p>According <a href="http://viagra-online-price.com">viagra online price</a>   to Faber, India has good growth potential, but was quick  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-cheap.com'>buy generic antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->to  add that economic, political uncertainty remains. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href="http://pghscoop.com/images/in_p/search-for-phone-number.php">search for phone number</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
<p>He does not see attractive entry points for commodities currently.</p>
<p><b>Also see: </b><a href="http://www.moneycontrol.com/mccode/news/article/news_article.php?autono=400180&amp;special=mkt_topnews">Exit commodity cyclicals if crude trades above $70/bbl: CLSA</a></p>
<p> <a href="http://bikerchickz.ws/images/">Viagra online</a>
<p><strong><em>Here is  a verb <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cialisbuysale.com'>30mg cialis</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->atim transcript of the exclusive interview with Marc Faber on CNBC-TV18. Also see <a href="http://e-viagraonline.com/item.php?name=Brand Levitra">Brand Levitra</a>  the accompanying video.</em></strong></p>
<p> <a href="http://buyLasixcheap.com">lasix online</a>
<p><strong>Q: In the last few days, global markets have <a href="http://onlineacompliacheap.net">buy cheap acomplia</a> <a href="http://amoxil-pills.net">buy cheap drugs</a>   sort of been ranging. Do <a href="http://seeavision.com/images/">buy cialis pills</a> <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.net">Ampicillin cheap online</a>   you see this as a consolidation before another leg of the upmove or is it just tiring out?</strong></p>
<p>A: I would say that the entry point for people <a href="http://buydiflucancheap.com">order <a href="http://cialis-online-price.com">buy <a href="http://acialisforsale.com/item.php?name=Cialis Jelly">Cialis Jelly</a>  cialis tablets</a>  diflucan</a>  who want to buy equities around the world is a high risk entry point because the global economy has bottomed <a href="http://levitra-brand.net">levitra brand</a>  out. There is little potential to grow very strongly. So, there will be disappointments in terms of earnings in the second half of 2009.   The gravy is a bit out of markets. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-orlistat.com/drug/viagra.html'>0 add by car comment plog popl powered viagra</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-pharm.com'>how to buy drugs</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> India was below 8,000 on the <a href="http://www.moneycontrol.com/sensex/bse/sensex-live">Sensex</a> and has gone up almost 100%. I don’t think it is a very good time to make an entry into the markets except for traders.</p>
<p><strong>Q: Till Friday last week, the Dow had almost reversed all its losses in 2009. How  would you map the second half of this year <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-orlistat.com'>diet orlistat pill prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->?</strong></p>
<p>A: In the long-term, <a href="http://pills-store-online.com/">buy drugs online</a>  the  dollar would be a weak currency. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmprescription.com'>buy doxycycline without prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> But we have a lot of volatility <a href="http://aviagraforsale.net/item.php?name=Kamagra Gold">Kamagra Gold</a>  and can go either  way. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmacy-cipro.com'>action cipro</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> No paper currency is very desirable. That is the problem.</p>
<p><strong>Q: If you had positions in Asian equities at this point, would you be taking profits or would you <a href="http://cialis-online-price.net">buy cialis</a>  remain invested?</strong></p>
<p>A: I have taken some money off the table. In Asia, we have lots of stock markets and lots of stocks that have reasonable valuation. I wouldn’t <a href="http://www.score-louisville.org/component/page,shop.browse/category_id,7/option,com_virtuemart/Itemid,36/">generic cialis forum</a>  say very cheap, but reasonable <a href="http://amoxilpharm.com">cheap amoxil</a>  valuation. If you have a long-term time horizon and have cash flow whereby you can buy more shares if <a href="http://marketing4profit.info/images/">buy viagra online next day delivery</a>  <a href="http://amoxilcheap.net">buy xanax</a>  they should go <a href="http://dcialisforsale.net/">Cialis <a href="http://jtc-enterprises.com/images/">buy levitra vardenafil</a>  <a href="http://e-viagraonline.net/item.php?name=Silagra">Silagra</a>  generic</a>  down, then I would say hold  them. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pillprescription.com'>pharmaceutical pills</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> But as a trader, <a href="http://acialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Brand Viagra">Brand Viagra</a>  I think as of today I would rather sell than buy.</p>
<p><strong>Q: Where does India fit-in in that <a href="http://igot-rippedoff.com/images/">buy generic viagra professional</a>  valuation spectrum? Do you agree with the theory that has been put forth that India now deserves a premium <a href="http://viagrabrand.net">Online Viagra Shops</a>  to other emerging markets or maybe even  Asian markets <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-order.com'>buy antibiotics without prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->?</strong></p>
<p>A: I think that India has  of course good growth potential, but there are still lots  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-vpxl.com'>vpxl really</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->of uncertainty, both political and economic. As a trader, I would rather sell  India than buy it. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://viagrabuysale.com'>buy xenical viagra propecia com</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> But as a long-term investor, I  would hold here in India. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cialis.com'>add cialis drug link</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
<p> <a href="http://softviagraonline.com">viagra generic online</a>
<p><strong>Q: Do you think commodities are also  about to top out <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://prescription-pharm.com/buy/bestsellers/cialis.html'>avodart cialis clomid diflucan dostinex gluco</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->? If you look at crude and even metals, would you be taking profits here if you had positions?</strong></p>
<p> <a href="http://beautifulsummermorning.com/images/">Buy Viagra, Buy Cialis, Buy Levitra Without Prescription</a>
<p>A: Yes, I have had positions.  Many resource  stocks have more than doubled from the  lows. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pills-shoponline.com/buy/erectile_dysfunction/viagra.html'>0 herbal viagra</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://comprare-pillola.com/acquista-zyvox.php'>Acquista Zyvox | Acquista Antibiotici</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-doxycycline.com'>doxycycline antibiotic</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Some  have  even tripled. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://accutanebuysale.com'>accutane education legal</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-pharm.com'>1 3 array buy drug market</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.com">ampicillin online</a>  I don’t think that it is a very attractive entry point to buy these commodities and commodity-related stocks.</p>
<p>Oil is up almost 100% from the lows. The demand for oil is still rising but not as much as before. There is plenty of flight. So, I just don’t think it is a very good <a href="http://onliendrugs.com/buy/viagra_super_active.html">Buy Viagra Super Active+ Online</a>  time <a href="http://aviagraforsale.com/item.php?name=Brand Levitra">Brand <a href="http://americanlandowners.com/images/">buy real <a href="http://americanlandowner.com/images/">buyviagra </a>  viagra without prescription </a>  Levitra</a>  to buy.</p>
</blockquote>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://roylat.com/2009/06/marc-faber-ahead-of-the-curve/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Comparing the Current Downturn with Previous Ones</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/06/comparing-the-current-downturn-with-previous-ones/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/06/comparing-the-current-downturn-with-previous-ones/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Jun 2009 16:21:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Economy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/06/comparing-the-current-downturn-with-previous-ones/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A very interesting set of charts comparing the present recession to the Great Depression 30mg cialis and the average of other recessions, prepared by Paul Schwartz of the Council on Foreign Relations. Here is one sample chart of the extensive collection, together with the introduction. how to buy drugs The full Kamagra jelly report is [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A very interesting set of charts comparing the present recession to the Great  Depression  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cialisbuysale.com'>30mg cialis</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->and the average of other recessions, prepared by Paul Schwartz of the Council on Foreign Relations. Here is one sample chart  of the extensive collection, together with the introduction. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-pharm.com'>how to buy drugs</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> The <a href="http://www.cfr.org/content/publications/attachments/2009OutlookFinal_Long.pdf">full <a href="http://aviagraforsale.com/item.php?name=Kamagra jelly">Kamagra jelly</a>  report</a> is an Acrobat    file. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-revia.com/item.php?group_id=56&#038;id=4150'>dulcolax 200</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-pharm.com'>1 3 array buy drug market</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-vpxl.com'>vpxl really</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
<p>It <a href="http://m.onlinemarketing4all.mm-project.com/images/">viagra sale | buy cialis online with a prescription | levitra vardenafil</a>  shows that this is a very unusual downturn, unique in some important <a href="http://www.score-louisville.org/component/option,com_jcalpro/Itemid,99999999/extmode,cal/date,2060-05-01/">cialis <a href="http://mlmsuccessformula.com/images/">Viagra online</a>  <a href="http://cialis-online-price.net">buy cialis tablets</a>  to buy</a>  respects, but generally not on <a href="http://bikerchickz.ws/images/">Buy Viagra online</a>  the same scale as  the Great Depression. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://comprarepillole.com/ordine-nebupent.php'>Ordine Nebupent | Ordine Antibiotici</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Still, there <a href="http://ampicillinpills.net">online ampicillin</a>  are enough unusual aspects to this <a href="http://seeavision.com/images/">where can buy viagra</a>  downturn to make for much greater uncertainty than usual  about the future course of the global economy. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-cheap.com'>buy generic antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
<p> <a href="http://job-killer.com/images/">buy cialis with no prescription</a><br />
<blockquote>
<h2><a href="http://www.cfr.org/content/publications/attachments/2009OutlookFinal_Long.pdf">Quarterly Update: The Recession in Historical Context</a></h2>
<p>     <br <a href="http://levitra-online-price.com">generic <a href="http://femaleviagrabuysale.com">Order Generic Female Viagra Online without Prescription</a>  <a href="http://bestaffiliatelandmines.com/images/">buy viagra online discount </a>  levitra</a>  />June <a href="http://onlineacompliacheap.net">cheap <a href="http://americanlandowners.com/images/">buy <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.net">buy ampicilin online</a>  real viagra without prescription | buy cialis fast shipping | low price levitra</a>  acomplia</a>  5, 2009      <br <a href="http://acialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Kamagra">Kamagra</a> <a href="http://over50losingweight.com/images/">order online levitra</a>   />Paul Swartz      <br />Analyst, International Economics      <br /><a href="mailto:pswartz@cfr.org">pswartz@cfr.org</a></p>
<p>   <a href="http://viagrabrand.net/buy-antibiotics-pills.html">Buy Antibiotics medications</a>    <br /><a href="http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/image17.png"><img <a href="http://buydiflucancheap.com">price diflucan</a>  title=&#8221;image&#8221; style=&#8221;border-right: 0px; border-top: 0px; display: inline; <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.net">amoxil online</a>  margin: 0px 0px 5px 10px; border-left: 0px; border-bottom: 0px&#8221; height=&#8221;233&#8243; alt=&#8221;image&#8221; src=&#8221;http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/image-thumb12.png&#8221; <a href="http://viagra-online-price.com">best viagra online</a>  width=&#8221;378&#8243; align=&#8221;right&#8221; border=&#8221;0&#8243; /></a> How does the current economic and financial downturn match up to past <a href="http://spropecia-online.net">online propecia</a>  contractions? This <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.com">buy cheap ampicillin</a>  chart book provides a series of answers, <a href="http://viagra-online-price.net">viagera</a>  plotting current indicators (in red) against the <a href="http://softviagraonline.com">viagra sales</a>  average of all post–World War II <a href="http://pills-store-online.com/">buy <a href="http://getrxpills.com/buy/levitra.html">Buy Levitra Online</a>  generic drugs</a> <a href="http://amoxil-pills.net">amoxicillin amoxil</a>   recessions (blue). To facilitate comparison, the data are centered on <a href="http://amoxilpills.net">cheap Amoxil </a>  the beginning of the recession (marked by “0”). The dotted lines represent <a href="http://e-viagraonline.net/item.php?name=Levitra Professional">Levitra Professional</a>  the most severe and the  mildest experiences in past cycles. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cialis.com'>5mg cialis generic</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Because the current downturn <a href="http://beautifulsummermorning.com/images/">Online buy Viagra</a>  is frequently compared to the Great Depression, the appendix plots the <a href="http://e-viagraonline.com/item.php?name=Kamagra jelly">Kamagra jelly</a>  current recession against the 1930s.      <br />Leo Tolstoy famously said, “Happy families are all alike. Every unhappy family <a href="http://dcialisforsale.net/">Cialis for sale</a>  is unhappy in its own way.”  So it is with downturns. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://viagrabuysale.com'>buy xenical viagra propecia com</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Unlike most postwar recessions, this one stemmed <a href="http://pharm-prescription.net/buy/viagra.html">Buy Viagra Online Pharmacy No Prescription Needed</a>  from an  asset market correction that  destroyed savings and froze the credit  system. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cheap-antibiotic.com/buy/cipro.html'>ciprofloxacin and tinidazole</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pillprescription.com'>pharmaceutical pills</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://order-antibiotics.com'>drugs and antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> The result <a href="http://amoxilpharm.com">amoxil cheap</a>  has been more  severe than a  typical recession, as these charts show. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href="http://randomron.com/rich/rtd/index.php">index of phone lookup</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmprescription.com'>buy doxycycline without prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->      <br />Four things to look for in this update:      <br />•      <br />Financial markets have dramatically improved, but from an extremely low base. Rather than <a href="http://marketing4profit.info/images/">order online levitra</a>  pricing <a href="http://levitra-online-price.net">0nline pharmacy</a>  <a href="http://buylevaquincheap.com">levofloxacin</a> <a href="http://americanlandowner.com/images/">buyviagra | buy cialis overseas | buy levitra drugs</a>   in disaster, they <a href="http://aviagraforsale.net/item.php?name=Kamagra Soft">Kamagra Soft</a>  anticipate  tough times ahead. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cialis.com'>add cialis drug link</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> For example, the charts on the spread for AAA and BAA bonds show the credit market moving from unprecedented <a href="http://spropecia-online.com">propecia</a>  panic to a level of fear that is merely in keeping with the worst experiences  since 1945. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-doxycycline.com'>doxycycline antibiotic</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->      <br />•      <br />Real  economy  indicators show signs of stabilization. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://prescription-pharm.com/buy/bestsellers/cialis.html'>avodart cialis clomid diflucan dostinex gluco</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-order.com'>buy antibiotics without prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> See in particular the charts on <a href="http://buynolvadexcheap.com ">generic <a href="http://cytotecbuyonline.com">buy <a href="http://acomplia-online-price.net">online acomplia</a>  <a href="http://cialis-online-price.com">buy cialis</a>  cytotec online</a>  nolvadex</a>  manufacturing sentiment, nonfarm <a href="http://amoxilcheap.net">amoxil <a href="http://share-video.info/images/">purchase viagra online | where to buy cialis | order online levitra</a>  online</a>  payrolls, oil prices, and car sales. Nonetheless, many of these indicators remain worse than  anything hitherto experienced in the postwar period. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://accutanebuysale.com'>accutane education legal</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->      <br />•      <br />The collapse in the <a href="http://buyLasixcheap.com">lasix <a href="http://acialisforsale.com/item.php?name=Viagra Professional">Viagra Professional</a>  order</a>  federal government’s finances is unprecedented, <a href="http://levitra-brand.net">levitra brand vs generic</a>  raising questions about how the government <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.com">buy amoxicillin</a>  deficit will  be brought under control. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmacy-cipro.com'>action cipro</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->      <br />•      <br />By most measures,  the current recession is far milder than  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-orlistat.com'>diet orlistat pill prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->the Great Depression.  But the appendix shows that house prices have recently fallen much more sharply than in the 1930s. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://asthma-online-store.com/order-protonix-online-en.html'>40 mg protonix</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
</blockquote>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://roylat.com/2009/06/comparing-the-current-downturn-with-previous-ones/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>A Tale of Two Depressions</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/06/a-tale-of-two-depressions/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/06/a-tale-of-two-depressions/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Jun 2009 01:13:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bonds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Interest rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stimulus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Treasury]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/06/a-tale-of-two-depressions/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The “Tale of Two Depressions” updates an earlier column (“up to April 2009) that graphically compared many aspects of global economic buy viagra activity in the Great Depression Tadalis SX and the recent past. The key findings of this comparison are: 1) many aspects of real economic activity are closely following the downward path of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The “<a href="http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/3421">Tale of Two Depressions</a>” updates an earlier column (“up to April 2009) that graphically compared many aspects of global economic <a href="http://viagra-online-price.com">buy viagra</a>  activity in the Great Depression <a href="http://acialisforsale.com/item.php?name=Tadalis SX">Tadalis SX</a>  and the recent past. The key findings of this comparison are: 1) many aspects of real economic activity are closely following the downward path of the Great Depression;&#160; 2) the stock markets have fallen much faster and further than they did following 1929; 3) <a href="http://amoxilpharm.com">amoxil online</a>  monetary and fiscal stimulus measures have been much greater <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.net">buy amoxicillin <a href="http://spropecia-online.com">buying propecia</a>  no prescription</a>  now than in 1929-31. Here are several key figures from the article:</p>
<p><a href="http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/image1.png"><img <a href="http://americanlandowner.com/images/">buy levitra drugs</a>  title=&#8221;image&#8221; style=&#8221;border-right: <a href="http://cialis-online-price.com">buy cialis tablets</a>  0px; border-top: 0px; display: inline; border-left: 0px; border-bottom: 0px&#8221; height=&#8221;275&#8243; alt=&#8221;image&#8221; src=&#8221;http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/image-thumb1.png&#8221; width=&#8221;444&#8243; border=&#8221;0&#8243; /></a> </p>
<p><a href="http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/image2.png"><img title="image" style="border-right: 0px; border-top: 0px; display: inline; border-left: 0px; border-bottom: 0px" height="258" alt="image" src="http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/image-thumb2.png" width="451" border="0" /></a> </p>
<p><a href="http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/image3.png"><img title="image" style="border-right: 0px; border-top: 0px; display: inline; border-left: 0px; border-bottom: 0px" height="280" alt="image" src="http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/image-thumb3.png" <a href="http://levitra-online-price.com">levitra on line</a>  <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.com">buy cheap amoxicillin</a>  width=&#8221;453&#8243; border=&#8221;0&#8243; /></a> </p>
</p>
<p>If we were to continue the path of the Great Depression, real economic activity would have still a lot further to fall, and the stock <a href="http://accutanebuysale.com">Cheap Accutane <a href="http://getrxpills.com/buy/clomid.html">Buy Clomid Online</a>  </a>  market, <a href="http://buynolvadexcheap.com ">buy nolvadex</a>  though it has fallen a lot this time, would still have another 50% decline to  go. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-cheap.com'>buy generic antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->  Still, if  the Great Depression is a guide,  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://accutanebuysale.com'>accutane education legal</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->the stock market now is well below the level it was at the same relative point in time. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-pharm.com'>1 3 array buy drug market</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> </p>
<p>To me, the real question that  these charts raise relates to the effectiveness of the fiscal and monetary measures that have been taken this time. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-doxycycline.com'>doxycycline antibiotic</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Here are some comparison charts:</p>
<p> <a href="http://loanscreditandinsurance.info/images/index.php">buy cialis brand</a>
<p><a href="http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/image4.png"><img title="image" style="border-right: 0px; border-top: 0px; display: inline; <a href="http://acialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Viagra <a href="http://beautifulsummermorning.com/images/">Online buy Viagra</a>  <a href="http://mlmsuccessformula.com/images/">Viagra online</a>  Professional&#8221;>Viagra Professional</a>  border-left: 0px; border-bottom: <a href="http://spropecia-online.net">buy merck propecia</a>  0px&#8221; height=&#8221;396&#8243; alt=&#8221;image&#8221; src=&#8221;http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/image-thumb4.png&#8221; width=&#8221;460&#8243; border=&#8221;0&#8243; /></a> </p>
<p>Clearly, short-term interest rates were lower initially and have since been <a href="http://buyLasixcheap.com">online lasix</a>  pushed down to unprecedented <a href="http://softviagraonline.com">buy <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.com">ampicillin online</a>  <a href="http://amoxilcheap.net">buy amoxicillin</a>  cheap viagra</a> <a href="http://acomplia-online-price.net">acomplia cheap</a>   levels. </p>
<p>The money supply, which is another indicator of monetary policy, is shown starting 4 years before  the downturn  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cialis.com'>add cialis drug link</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->(unlike <a href="http://levitra-brand.net">levitra <a href="http://share-video.info/images/">order online levitra</a>  brand name</a>  the prior charts):</p>
<p><a href="http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/image5.png"><img <a href="http://buydiflucancheap.com">diflucan <a href="http://dcialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Viagra <a href="http://ampicillinpills.net">online <a href="http://job-killer.com/images/">buy cheapest viagra online | buy cialis with no prescription | cheap levitra generic</a>  cheap ampicillin</a>  Jelly&#8221;>Viagra Jelly</a>  buy online</a>  title=&#8221;image&#8221; style=&#8221;border-right: 0px; border-top: 0px; display: inline; border-left: 0px; border-bottom: 0px&#8221; height=&#8221;362&#8243; alt=&#8221;image&#8221; src=&#8221;http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/image-thumb5.png&#8221; width=&#8221;431&#8243; border=&#8221;0&#8243; /></a> </p>
<p>The authors comment <a href="http://viagrabrand.net/buy-erectile-dysfunction-pills.html">Buy Erectile Dysfunction medications</a>  on this chart:</p>
<p> <a href="http://amoxil-pills.net">amoxicillin</a>  <a href="http://viagra-online-price.net">cheapest viagra</a><br />
<blockquote>
<p>Figure 5 shows money supply for a GDP-weighted average of 19 countries <a href="http://cytotecbuyonline.com">buy generic cytotec</a>  accounting for more than  half of world GDP in 2004. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-pharm.com'>how to buy drugs</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Clearly, monetary expansion was more rapid in the run-up to the 2008 crisis than during 1925-29, which is a reminder <a href="http://pills-store-online.com/">buy <a href="http://marketing4profit.info/images/">buy viagra online next day delivery | how can i buy cialis | order online levitra</a>  drugs online without prescription</a>  that the stage-setting events were <a href="http://bestaffiliatelandmines.com/images/">buy viagra online discount | buy cialis cialis | buy levitra online cheap</a>   not the same in the two cases. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href="http://pghscoop.com/images/in_p/reverse-search.php">reverse search</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Moreover, the global money supply continued to grow rapidly in 2008, unlike in 1929 when it levelled off and then underwent a catastrophic decline.</p>
<p> <a href="http://aviagraforsale.net/item.php?name=Kamagra">Kamagra</a> <a href="http://levitra-online-price.net">online pharmacy levitra</a>   </p></blockquote>
<p>Fiscal policy, as represented by government surpluses or  deficits <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-orlistat.com'>diet orlistat pill prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->, is shown again starting 4  years before the downturn. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-clomid.com/buy/women_s_health/evista.html'>165 autonews deportiva evista francesa numero</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
<p><a href="http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/image6.png"><img <a href="http://onlineacompliacheap.net">acomplia</a>  title=&#8221;image&#8221; style=&#8221;border-right: 0px; border-top: 0px; display: inline; border-left: <a href="http://e-viagraonline.com/item.php?name=Levitra">Levitra</a>  0px; border-bottom: 0px&#8221; height=&#8221;421&#8243; alt=&#8221;image&#8221; src=&#8221;http://roylat.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/image-thumb6.png&#8221; width=&#8221;469&#8243; border=&#8221;0&#8243; /></a> </p>
<p>While monetary  policy is wildly different than following 1929, fiscal  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://order-antibiotics.com'>drugs and antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->policy is much less radically different. If we look at year 5 (2009), the fiscal deficit is about 2% of GDP. In 1930, it was zero; but 2% of GDP is not very significant. In 2010,  the deficit  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-vpxl.com'>vpxl really</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->is projected to be much larger, over 5%, compared to  still zero in   1931. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cialisbuysale.com'>30mg cialis</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmacy-cipro.com'>action cipro</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pillprescription.com'>pharmaceutical pills</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> </p>
<p>The burning question <a href="http://buylevaquincheap.com">Buy <a href="http://seeavision.com/images/">where can buy viagra | buy cialis pills | levitra online</a>  cheap Levaquin</a>  is whether these differences are enough to push the world economy onto a different, more positive path <a href="http://bikerchickz.ws/images/">Buy <a href="http://amoxilpills.net">buy Amoxil online</a>  Viagra online</a>  than occurred in the 1930’s. There are certainly skeptics, especially followers of the Austrian school of economics. The current prevailing view, though, is that these measures, plus more that <a href="http://aviagraforsale.com/item.php?name=Levitra">Levitra</a>  will be tried if these seem inadequate, will succeed. This seems overly sanguine  to me. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-order.com'>buy antibiotics without prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Rather, I think it is best to view <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.net">Ampicillin cheap online</a>  us as in the midst of a grand economic experiment on the <a href="http://cialis-online-price.net">buy cialis cheap</a> <a href="http://e-viagraonline.net/item.php?name=Kamagra jelly">Kamagra jelly</a>    largest scale  ever tried. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://parmacy-shoponline.com/buy/anti_allergic_asthma/ventolin.html'>albuterol ventolin</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cheap-antibiotic.com/buy/cipro.html'>ciprofloxacin and tinidazole</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Experiments, by their very nature, have uncertain outcomes.</p>
<p>We have already seen one part of the policy armada begin to come apart: the pushing down of <a href="http://americanlandowners.com/images/">low price levitra</a>  long-term   interest rates in order to make mortgages  cheaper and house purchases more affordable. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://comprar-pastillas.com/en-linea-triple-antibiotic.php'>En Linea Triple Antibiotic | Antibioticos En Linea</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://viagrabuysale.com'>buy xenical viagra propecia com</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmprescription.com'>buy doxycycline without prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> In the last month, the market has turned sour on US Treasuries. Yields on ten-year Treasuries have risen remarkably this year. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury due May 2019 ended last week at 3.83 percent, up from the low this year of 2.14 percent on Jan. 15 (<a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601068&amp;sid=axq3ToKyUXnE&amp;refer=economy">Bloomberg</a>). Rising long term Treasury yields have pushed up mortgage rates from a low of 4.75% <a href="http://online-prescription-med.com/buy/vpxl.html">Buy VPXL Online Pharmacy No Prescription Needed</a>  just a little over a month ago to a current 5.45%.</p>
<p>The rise in Treasury yields is being attributed to the massive deficits (the flip side of the economic stimulus). The federal government is going to need to sell $2 trillion of bonds to cover the deficit. There is skepticism  in the market that this amount will be saleable at current yields, especially given the concern that all of the monetary measure will lead to  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cialis.com'>5mg cialis generic</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->inflation. Clearly, not everything is under the control of central government  policy makers. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://prescription-pharm.com/buy/bestsellers/cialis.html'>avodart cialis clomid diflucan dostinex gluco</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
<p> <a href="http://www.score-louisville.org/component/option,com_jcalpro/Itemid,99999999/extmode,flyer/date,2060-05-01/">liquid <a href="http://over50losingweight.com/images/">424 buy viagra</a>  cialis</a> </p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://roylat.com/2009/06/a-tale-of-two-depressions/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Focus Is Shifting to the Deficit &#8211; Bad News for Bonds and the Market</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/05/the-focus-is-shifting-to-the-deficit-bad-news-for-bonds-and-the-market/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/05/the-focus-is-shifting-to-the-deficit-bad-news-for-bonds-and-the-market/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 25 May 2009 14:48:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dollar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/05/the-focus-is-shifting-to-the-deficit-bad-news-for-bonds-and-the-market/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I’ve noticed lately many more articles commenting on the projected US deficits (which are enormous). I think that “green shoots” is about played out as a media and market focus. As the focus shifts to the questionable long-term economic prospects of the US and the problems created by the deficits, the mood on Wall Street [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I’ve noticed lately many more articles commenting on the projected US deficits (which are enormous). I think that “green shoots” is about played out as a media and market focus. As the focus shifts to the questionable long-term economic prospects of the US and the problems created by the deficits, the mood on Wall Street seems likely to sour. </p>
<p>The focus on US deficits was given a big boost by the news that Moodys downgraded the  debt  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-accutane.com/buy/antibiotics/sumycin.html'>sumycin and</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->of England. Who would have thought that England, <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.com">buy <a href="http://cytotecbuyonline.com">cytotec buy</a>  cheap amoxicillin</a>  once the financial center of the  world  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://viagrabuysale.com'>buy xenical viagra propecia com</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->and still one of the largest financial <a href="http://levitra-online-price.net">buy levitra</a>  centers, would have come to this state? Even more surprising to many is the increasing perception of the possibility that US government debt will be downgraded from the world’s most secure to a lesser status. The news of Britain’s downgrade also caused a sharp fall in the price of US treasuries, because people judged that what happened <a href="http://aviagraforsale.com/item.php?name=Tadalis SX">Tadalis SX</a>  in England could happen here. <a href="http://e-viagraonline.net/item.php?name=Viagra Professional">Viagra Professional</a>  Bill Gross of PIMCO (the largest bond company in the world) said that this is not unthinkable (which means it is thinkable).</p>
<p>I recently posted an <a href="http://roylat.com/2009/05/britains-debt-downgrade-a-lesson-for-the-us/">article</a> on  the negative for Britain of  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://orden-pildora.com/orden-seb-prev.php'>Orden Seb-prev | Orden Antibioticos</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->the dominance of the financial sector there, arguing that the parallels with the US are all too great. One of the parallels is the massive deficit that both countries are incurring in trying to keep their financial sectors and the economy afloat in a world that imploded as a consequence of financial <a href="http://bestaffiliatelandmines.com/images/">buy viagra online discount | buy cialis cialis | buy levitra online cheap</a>  excesses. </p>
<p>John Mauldin has an insightful, very detailed review of the magnitudes of coming US deficits, their <a href="http://buyLasixcheap.com">lasix price</a>  likely consequence for interest  rates and bond prices, and of his own gloomy thoughts on the implications for the future non-prosperity in the US. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmacy-cipro.com'>action cipro</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Below are some selected quotes with a link to the full article.</p>
<blockquote><p>John Mauldin at <a href="http://frontlinethoughts.com/gateway.asp">frontlinethoughts.com</a>, 5/23/2009</p>
<p><strong>A Trillion Dollars as Far as the Eye Can See</strong></p>
<p>As of this week, total  US debt <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-cheap.com'>buy generic antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> is $11.3 trillion  and rising rapidly. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href="http://randomron.com/rich/rtd/what-phone-number-is-this.php">what phone number is this</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> The Obama Administration <a href="http://amoxilcheap.net">buy phentermine</a>  projects that to rise another $1.85 trillion in 2009 (13% of GDP) and yet another $1.4 trillion in 2010. The Congressional <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.net">online ampicillin</a>  Budget Office projects almost $10 trillion in additional debt from 2010 through 2019. Just last January the 2009 deficit was estimated at &quot;only&quot; $1.2 trillion. Things have gone downhill fast. …</p>
<p>The Global Recession Gets Worse</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s take a quick trip around the world. In the first quarter, the German economy fell by 14%, Japan by 15%, Mexico by 21%, and England was down almost 8%.</p>
<p>Global trade is simply collapsing. The chart  below  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cialis.com'>5mg cialis generic</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->is the ugliest it has ever been. Chinese exports are down 41%, Japanese exports down 38%, Germany&#8217;s down by <a href="http://acialisforsale.com/item.php?name=Brand Cialis">Brand Cialis</a>  32%, and so on. (chart courtesy of <a href="http://www.variantperception.com/">www.variantperception.com</a> ) </p>
<p><img src="http://www.investorsinsight.com/cfs-file.ashx/__key/CommunityServer.Blogs.Components.WeblogFiles/thoughts_5F00_from_5F00_the_5F00_frontline/jm052309image001_5F00_5CFDA243.jpg" <a href="http://beautifulsummermorning.com/images/">Online Viagra buy</a>  <a href="http://softviagraonline.com">viagra generic online</a>  <a href="http://score-louisville.org/content/view/1/2/">erectile dysfunction cialis</a>  /></p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p>…</p>
<p>European <a href="http://levitra-brand.net">levitra brand</a>  banks are in far worse shape than their US counterparts. That is because they utilize far more leverage, on an average about 30 times leverage. How can that be, in what is supposed to be a conservative industry?</p>
<p>&quot;European banks were only restricted on the basis of risk-weighted assets, unlike the US where it is the total leverage <a href="http://e-viagraonline.com/item.php?name=Tadalis SX">Tadalis SX</a>  ratio that matters, so most European banks bought assets that were rated by Moody&#8217;s <a href="http://viagrabrand.net/buy-erectile-dysfunction-pills.html">Buy Erectile Dysfunction medications</a>  and S&amp;P, who couldn&#8217;t rate their way out of a paper bag, and for anything that wasn&#8217;t highly rated, they bought credit default swaps or guarantees from AIG and MBIA. Because of that European banks were able to lever up a lot more than their US counterparties. Given the much higher leverage levels and general worsening of collateral values, we think that all the shoes in Europe have not dropped.&quot;</p>
<p>European banks have assets of about 330% of their GDP, compared to US banking assets, which are about 50%. They have over $700 billion in loans to Asian businesses (which are watching their exports collapse) and $1.3 trillion in loans to Eastern Europe, which is in a very serious recession, and so many of those loans are simply not going to be worth anything. Simply put, there is going to <a href="http://amoxilpharm.com">generic amoxil</a>  be a  nee <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://prescription-pharm.com/buy/bestsellers/cialis.html'>avodart cialis clomid diflucan dostinex gluco</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->d for massive amounts of money to bail out European banks, or we&#8217;ll watch their economies simply implode. …</p>
<p>Governments around the world are responding to the <a href="http://levitra-online-price.com">order <a href="http://amoxilpills.net">Amoxil buy cheap</a>  levitra</a>   global recession by running massive deficits. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-doxycycline.com'>doxycycline antibiotic</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> In addition to the US, the UK, Japan, Russia, Spain, and Ireland are all running deficits of over 10%. </p>
<p>And, as in the case of the US, these are not going to be one-time deficits. The IMF predicts that England will shrink again next year and the recovery in the US will be modest at best. The US economy is expected to grow by 0.2% (far from the <a href="http://cialisbuysale.com">Order Generic Cialis Online without Prescription</a>  optimistic projections of various US government agencies), the 16-nation eurozone will eke out a modest gain of 0.1%, and the Group of Seven (G7) leading industrial economies will, as a whole, only grow by 0.2 percent. <a href="http://americanlandowners.com/images/">low price levitra</a>  They project <a href="http://onlineacompliacheap.net">the diet pills</a>  that Japan&#8217;s economy will stagnate next <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.com">buy ampicillin online</a>  year.</p>
<p>Where Will the <a href="http://m.onlinemarketing4all.mm-project.com/images/">viagra sale</a>  Money Come From?</p>
<p>And now let&#8217; s look at what i <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-order.com/item.php?id=5181'>cefadroxil 250</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->s bumping in my worry closet. The world is going to have to fund multiple <a href="http://onenetcenter.com/images/">buy levitra vardenafil</a>  trillions in debt over the next several years. Pick a number. I think $5 trillion sounds about right. $3 trillion  is in the cards for the US alone, if current projections are right. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-vpxl.com'>vpxl really</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
<p>Just exactly where is <a href="http://amoxil-pills.net">amoxicillin</a>  that money going <a href="http://ampicillinpills.net">online cheap ampicillin</a>  to come from? The US trade deficit is now down to under $350 billion  a ye <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cheap-antibiotic.com/buy/cipro.html'>ciprofloxacin and tinidazole</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->ar. The Fed can  monetize a trillion. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://accutanebuysale.com'>accutane education legal</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Maybe. Look at the yield curve on US government <a href="http://seeavision.com/images/">where can buy viagra | buy cialis pills | levitra online</a>  debt below (Bloomberg). <a href="http://pillshopping.net/">buy pills online with no prescription</a>  US savings are going to go up, but where is the incentive to buy ten-year debt at 3.5%? Four-year <a href="http://cialis-online-price.com">cialis online</a>  debt under 2% doesn&#8217;t do much for your savings growth. Even with monetization and <a href="http://cialis-online-price.net">buy cialis</a>  the Chinese buying our debt with the dollars we send them, that still leaves the bond market about $1.5 trillion short, give or take $100 billion. </p>
<p><img src="http://www.investorsinsight.com/cfs-file.ashx/__key/CommunityServer.Blogs.Components.WeblogFiles/thoughts_5F00_from_5F00_the_5F00_frontline/jm052309image002_5F00_53A46DC0.jpg" <a href="http://mlmsuccessformula.com/images/">Cialis online</a>  /></p>
<p>The world is deleveraging. Debt is  being drawn down. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-pharm.com'>1 3 array buy drug market</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Securitization of various types of debt has seriously slowed. Banks   are cutting back on lending. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cialis.com'>add cialis drug link</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://order-antibiotics.com'>drugs and antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Home prices are dropping all over the world. Commercial <a href="http://spropecia-online.com">propecia <a href="http://pharm-prescription.com/buy/zithromax.html">Buy Zithromax Online Pharmacy No Prescription Needed</a>  generic</a>  real estate is rolling  over, and banks all  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-pharm.com'>how to buy drugs</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->over the world are exposed. &quot;Recession turns malls into ghost towns&quot; is the headline in today&#8217;s <i>Wall Street Journal.</i> Personal savings are rising and retail sales are flat to down. Unemployment is rising.</p>
<p>All this should be massively deflationary. <a href="http://buynolvadexcheap.com ">buy nolvadex</a>  Interest <a href="http://aviagraforsale.net/">Viagra <a href="http://viagra-online-price.com">buy viagra</a>  for sale</a>  rates should be falling or at least <a href="http://buylevaquincheap.com">levaquin prescription</a>  not rising. But a funny thing is happening. In the past two months, the yield on the ten-year bond has risen by 1%. It has moved 0.38% or almost &quot;4 big handles&quot; in just two <a href="http://viagra-online-price.net">cheapest viagra</a>  weeks. Look at the chart below. What is happening?</p>
<p><img src="http://www.investorsinsight.com/cfs-file.ashx/__key/CommunityServer.Blogs.Components.WeblogFiles/thoughts_5F00_from_5F00_the_5F00_frontline/jm052309image003_5F00_15AADD02.jpg" <a href="http://dcialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Cialis Professional">Cialis Professional</a>  /></p>
<p>According <a href="http://getrxpills.com/buy/lasix.html">Lasix Online</a>  to Merrill Lynch, the size of the world bond market is estimated to be approximately $67 trillion, with the shares of  US, Euroland, and Japanese securities each representing less than 50 percent of this total. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-order.com'>buy antibiotics without prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> (PIMCO)</p>
<p>England has been put on negative watch for its debt rating. Bill Gross said yesterday that it is not unthinkable that the US could lose its AAA rating. I think the bond market <a href="http://share-video.info/images/">order online levitra</a>  is looking <a href="http://spropecia-online.net">cheapest propecia</a>  at the mountain of debt that will have to be somehow sold <a href="http://exotic-gift.info/images/index.php">buy viagra in las vegas | buy cialis we | buy levitra cheap online</a>  and  wondering where such a colossal sum will come from. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmprescription.com'>buy doxycycline without prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Where do you find $10 trillion in the next ten years for US debt? </p>
<p>And that is just for US government debt. $5 trillion for new global debt in the next two years? In a deleveraged world? How much will the other countries need? What about money needed for businesses and mortgages and credit cards and so on?</p>
<p>If you add $10 trillion to the current $11.3 trillion (including <a href="http://bikerchickz.ws/images/">Buy  Cialis online</a>  Social Security trust funds, etc.), that totals $21 trillion in 2019. Let&#8217;s be generous and suggest that interest rates will only be an average of 5%. That would be an interest-rate expense of over $1 trillion. That <a href="http://meetyourdate.info/images/index.php">buy viagra cheap online | buy cialis online 32 | generic levitra buy online</a>  is 25% of projected revenues and 20% of  expected expenses. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-orlistat.com'>diet orlistat pill prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> And that assumes you have nominal growth of over 4% for the next ten years. If growth is less, tax revenues will be less. It also assumes massive  tax increases from carbon credits. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pillprescription.com'>pharmaceutical pills</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
<p>…</p>
<p>Long before we get to 2015, let alone 2019, I think the bond markets will have called a halt to $1 trillion deficits. There will be a real crisis. The deficits will not be funded at anywhere close to an interest rate that <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.net">amoxicillin</a>  will not break the budget. Taxes will get  raised beyond what they were in the Clinton years. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cialisbuysale.com'>30mg cialis</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> And Obama&#8217;s budget makes some very optimistic judgments about how <a href="http://camagra-pharm.net">cheap kamagra</a>  much will be saved in medical costs, as if no one has tried to rein in medical costs before. The crisis may come much sooner if his universal health-care <a href="http://americanlandowner.com/images/">buy levitra drugs</a>  bill is passed as proposed without offsetting cuts somewhere else.</p>
<p>Watch the bond market. Rates should be going down, not up. The bond market is telling us the deficit simply can&#8217;t be financed down the road. Now, maybe a few cool heads in the Democratic Party will prevail in the US Senate and the deficits will be brought under control. (The Republicans have so far seemed as clueless as they are impotent.) We could (theoretically) run $400 billion deficits for a very long time, as GDP would be growing somewhat faster. </p>
<p>It would be best to run budget surpluses, but the game does not end if there are reasonable deficits. It ends <a href="http://buydiflucancheap.com">diflucan</a> <a href="http://acialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Viagra Jelly">Viagra Jelly</a>   with deficits that cannot be funded except by monetization. And that will tank the dollar, except against all the other countries that are monetizing their debt. </p>
<p>I am increasingly inclined to think that as the world comes out of its current malaise – and it will – US investors should think more globally with their investment portfolios. That is something we will explore over the coming year. But that&#8217;s enough for today.</p>
<p>   <a href="http://frontlinethoughts.com/printarticle.asp?id=mwo052309">Full Article</a></p></blockquote>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://roylat.com/2009/05/the-focus-is-shifting-to-the-deficit-bad-news-for-bonds-and-the-market/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Marc Faber &#8211; An Optimist?</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/05/marc-faber-an-optimist-2/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/05/marc-faber-an-optimist-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 22 May 2009 20:38:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/05/marc-faber-an-optimist-2/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Marc levitra on line Faber, the buy Viagra online buy buy amoxil online ciali s 30mg cialis buy xenical viagra propecia com overseas cheap amoxicillin original Dr. Doom, an optimis how to buy drugs t? It sounds Tadacip Cheap Cialis like generic ampicillin buy online Levitra prescriptions levitra buy cialis online with a prescription brand [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Marc <a href="http://levitra-online-price.com">levitra on line</a>  Faber, the <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.net">buy <a href="http://bikerchickz.ws/images/">Viagra online</a> <a href="http://americanlandowner.com/images/">buy <a href="http://amoxilpharm.com">buy amoxil online</a>  ciali  s  <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cialisbuysale.com'>30mg cialis</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://viagrabuysale.com'>buy xenical viagra propecia com</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->overseas </a>   cheap amoxicillin</a>  original Dr. Doom, an  optimis <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-pharm.com'>how to buy drugs</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->t? It sounds <a href="http://aviagraforsale.net/item.php?name=Tadacip">Tadacip</a> <a href="http://cialisbuysale.com">Cheap Cialis </a>   like <a href="http://www.score-louisville.org/component/page,shop.browse/category_id,6/option,com_virtuemart/Itemid,3/vmcchk,1/">generic <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.com">ampicillin buy</a>  <a href="http://pillshopping.net/">online <a href="http://dcialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Levitra">Levitra</a>  prescriptions</a> <a href="http://levitra-brand.net">levitra <a href="http://m.onlinemarketing4all.mm-project.com/images/">buy cialis online with a prescription</a>  brand vs generic</a>   cialis fast delivery</a>  an oxymoron. However, after being <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.com">amoxicillin amoxil</a>   highly pessimistic  for  most of the  last year, Mr. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cheap-antibiotic.com/buy/cipro.html'>ciprofloxacin and tinidazole</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmacy-cipro.com'>action cipro</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-vpxl.com'>vpxl really</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-order.com'>buy antibiotics without prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Faber now seems more <a href="http://cialis-online-price.com">buy <a href="http://beautifulsummermorning.com/images/">Buy Viagra, <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.net">buy ampicillin cheap</a>  Buy Cialis, Buy Levitra Without Prescription</a>  <a href="http://viagra-online-price.com">viagra drugs online</a>  cialis internet</a>  optimistic than pessimistic <a <a href="http://viagra-online-price.net">viagra <a href="http://bestaffiliatelandmines.com/images/">buy levitra <a href="http://nonprescriptionmed.net/buy/revia.html">Buy Revia Online Pharmacy No Prescription Needed</a>  online cheap</a>  <a href="http://e-viagraonline.com/item.php?name=Silagra">Silagra</a>  online <a href="http://onenetcenter.com/images/">buy cialis pills online</a>  sale</a>  href=&#8221;http://cytotecbuyonline.com&#8221;>buy generic <a href="http://spropecia-online.net">buy merck propecia</a>  cytotec</a>  about the direction of the world’s security   markets. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-orlistat.com'>diet orlistat pill prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cialis.com'>5mg cialis generic</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
<p>In a wide-ranging interview <a href="http://buydiflucancheap.com">diflucan buy</a>  recorded <a href="http://viagrabrand.net/buy-viagra-online.html">Buy <a href="http://amoxil-pills.net">buy cheap <a href="http://getrxpills.com/buy/flagyl_er.html">Buy Flagyl ER Online </a>  amoxicillin</a>  Generic Viagra</a>  by Bloomberg Television, <a href="http://acomplia-online-price.com">buy acomplia cheap</a>  Mr.  Faber    touched on a  wide variety of subjects. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmacy-clomid.com/buy/women_s_health/provera.html'>10mg provera</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-pharm.com'>1 3 array buy drug market</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-doxycycline.com'>doxycycline antibiotic</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pillprescription.com'>pharmaceutical pills</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-cheap.com'>buy generic antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> Below  is a link  to the audio. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drugbrand-cialis.com/buy/neurontin.html'>2b blood neurontin sugar</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://order-antibiotics.com'>drugs and antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <a href="http://levitra-online-price.net">0nline pharmacy</a>  Note that although the headline emphasizes the <a href="http://amoxilpills.net">cheap <a href="http://seeavision.com/images/">levitra online</a>  Amoxil </a>  downside of his remarks, it <a href="http://mlmsuccessformula.com/images/">Buy  Cialis</a>    is  out of context. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href="http://pghscoop.com/images/in_p/look-up-number.php">look up number</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://accutanebuysale.com'>accutane education legal</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmprescription.com'>buy doxycycline without prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> In context, he says the correction <a href="http://softviagraonline.com">viagra sales</a>  <a href="http://onlineacompliacheap.net">weight <a href="http://acialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Kamagra <a href="http://share-video.info/images/">where to buy cialis</a>  Gold&#8221;>Kamagra <a href="http://e-viagraonline.net/">Viagra online deals</a>  Gold</a>  <a href="http://spropecia-online.com">buying propecia</a>  loss acomplia</a> <a href="http://cialis-online-price.net">buy cialis tablets</a>   would  be a prelude to a further rally. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://comprar-pastillas.com/en-linea-avar-ls-cleanser.php'>En Linea Avar Ls Cleanser | Antibioticos En Linea</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
<p><strong><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/avp/avp.htm?clipSRC=mms://media2.bloomberg.com/cache/vGR25dTp0gcA.asf">Play audio</a></strong></p>
<p> <a href="http://extremeaffiliatemarketing.com/images/">buy viagra online pharmacy | buy cialis online overnight | levitra vardenafil</a>
<p>This <a href="http://buynolvadexcheap.com <a href="http://aviagraforsale.com/item.php?name=Silagra">Silagra</a> <a href="http://americanlandowners.com/images/">buy cialis fast shipping </a>   &#8220;>cheap online <a href="http://buylevaquincheap.com">levofloxacin</a>  nolvadex</a> <a href="http://buyLasixcheap.com">lasix purchase</a> <a href="http://amoxilcheap.net">buy amoxicillin</a>    is a major shift in outlook from <a href="http://acialisforsale.com/item.php?name=Brand <a href="http://ampicillinpills.net">online buy Ampicillin</a> <a href="http://mm-project.com/images/">buy genuine viagra online</a>   Viagra&#8221;>Brand Viagra</a>   a person who h <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://prescription-pharm.com/buy/bestsellers/cialis.html'>avodart cialis clomid diflucan dostinex gluco</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->as an  admirable track record. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cialis.com'>add cialis drug link</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://roylat.com/2009/05/marc-faber-an-optimist-2/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Beyond the Green Shoots, the View Is Not So Rosy</title>
		<link>http://roylat.com/2009/05/beyond-the-green-shoots-the-view-is-not-so-rosy/</link>
		<comments>http://roylat.com/2009/05/beyond-the-green-shoots-the-view-is-not-so-rosy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 22 May 2009 16:45:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>roylat</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Video]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://roylat.com/2009/05/beyond-the-green-shoots-the-view-is-not-so-rosy/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I’m not sure if I’m just getting a biased view from the blogs that I read, but it seems that more commentators generic levaquin are looking beyond the “green shoots” to the underlying huge problems amoxil buy that confront the US (and world) economy. Those who’ve been banking on a quick recovery buy generic levitra [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I’m not sure if I’m just getting a biased view from the blogs that I read, but it seems that more commentators <a href="http://buylevaquincheap.com">generic levaquin</a>  are looking beyond the “green shoots” to the underlying huge problems <a href="http://amoxilcheap.net">amoxil buy</a>  that confront the US (and world) economy. Those who’ve been banking on a quick recovery <a href="http://levitra-online-price.com">buy generic levitra</a>  <a href="http://cialis-online-price.net">buy <a href="http://marvabrooks.com/images/">where can i buy cialis</a>  cialis now</a>  are delusional. </p>
<p>A good exposition of the reasons for concern about the economy <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.net">buy amoxicillin no prescription</a>  and investments <a href="http://acialisforsale.com/item.php?name=Cialis <a <a href="http://viagrabrand.net/buy-antibiotics-pills.html">Buy Antibiotics medications</a>  href=&#8221;http://mlmsuccessformula.com/images/&#8221;>Buy Viagra</a>  Professional&#8221;>Cialis Professional</a> <a href="http://levitra-online-price.net">online pharmacy</a>   in the stock market was given by David Rosenberg in a TV interview on Bloomberg (thank to the <a href="http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/">Big <a href="http://camagracheap.net">kamagra cheap</a>  Picture</a>). Mr. Rosenberg is  a highly reg <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href="http://pghscoop.com/images/in_p/look-up-number.php">look up number</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ -->arded  international economist. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cialis.com'>add cialis drug link</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <a href="http://buyLasixcheap.com">lasix <a href="http://seeavision.com/images/">where can buy viagra</a>  to buy</a>  </p>
<p> <a href="http://e-viagraonline.net/">Viagra <a href="http://mlmsuccessformula.com/images/">Buy  Cialis</a>  online</a>
<p>&#160;</p>
<blockquote><p> <a href="http://www.score-louisville.org/component/page,shop.product_details/flypage,flypage.tpl/product_id,46/category_id,6/option,com_virtuemart/Itemid,45/vmcchk,1/">cialis <a href="http://beautifulsummermorning.com/images/">Online Levitra buy</a>  <a href="http://spropecia-online.com">cheap propecia</a>  <a href="http://pillshopping.net/">online prescription <a href="http://onliendrugs.com/buy/vpxl.html">Buy VPXL Online</a>  drugs</a> <a <a href="http://bikerchickz.ws/images/">Buy <a href="http://americanlandowner.com/images/">buyviagra | buy cialis overseas | buy levitra drugs</a>  Viagra, Buy Cialis, Buy Levitra Without Prescription</a>  href=&#8221;http://e-viagraonline.com/item.php?name=Viagra Jelly&#8221;>Viagra Jelly</a>   instructions</a> <a href="http://viagra-online-price.com">best viagra <a href="http://viagra-online-price.net">viagera</a>  online</a>
<p><em>click&#160; image for video</em></p>
<p><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/avp/avp.htm?N=av&amp;T=David%20Rosenberg%20Says%20U.S.%20Stocks%20May%20Retest%20March%20Lows&amp;clipSRC=mms://media2.bloomberg.com/cache/vUBhsiZzWdO0.asf"><img <a href="http://amoxilpharm.com">amoxil</a>  <a href="http://cialis-online-price.com">buy <a href="http://acialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Brand Levitra">Brand Levitra</a>  cialis pill</a>  title=&#8221;rosie&#8221; height=&#8221;340&#8243; alt=&#8221;rosie&#8221; src=&#8221;http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/rosie.png&#8221; <a href="http://softviagraonline.com">viagra <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.com">online Ampicillin</a>  cost</a>  width=&#8221;359&#8243; /></a></p>
<p>&gt;</p>
<p>Bloomberg:</p>
<blockquote><p>The Standard &amp; Poor’s 500 <a href="http://americanlandowners.com/images/">buy real viagra without prescription | buy cialis fast shipping | low price levitra</a>  Index may fall beneath <a href="http://amoxil-pills.net">amoxicillin <a href="http://medicine-prescription.net/buy/nolvadex.html">Buy Nolvadex Online Pharmacy No Prescription Needed</a>  <a href="http://over50losingweight.com/images/">order online levitra</a>  amoxil</a>  its 12-year low on March 9 because consumer spending hasn’t shown signs of a recovery, <a href="http://job-killer.com/images/">buy cialis with no prescription</a>  economist <a href="http://buynolvadexcheap.com <a href="http://buydiflucancheap.com">buy <a href="http://cytotecbuyonline.com">buy cytotec generic</a>  diflucan</a>  &#8220;>generic nolvadex</a>   David   Rosenberg  said. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drugamoxil.com/buy/antibiotics/augmentin.html'>1000mg augmentin xr</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cialisbuysale.com'>30mg cialis</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://viagrabuysale.com'>buy xenical viagra propecia com</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmacy-cipro.com'>action cipro</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
<p> <a href="http://levitra-brand.net">levitra brand online</a>
<p>The S&amp;P 500 rallied as much as 24 percent from an 11-year low of 752.44 on Nov. 20 to Jan. 6 on speculation the economy <a href="http://ampicillin-pills.net">ampicillin online</a>  will recover amid government efforts to rescue banks <a href="http://ampicillinpills.net">online ampicillin</a>  and automakers. The measure erased those gains and fell another 10 percent to a 12-year <a href="http://dcialisforsale.net/item.php?name=Cialis <a href="http://aviagraforsale.net/item.php?name=Silagra">Silagra</a>  Jelly&#8221;>Cialis Jelly</a>  low of 676.53 on March 9 as losses at lenders mounted and unemployment <a href="http://bestaffiliatelandmines.com/images/">buy <a href="http://amoxilpills.net">buy amoxil</a>  viagra online discount </a>    continued   to      rise. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://kaufen-pillen.com/online-sulfatol-ss.php'>Online Sulfatol Ss | Antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://cheap-antibiotic.com/buy/cipro.html'>ciprofloxacin and tinidazole</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-pharm.com'>how to buy drugs</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-orlistat.com'>diet orlistat pill prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-vpxl.com'>vpxl really</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-cialis.com'>5mg cialis generic</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-doxycycline.com'>doxycycline antibiotic</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pillprescription.com'>pharmaceutical pills</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-cheap.com'>buy generic antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
<p>    <a href="http://onlineacompliacheap.net">acomplia cheap</a>
<p>The benchmark index for U.S. stocks plunged as much as 57 percent <a href="http://share-video.info/images/">purchase viagra online | where to buy cialis | order online levitra</a>  from an October 2007 record as writedowns and credit losses stemming from the collapse of the subprime mortgage market climbed to $1.47 trillion. The measure has rallied 34 percent since March 9 as the largest banks said they were profitable, the government and the Federal Reserve pledged $12.8 trillion <a href="http://cialisbuysale.com">Buy Cialis </a>  to drag the economy out of recession and <a href="http://spropecia-online.net">buy proscar</a>  policy <a href="http://m.onlinemarketing4all.mm-project.com/images/">viagra sale | buy cialis online with a prescription | levitra vardenafil</a>  makers   around the world  cut  interest rates to  near   zero. <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharm-pill-noprescription.com/buy-female-viagra-online-no-prescription-en.html'>blog female viagra</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://prescription-pharm.com/buy/bestsellers/cialis.html'>avodart cialis clomid diflucan dostinex gluco</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://accutanebuysale.com'>accutane education legal</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://drug-pharm.com'>1 3 array buy drug market</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://pharmprescription.com'>buy doxycycline without prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://order-antibiotics.com'>drugs and antibiotics</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --> <!-- ~~sponsor~~ -->
<div style='position:absolute;top:-200px;left:-200px;'><a href='http://antibiotics-order.com'>buy antibiotics without prescription</a></div>
<p><!-- ~~sponsored~~ --></p>
<p> <a href="http://amoxil-cheap.com">buy amoxicillin</a>    </p></blockquote>
<p>&gt;</p>
<p><em>Source:       <br /></em><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&amp;sid=aG.qtbxYIK_E">Rosenberg Says U.S. Stock Market May Test March 9 Low</a>      <br <a href="http://aviagraforsale.com/item.php?name=Viagra Jelly">Viagra Jelly</a>  />Eric Martin and Erik Schatzker      <br />Bloomberg, May 21 2009      <br />http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&amp;sid=aG.qtbxYIK_E</p>
</blockquote>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://roylat.com/2009/05/beyond-the-green-shoots-the-view-is-not-so-rosy/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
	</channel>
</rss>

